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mvp 78

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Everything posted by mvp 78

  1. mvp 78
    Betting odds are less about potential outcomes and more about where people are putting their money. My guess is that the Cubs and Sox have rabid fanbases that are more likely to bet on their teams...
  2. mvp 78
    Classic jung!
  3. mvp 78
    Smart financial move by Sox ownership. Trying to save on food costs!
  4. mvp 78
    Growing up watching Dewey play RF showed me that your best defensive OF has got to play RF in Fenway. Having Betts in CF and JBJ in RF is like having Lynn and Dewey again (defensively).
  5. mvp 78
    Eater of worlds... Destroyer of buffets...
  6. mvp 78
    Well, of course they have their own projections. I'm not saying all projections are useless, I'm just saying fangraphs is given too much stock for what it is.
  7. mvp 78
    The Sox catchers were calling for pitches to be lobbed right down Broadway? I find that hard to believe.
  8. mvp 78
    Instead of agreeing with the projections, he states they should be expected to lose a few more games because of his bias. I'm not saying he's wrong, I'm just saying he's tweaking the results with his own personal beliefs, i.e. bias.
  9. mvp 78
    Odds makers do hust as well with their own projections. Not sure they need fangraphs.
  10. mvp 78
    If you want to believe that myth, go for it.
  11. mvp 78
    The original fangraphs projection was 92. He is using bias to reduce the number.
  12. mvp 78
    Panda and Hanley are dogs. They should have waited until adter the season to sign Porcello. Castillo showed potential. It was basically spending money on a prospect with upside, which I'd rather do then spend on guys in the back half of their careers. Porcello is young, but I wonder if the additional mileage on his arm from getting to the majors at 20 is taking its toll.
  13. mvp 78
    A more "realistic" projection is 88 wins, not 92. After being in last place for 3 of 4 years, the 92 games may be a little bit of a stretch. It's more likely than not that they don't get to 90 wins. Projections aren't foolproof. I just haven't seen a correlation between Sox projections and performance the past 5 years or so. This team is such a mixed bag that it's really hard to say for sure where they'll end up.
  14. mvp 78
    Castillo was the best signing of the bunch.
  15. mvp 78
    The metrics say it was his worst defensive season whether he played 162 or not. Maybe he struggled only during the games I watched, but I doubt it. In years past, a ball hit towards second wasn't concerning for me. He was a defensive beast. Last year, he wasn't. He was replacement level defensive wise.
  16. mvp 78
    That's only because he kinda sucked last year.
  17. mvp 78
    Heyman : "Brennan boesch signs red sox minors deal. $1M in mjaors"
  18. mvp 78
    Too soon
  19. mvp 78
    Tim Naehring cleats.
  20. mvp 78
    When you sign a guy for $20M, it's kinda hard to through him on the bench. Panda and Hanley both had better track records than any of their replacements. They were stuck playing Panda. They found an injury to sideline Hanley. Not sure there was anything else to do. Castillo and JBJ both struggled for most of the season. Brock Holt struggled once July hit. I'm not sure there were better options than Hanley and Panda, but they painted themselves into that corner. That's on Ben, not the manager.
  21. mvp 78
    I'm a traditionalist Boston homer. When the team is winning, I'll declare my undying love for the Sox. When they start losing, I'll remind everyone that this team is a bunch of bums, that the beer is too expensive, that there are too many casual fans and that we should burn down Fenway. IT WAS BETTER PRE-2003, WHEN WE KNEW WHO THE REAL FANS WERE!!!
  22. mvp 78
    Couldn't find one. My guess is that they are so wrong, that they hide that s*** as quick as possible so that people won't immediately ignore the following year's projections. I take zero stock in fangraphs and Bill James' projections as they never seem to remotely pan out.
  23. mvp 78
    So consistently hitting the 15 DL and fighting through injuries for an entire year? Sounds about right.
  24. mvp 78
    https://reddit.com/r/baseball/comments/3gxd6m/fangraphs_projected_standings_on_april_1/ Had Sox winning 86 games.
  25. mvp 78
    I knew it wasn't meant for me. Obviously, I'm right at least some of the time...
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