You wrote this after a lot of "what if" comments:
"There are a whole host of things that could happen, but the only thing we can probably count on is that the contract for a 38 to 40 year old (and possibly younger) will be a big drag on the team."
In the current baseball system, the only way to get a top player is to give them a long contract. I proposed that giving a long contract is ok to Betts because you'll have over a decade of managing the team payroll to make one overpriced contract not the end of the world. You didn't refute my point at all. You just said you think my idea was s***. (I guess THAT isn't a conversation stopper???)
So when I then say "let's just never sign any good players and make sure that ownership is taken care of," it's not trying to stop the conversation (which you already wanted stopped) it's explaining that if you aren't going to pay any long contracts, you'll never get the top FA's to sign. The only good that does for the team is save payroll. It doesn't put a better product on the field for sure.
Any argument that is "there are a whole host of things that could happen that mean we end up with bad contracts when we convinced they were good" is basically an argument for not signing anyone because YOU NEVER KNOW WHAT CAN HAPPEN. I mean, every good decision could wind up being bad someday. Does that mean you never make any decisions? No, it means you should at least try to keep the best players around to the best of your ability. Otherwise, what are we doing here? We're just rooting for the team to best manage payroll, which only helps the owner.