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mvp 78

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Everything posted by mvp 78

  1. mvp 78
    For the past 10 years or so I have subscribed to Woolner’s conclusions, but I can no longer do so. I believe his sample sizes were too small. Exactly!
  2. mvp 78
    However, there is a problem with this straight forward approach, as noted by Keith Woolner in his study published in Baseball Prospectus. The problem is sample size. Agreed.
  3. mvp 78
    So yes, it's random then. Adding a whole bunch of words after stating there are problems is just a waste. It's a random SSS.
  4. mvp 78
    I've actually read the first two before. My conclusion was that CERA is random because of SSS.
  5. mvp 78
    Can, yes. Should?
  6. mvp 78
    Does watching Grace and Frankie on Netflix count?
  7. mvp 78
    He's a good player. I think they should offer him 6/120.
  8. mvp 78
    Ok, but the question was if Raffy would get 20M in arbitration or not. I say no.
  9. mvp 78
    The 950k was a pre arb salary.
  10. mvp 78
    I'm not presuming that it happens. I'm just saying IF it does happen, it opens the opportunity for Arroyo to get playing time.
  11. mvp 78
    Is Vaz the same catcher he was in 2015? No, he's probably better. Comparing random years of Vaz's career to random years of Tek's just doesn't make much sense. Pitchers change over time. These aren't apples to apples comparisons.
  12. mvp 78
    He's not getting 20M this offseason. No way. Bellinger got 12 after an MVP season. Raffy is not that guy.
  13. mvp 78
    Betts didn't get 20M in arbitration until after his 10 fWAR season. I love Raffy, but he's a 5 fWAR guy and will probably get about 10M per year in arb the next 2 seasons.
  14. mvp 78
    The Sox may not want to do that. I would do it though. Devers won't make more in arbitration. He only made 4.5M this year and only has two arb years left. They aren't bumping him up to 20M.
  15. mvp 78
    They had Reese in 2004. He could have just slid over if they wanted to. They saw that Nomar was going to be out 50% of the time down the stretch in 2004. They needed to move on and found a more complete SS. I don't think it was solely due to defense. If Nomar wasn't injured, they would have stuck it out with him.
  16. mvp 78
    It has no use. That's why they scrapped it.
  17. mvp 78
    CERA doesn't "show" anything. The sample size is too small. It's just noise and random.
  18. mvp 78
    Xander at DH Iggy at SS Arroyo at 2B
  19. mvp 78
    The rotation has already been set up. They already are in the pole position for the WC. If they sweep the Yanks, they are basically guaranteed the home slot since they end with the O's and Nats. That should be enough time to get Arroyo going.
  20. mvp 78
    Lugo and Drew were probably the 2 weakest links on those teams.
  21. mvp 78
    OCAB was a good SS though, just not with the Sox.
  22. mvp 78
    Lindor is overpaid. Would Bogaerts take 7/196? That's a 8M raise per year plus an additional 2 years added on. Would Devers take Xander's 6/120 with an opt outs?
  23. mvp 78
    The only issue is that Arroyo needs to be ready for the playoffs. If the Sox can clinch the WC spot soon, you trot out Arroyo. Arroyo needs to at least start every game that last series.
  24. mvp 78
    Comfort level? Yes. CERA? Highly doubtful. If that stat had any meaning, ESPN would still be using it on their leaderboards. They realized like 3 years ago that it was useless. https://www.espn.com/mlb/stats/fielding/_/position/c/sort/catcherERA
  25. mvp 78
    So you are advocating that Plawecki should play more. And you saying that you've never advocated for that position is wrong.
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