The recency effect is "they got swept by the Yankees, I hope they play better against the O's." If they then s*** the bed against the O's, it's not "recency effect" it's "the team is NOT playing well. This team has had wild swing going up and down. Right now they are on a downturn until they play better. Could they turn it around? Yes. Will they? Very uncertain.
However, there are signs that this team is NOT built to win in the playoffs: rotation question marks, no closer, bad defense.