Good trade. 1-0, Theo
Bad signing. 1-1, Theo.
BTW, I look at Edgah's stats with Boston and I believe that one of two things had to be true:
1) He was played hurt, or
2) He stopped juicing with Boston after his contract year but started again with Atlanta.
Edgah came from Colombia...we now know that juicing was almost ubiquitous among serious Caribbean prospects in the 90's.
As I've written before, I still regard Boston to have lost that deal. It's risky to second-guess any deal that brings one a critical player for a World Champion team, but the combination of Hanley, Anibel, and the players Boston could've signed through free agency with the salary dollars of Lowell and Beckett probably outweigh the contributions of Lowell and Beckett.
Mine is a minority opinion.
Gag me. Alex Gonzalez had neither range at shortstop nor OBP. He LOOKED great, and he usually had few errors and a reasonable batting average, but he was a disaster.
Note that Boston's pitchers, especially ground ball pitchers, struggled in 2006 and that it was the worst scoring team in recent memory. Alex Gonzalez was letting the ground balls through for hits and using up precious outs to help make that happen.
Another good call by Theo.
Lugo was awe-inspiring in 2006, right up to his trade to LA in July. With hindsight, it looks as if something went wrong right before that trade, and that he didn't recover for a year. But look at his stats since then:
[table] Time | BA | OBP | SLG
Second half 2007 | .280 | .322 | .406
First half 2008 | .285 | .348 | .341
Career | .271 | .334 | .393[/table]
Lugo's been near his career marks in all three areas between the latter half of 2007 and the beginning of the 2008 season.
Lugo's defense is puzzling and aggravating--it appears as if his confidence in his ability has been shaken. Over his career, despite high errors, Lugo has been about an average SS, with fielding range offsetting occasional erratic throws. Suddenly FRAA suggests that he's costing Boston a run every five games at SS, and a quick check of RZR suggests that it may be higher, as much as a run every other game. It sure looks more like the higher total to those of us watching.
Defense is notoriously prone to small-sample size effects. MLB GMs know this, and they haven't yet discounted Lugo at shortstop, I guarantee you. But...
...while I strongly dislike Terry Francona, his decision to sit Lugo down is clearly in the best interests of the team and the player. Mills, of course, is following Tito's direction in establishing his daily lineup card.
As CrespoBlows writes, in the long run the picks we got for OCab were worth more than OCab, and Alex Gonzalez really, truly sucked. It's fair to be critical of the Renteria deals; right now, it's easy to be down on Lugo, but discounting his poor first half of 2007 (which he attributes to parasites) and his current bizarre trouble on defense, Lugo has been roughly what we should have expected, even if less than his 2006 performance with Tampa Bay.