jacksonianmarch

He’s still a good starter, but he’s not an ace. Never pretended he was

Or tonight anyone named Barnes

Just got home from work. Left up 5-2 then saw this craziness. Wow. Montgomery is a mid rotation to back rotation guy. He’s a crafty lefty who needs his location and all his pitches. He couldn’t command anything and couldn’t throw his change in the zone. That’s gonna happen

Judge goes big fly again

As with Pivetta recently, kluber’s walk rate is back to close to his career norms post his third start. Kluber’s done this before. Pivetta hasn’t. I’ll be enjoying his downfall later in the year. Just letting you all know

No sense in moving Duran up. When Kike comes back, you’ve got your CFer. Renfroe hitting takes LF. Marwin to 2b with Arroyo once he’s healthy and Verdugo in RF. Marwin also backs up the COF spots. Durran isn’t seeing the field unless someone goes down for the season

Some have, but not many with career high walk rates, dropping K rates and unsustainable HR/FB rates

Maybe he was only outperforming his peripherals because he was on the FA wire. Now that you’ve picked him up, the jinx is in and he will finally regress to the mean

You said it

GIO! Kluber was missing his spots that inning, but you had a bloop double, a GB single and a dunker double in RF. The only ball hit hard that inning was Severino's missile double

This team cannot hit. As for reinforcements, I think Kris Bryant is a target if the Cubs continue to flounder.

Stanton scratched with a tight quad. Hicks likely to undergo season ending wrist surgery

FYI, I live for baseball banter, so this is awesome. Now it is time for me to argue. Whitlock isn't a #6 right now when they're treating him like they just sewed his arm back on. They're upping his pitch count so slowly that he'll be ready to start by November, lol. Garcia had a good debut season last year and one meh MLB start this one. He is 21yrs old and both you and I know he has a long future in the bigs and is ready. While I do not think he comes out and dominates from the minors, I do think he can be solid as a replacement until Sevy comes back. Whitlock didnt make our 40 man roster if that tells you the kind of arms coming down the pipe here. They were wrong on him, clearly (Nick Nelson should have been DFAd) but the talent level on the bump is very, very high in the minors for the Yanks. Offense, not so much I don't neglect the chances anyone gets hurt or crashes and burns, but I will take the guy with 2 Cy Youngs in his back pocket over a former Yankee who never stayed consistent or a guy who hasn't logged 80 innings in a season since Obama was in the white house. And for a guy who loves analytics, you really think Pivetta is going to continue as is and be solid? His expected FIP is a run and a half higher than his current ERA. That is not sustainable and you know it. Also, for a guy who loves analytics, why the shade for Montgomery? The guy was solid in his rookie season, kills it out the gate in his sophomore season and blows his elbow out (2018). Misses all but 2 games of 19 rehabbing. Pitches highly guarded in 2020 (4.4IP per start by design) yet posts a very solid 3.65xFIP. Comes out in 2021 and is posting a nearly identical 3.73xFIP. He is the steady Eddy of the group who is far better than Perez as a back ender. German won 18 before and since coming back from a rapid demotion, has thrown to a 2.58ERA with 24K's and 4BB in 24IP. And the guy nobody seems to want to talk about is Taillon. His K rate has skyrocketed and his walk rate has been really good. Major issue is the HRs as he adapts to a 4 seamer pitcher. He has the most talent of the 2-5 on the Yanks and I think you are afraid that by the end of the season, he's killing it as our #2 or 3. Then there is Kluber. Kluber is a former ace who has found his stuff after missing 2 years. First due to s*** luck (hit by comebacker) then after his rehab he tears his teres. He is clearly healthy now, but had a rough first couple starts with his location. He is a painter, a guy who's location has been impeccable for his whole career and it's improving (6 walks in last 20.1IP vs 7 walks in first 10.1). Last time he had a walk rate over 2 in a full season was in 2016 and he's never had a full season with a walk rate above 2.5/9IP. The Yanks starters, also, didnt start off well. Cole was lights out, but Taillon, Kluber, and German sucked in their first 2-3 starts. They are settling down now and have turned the yanks rotation into one of the very best in the AL (2nd behind CWS). That isnt an accident.

The predictive peripherals do not tell you when a player will dip, just that they are likely to at some point. Heck, he could spend all of 21 like this, it's unlikely, but possible

I don't care how many starts he got in the minors. It is about the majors. He has made 25+ starts in the majors once. A single time. And he is about to be a FA

io, I love the enthusiasm, but you're dead wrong here and I think you know it. The Yankee rotation has something that nobody else has, Gerrit Cole. Cole is the front runner for CY. The Yanks also have something the sox don't, precedent. Cole has been a top 3 CY pitcher before. Kluber has won 2 CY's before. Montgomery has put up a 2+WAR season before. Taillon was an effective starter in Pitt. German won 18 games previously. The sox rotation is pitching well beyond their precedent right now. Eovaldi is set to smash his prior WAR high, heck he is set to reach his prior career high WAR at mid season. He's never stayed healthy before and never pitched like this before (and he is also cracking over the past few starts). He has also not allowed a HR in 45 innings this year. Is that sustainable? Pivetta is due to crash and burn against a good offense. Career high walk rate, dropping K rate, career low HR rate with a drop in GB percentage from career norms and unsustainably low BABIP. ERod is pitching to his norm as is Perez. Richards is turning around a rough start, although the last time he threw more than 77 innings in a season was 2015. The guy has never been a bad pitcher, just couldn't remain on the field. So maybe the sox do continue to pitch very, very well or maybe, just maybe, the predictive peripherals are right and the performance starts to dip Then you need to look at who is in the wings. Severino is ahead of Sale right now. Houck has been shut down, yet Garcia just threw 5 shutout innings in AAA. The depth in the pitching side is with the Yanks

There’s 3 simple reasons why I think you’ll see the yanks progress further than the Sox. 1. True ace. Sox don’t have one. Yanks have the CY front runner 2. Dominant pen. Yanks pen is lights out when they get a lead 3. Willingness to improve. I doubt the Sox spend prospect capitol at the deadline whereas I think the yanks are all in for 21.

Throwing off a mound generates far more downward plane and is usually when the pitcher airs it out. Nobody throws 100% off flat ground

If I was a sox fan, I would be tickled pink.

They were underrated, although lots of things happen before Memorial Day. I also think you spent a lot of the time flying under the radar against bad teams. We shall see what happens. If you're still holding hopes of the POs into July I will be surprised. I think Pivetta is a time bomb. Great stuff, cannot locate it and his HR rate makes no sense this year. He is bound for a correction. ERod is ERod. Richards is a wild card. If he can stay healthy and if he can adjust to wearing a frickin jacket, then he might be something for you. I have zero faith that Eovaldi or Perez will be useful for you and your pen is a dumpster fire.

Taillon continues to suck on the road. Weird

This is why baseball is so great. Matchup clearly favored the A’s yet Sox pounce early

ERod becomes a FA after the year. He has made 25 or more starts exactly once in his career. He is more Eovaldi than iron man.

He also is only hitting .280 and has K'd 9 times in 7 games. Give the kid a chance to settle out.

ERod is not an ace. That really isnt a slight, it is a fact. He is an injury prone player who's production fits in the good category. He is a low 2 high 3, IMO in today's game. There are no 1's on the sox currently. Maybe Sale gets back to that with his elbow reconstructed. Maybe his shoulder is still a wreck and he doesn't. But the sox have a dire need at the head of the rotation and nobody has grabbed it.