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jacksonianmarch

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Everything posted by jacksonianmarch

  1. jacksonianmarch
    There are no excuses now. The sox are the prohibitive favorites in the AL with Cleveland right behind them. I don't believe in Texas or Toronto long term. NYY is in the midst of a rebuild. You guys may have a 2-3 yr run of being the top dogs in the AL before we reload
  2. jacksonianmarch
    ERod was one of your best pitchers post ASB. Beforehand he struggled with his confidence and his knee. Also, he absolutely owns NYY. There is no way he is not in your rotation. I think the likelihood is Pomeranz moving to the pen due to his durability concerns and the lack of confidence one must have in a knuckleballer in short stints
  3. jacksonianmarch
    Moreland has a sub .700OPS over the past 3 seasons vs lefties.
  4. jacksonianmarch
    And I'm not even sure Moncada is a can't miss player. Guys who cannot hit big league breaking balls can take some serious time to develop. Look at Cespedes. He was good in Oakland, but it took him 4-5 years to master major league breaking balls and reach his potential
  5. jacksonianmarch
    There is no way you're keeping Buchholz. In this market, that suckbag is worth $13 mil, so teams will line up thinking he can grow some balls in their town. You might get some prospects for him rather than just a straight salary dump as well. Moreland makes little sense to me. You had the chance at Holliday, who fits your team a lot better than a lefty with serious issues with lefties. He should still put up decent production, but I'd have thought a flip of the two made more sense (Moreland in YS and Holliday st the Fens). Either way, today was as important directionally of any day I can remember in recent years. Last year, you dealt some top 10 parts, but this year you dealt damn near all of them. It's a clear indication that the sox are in it to win it the next 3 years or so.
  6. jacksonianmarch
    The way teams are constructed and the way the financial landscape has changed, the most important commodity is young big league talent. The sox hit the jackpot with pre FA talent with the killer B's. You spend around the young core. It was no fluke that NY stopped winning titles once Jorge, Pettitte, Jeter and Bernie got long term deals. While they were still able to spend, there was still a limit. With the sox, they have one too. It's easy to spend big money while your best players make $5 mil or less annually. Once you have to pay Bradley, Betts, Bogaerts etc, you'll be filling in around them will non top tier talent due to financial constraints
  7. jacksonianmarch
    They had to do this. I said before that you've got 3 years of cheaper control over your core. Now was the time to go for it, and they did
  8. jacksonianmarch
    Moncada, Kopech and two others
  9. jacksonianmarch
    Shaw and a rookie RHP for Thonberg
  10. jacksonianmarch
    Heard the same thing. No names yet
  11. jacksonianmarch
    After 2018 is the big one
  12. jacksonianmarch
    Why would Harper want to sign now? He is coming off a year of injury where he put up good but not MVP caliber numbers. If the Nats want to lock him up beyond 2018, then they are going to have to pay for 2015 Harper. Otherwise, he'll wait it out
  13. jacksonianmarch
    Cashman isn't afraid to spend, but he was definitely forced into extending CC and ARod. Thankfully, those follies will be finished in 2017
  14. jacksonianmarch
    Exactly. This team is not built to be a WS contender in 2017. We need to add pieces that are short term options. If the kids arrive early and produce, then the added pieces need to not be in the way. If the kids take their time, these additions cannot be long term as to get under the cap prior to Machado and Harper hitting the open market. I am surprised that we haven't dealt away Gardner. He's an intriguing piece for a contender looking for a good glove leadoff hitter. And we have Hicks, Ellsbury, Austin and Judge already floating out there with Mason Williams edging in and Clint Frazier on the cusp. Gardy seems to be an extraneous piece for us, especially as we head into 2017 looking to give kids some time, but could be a final piece for a contender on the cusp
  15. jacksonianmarch
    If he turns out to be a pumpkin, dealing him for Sale isn't a bad move, right? Timing is incredibly important for a GM
  16. jacksonianmarch
    You guys downplay the solid debuts of the other players. Maybe Moncada's horrible few AB's don't drop his stock, but the great debut of Swanson and the insane debut of Turner have definitely risen theirs
  17. jacksonianmarch
    Exactly. DH should be better for his body. And if he sucks, it's one year
  18. jacksonianmarch
    Just look at Trea Turners numbers. If he did that over two halves of a season, he wins an MVP. Moncada has the higher ceiling compared to Swanson, but Turner has lapped everyone. He's a bonafide star
  19. jacksonianmarch
    The thing I like here is that he's a good hitter who will basically be plopped into the DH role and will have no other required duties aside from maybe spelling Gardner or Bird at times. The duration of contract is huge as well. It positions us VERY well for the upcoming FAs to hit the market. If we reset for 2018 AND get Otani, that'd be huge
  20. jacksonianmarch
    Exactly, which is why ARod is only $21 and not $25 mil. His year suspension dropped his AAV. Regardless, they all drop off the map after 2017
  21. jacksonianmarch
    Wait... Swanson had a .800+ OPS in 120+ ABs in the bigs. Turner hit .342 with a .937OPS in 300+ ABs in the bigs. Moncada went 4 for 19 with 12K's in the bigs. One of these things is not like the other.... Moncada is not a sure fire hit as he can be easily dispatched by big league pitching most notably a curveball. Swanson and Turner have had solid debuts and have already made the adjustment to hit big league pitching. Including Moncada is NOT the same as including Swanson or Turner, not even close
  22. jacksonianmarch
    The Yankees have a projected arb payroll of $21 mil. They have $26.5 mil of retained contracts (ARod and McCann). They have $120 mil of active salary. This is after the Holliday signing. So their payroll loosely sits at $167.5 mil. I assume they will be spending about $15-$18 mil on a bullpen piece or pieces. I would also assume we add a low budget starter probably in the $10 mil range. I don't forsee any other offensive upgrades. That puts us close to the $200 mil range for 2017. But after this yr.... CC and his $25 mil ARod and his $21 mil Holliday and his $13 mil Clippard and his $6 mil will all go away. That's a further reduction of $65 mil in time for the lux tax to rise to $195 mil-ish Then things get even more fluid after 2018 with Gardner and Headley coming off the books. That's another $25 mil in salary for guys who aren't giving great production.
  23. jacksonianmarch
    1 yr $13 mil. This is a great buy low DH signing with limited long term commitment. Very happy we have him vs EE
  24. jacksonianmarch
    The Yankees payroll picture improves dramatically after this season. ARod and CC are off the books. McCann is on only at $5.5 mil per season. Holliday's contract comes off the books. If NYY doesn't get him, I will be hugely surprised
  25. jacksonianmarch
    HFA is beneficial for team that are specifically designed for their ballparks. I think the sox are designed for their park on offense, but your #2 starter is a LHP who gives up the longball, so he isn't really designed for your park. HFA is important for a team like the sox. It is also important for a team like the Yankees.
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