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Everything posted by jacksonianmarch
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The 93 wins were because your pitching was nails. You team finished 10th in the bigs in runs and 5th in the AL. They had been #1 in all of baseball in 2016. Your team lost 93 runs from 16 to 17. That is s***ing the bed IMO
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No, he isn't. But getting players like Scherff aren't going to help his prospects as those players are freshly drafted and haven't really separated themselves yet. When you deal a guy like Stanton, you get blue chip prospects.
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That's pretty ridiculous especially since we didn't score. You keep harping on the Miller wagon and it couldn't be more off base. Return to the space under your bridge
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Moon, Jeter cannot deal off Stanton and get a lottery ticket. He'd need either big league talent or blue chip talent. I doubt he'd be terribly interested in guys who are multiple years away at least as a headliner.
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I think I will pass, lol. I also wouldn't be surprised at all if we see some deals either. I expect German, Gallegos or Heller to be moved for a couple lower level prospects. Cashman is the master of these types of moves
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The one thing your kids showed was that they weren't ready to lead in 2017. With Papi gone and the onus on them, they s*** the bed. You must add an elite bat to take some pressure off Betts
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Dumping HRam coming off shoulder surgery before the season would have to be a complete loss. And I think you are downplaying what Stanton's market will be. There will be plenty of teams interested, the question is, how much salary will Jeter eat to get the maximum return?
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We scored 1 run in the final 2 games. Miller was the reason we beat the Guardians. You're trolling again
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Brannen is a 4 tool prospect. The thing about Brannen that always is a crap shoot is when a team drafts an athlete with hit projection and hope the hit tool progresses enough to allow them to use that athleticism. If you hit, then you've got a star. Very, very frequently, you don't hit. This isn't like a guy who throws 100mph or a hitter with now power.
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Stanton can be had for prospects and salary relief. A big market club might not like the contract, but the fact that it saves $45 mil over those 10 seasons in lux tax accounting is big as well. Yes, they're actually paying him $29.5 mil per year for 10 years, but for lux tax purposes, it is down to $25 mil, which could be a big deal assuming he doesn't opt out. The problem with the sox, though, is I don't think they have the prospects to get a deal for Stanton done. Stanton's contract essentially drops his return assuming the Marlins want complete salary relief. Devers or Beni would be an insane overpay. If I were Boston, I'd try to go with Bradley plus Groome and Chavis. This would give the Marlins salary relief and the ability to flip Bradley for more prospects.
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And I plan to keep posting in it... The Yankee 40 man struggle is real. Here are the guys slated to be on our 40 man and the guys we would need to add or risk losing to Rule V eligibility 40 man 1. Betances 2. Chapman 3. Gray 4. Kahnle 5. Green 6. Montgomery 7. Robertson 8. Severino 9. Tanaka 10. Warren 11. Cessa 12. Gallegos 13. German 14. Heller 15. Herrera 16. Holder 17. Mitchell 18. Shreve 19. C. Smith 20. Higashioka 21. Romine 22. Sanchez 23. Andujar 24. Austin 25. Castro 26. Cooper 27. Gregorius 28. Headley 29. Torreyes 30. Wade 31. Ellsbury 32. Frazier 33. Gardner 34. Hicks 35. Judge That leaves 5 slots without trades or DFA's. The guys we would have to protect or risk losing in the Rule V are as follows (and I am only listing guys who are possibilities to be added) Jake Cave OF Billy McKinney OF Stephen Tarpley LHP Mike Ford 1B Domingo Acevedo RHP Thairo Estrada SS JP Feyereisen RHP Nestor Cortes LHP Albert Abreu RHP Cale Coshow RHP Gosuke Katoh 2B Jonathan Loaisiga RHP That's 12 guys with legitimate big league futures who would need to be protected. The following guys are absolute no brainers Acevedo Estrada Abreu Loaisiga For that last spot, assuming no moves, I would choose Jake Cave. The guy can play CF and had a lights out season. My assumption, though, is that we make some moves prior to the deadline as I think the Yankees will try to keep Tarpley and McKinney as well. I anticipate that one spot will be opened with either a deal or DFA of Cooper or Austin. We have enough 1b redundancy with Bird and Andujar, we don't need a 3rd and 4th backup, especially when I think the Yankees add a DH capable of playing 1b I also expect the Yankees to deal Bryan Mitchell as he is out of options and doesn't really have a prayer to crack our bullpen unless we deal a few guys That would allow us to keep Tarpley and McKinney. We would still likely lose Coshow, but he is a 100mph arm without much to back it up (we have a lot of those). We'd probably also lose Feyereisen who is also a 100mph arm who has trouble with command. I doubt we lose Katoh, although it is possible. He's a solid talent but needs at least another 2 years of seasoning. Ford has no future here and is a MiLB FA come November if we don't add him to the 40 man, which I would say would be a stretch.
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Wrong spot and cmon now. If anyone is gonna start a Yankees hot stove thread, it’s me
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This is the hot stove thread. The ALCS thread should be done as it’s over now
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Very conflicted putting this post up right now. Sad my team won't be in the WS. Sad they couldn't muster anything against a career journeyman like Morton. Ecstatic that the rebuild is over and this team is locked and loaded for next season. In terms of where they stand... In terms of contracts.. The Yankees have $112.7 mil on the books in contracts or dead money (this includes McCann). Ellsbury- $21.8 mil cap hit McCann $5.5 mil cap hit Tanaka- (if he doesn't opt out)- $22.14 mil cap hit Brett Gardner- $13 mil cap hit Chase Headley- $13 mil cap hit Starlin Castro- $8.57 mil cap hit Aroldis Chapman- $17.2 mil cap hit David Robertson- $11.5 mil cap hit The predicted arbitration numbers are •Adam Warren (5.036) – $3.1MM •Didi Gregorius (4.159) – $9.0MM •Dellin Betances (4.078) – $4.4MM •Sonny Gray (4.061) – $6.6MM •Austin Romine (4.045) – $1.2MM •Aaron Hicks (4.041) – $2.9MM •Tommy Kahnle (3.015) – $1.3MM •Chasen Shreve (2.155) – $900K This $29.4 mil added to the $112.7 mil gets us to $142.1mil. The cap we must stay under is $197 mil and assuming we save $5 mil for in season callups, league minimum salaries or late season acquisitions, we have $50 mil to play with. This entails Tanaka NOT opting out. As it stands in this instance, the lineup without ANY additions is as follows C- Sanchez 1B- Bird 2B- Castro SS- Gregorius 3B- Headley/Andujar LF- Gardner CF- Hicks/Ellsbury RF- Judge DH- Ellsbury/Headley/C. Frazier/Ellsbury SP1- Severino SP2- Gray SP3- Tanaka SP4- Montgomery SP5- Adams CL- Chapman SU-Robertson SU-Kahnle SU-Betances MR-Green MR-Warren MR-Shreve Assuming no trades (which is FAR from a reasonable assumption), the one area of clear need is DH. We have guys who could occupy this, but the DH market this year is saturated with no D hitters. The one I like the most for us is Carlos Santana. The guy sees a ton of pitches, walks a ton, hits for more power left handed, but puts up a better average right handed to negate the L/R split. He also plays a reasonable 1b which could give Bird the time at DH he may need to stay healthy long term. I don't expect Santana to be cheap, but he shouldn't break the bank like JD Martinez as he is not a transcendent hitter, but is a really good one. I think a reasonable contract for him is 3 years $42 mil or $14 mil AAV. That leaves us with about $36 mil to play with and elongates our lineup to Gardner Judge Gregorius Sanchez Bird Santana Castro Hicks Headley/Andujar I don't see a clear need in the pen and if Tanaka doesn't opt out, I think our rotation as is could be good enough to win a ton of ballgames and our pen is good enough to win some bad starts while we break in the rookie Adams (who has ace upside btw). The offense improves with more power and patience out of the DH spot and Bird gets the opportunity to split time between 1b and DH to stay fresh. We'd have a ready made replacement for most every position except catcher with a top prospect. Andujar for the CIF. Torres up the middle (as well as Wade and Estrada). Frazier for the OF. Acevedo and Sheffield for the rotation. Holder and a bunch of other guys for the pen. The team above is good enough to get to the playoffs, but I highly doubt we just pocket $36 mil and twiddle our thumbs with it. I also think there is next to no chance we don't improve our team via trade. We can eat money and still stay under the cap and we have the prospects to make any deal happen. So, watch for these five things in NY 1. The GM and the manager. I honestly don't know how Stein could let Cash walk unless he is done. You give him a blank check and move on. Girardi should have had his fate sealed in game 2 of the ALDS, but his team had his back and won the series anyway. That shows a team responding for their manager, and you cannot beat that. Joe gets retained if he wants to stay 2. A Starlin Castro trade- for those of you who love Theo, think about this. We got Starlin for Adam Warren. We got Chapman for literally nothing. We then re-obtained Warren in the Chapman deal. Then we re-signed Chapman without having to give up a draft pick. In the process, we got Billy McKinney, who has regained his fringe top 100 prospect status and obtained Gleyber Torres, who in most publications is either the top or one of the top 3 prospects in all of baseball. We spent money to get Chap and we got Castro and the Cubs have a title in a season we weren't winning anything, and otherwise literally no bodies still on their roster to show for it. Theo got his title, but Cash ate his lunch. I think this is the year we deal Castro. We have many ready made replacements on this roster. I think Cash got Castro as a buy low candidate and Castro rewarded us with a solid .300 BA, 16HR performance. It is also hard to believe that Castro is only 27 years old. His downsides from this year were a really high BABIP, a career high K% and continued sub par defense. I think Cash will take advantage of his high value right now and move him. I have no clue what he does. He could be a 3 way trade candidate to get a starter. He could be dealt for prospects. I don't know. But with Wade and Torres both ready for the show and Castro looking like a crash candidate for 2018, I would definitely be looking out for Cash to move him. 3. Tanaka's opt out- Tanaka rebuilt his value in dominating the Astros and the Guardians in crucial games. He had been an ace up to this year and outside of a 6 week stretch, he was still an ace. He has 3 years and $66 mil on his contract left. He is a splitter reliant pitcher now with the ability but not the consistency to run the ball up there into the mid 90s. I like him on his current contract. If Tanaka opts out, we say thank you for your service and sign Darvish. 4. The small deals- Cashman is a master of dealing guys with promise who might not make our 40 man and hence be lost to the Rule V and turning them into guys who turn into prospects later. (Look at the deals for Pazos and Gamel for one). I anticipate that a few of our 40 man necessary big arms in the minors may need to be dealt or else we will see them go in the Rule V and stay gone. 5. The big trade- this could be linked with the Castro deal, it might not be. We have cap room, prospects to spare, and no clear need beyond something that is readily available on this market (DH based offense). We also have high end relievers to deal as well, which are always hot commodities for teams nearing contention. We also don't know, beyond Stanton that is, which big players are actually on the market and with the way Cash deals, we likely won't know until the deal is consummated. I anticipate a significant trade occurring during the hot stove. Who they get, nobody knows, but we will get someone. As it stands, when you have a team that has money to spend, most of their holes filled and prospects galore, it usually means you are in a really good position going forward. The goal is to stay under the cap and remain competitive, and I definitely see us doing that. It is on Cash not to screw it up
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Youk, I’ll put up my Hot Stove later. Resting on our laurels isn’t going to happen. That being said, there’s one big difference between the offenses of NYY of 2017 and the sox of 2016. You guys lost your big bopper to retirement and never replaced him leaving a gaping hole that your kids couldn’t replace. As it stands right now, our only projected losses from our lineup are our #8 hitter and our backup DH who started one game in the post season. Our “addition” that you aren’t really seeing in your post is a full season from Bird. You saw in 2015 and in the last few weeks of 2017 what a healthy Bird can do to this lineup. I don’t expect them to stand pat, but the makings of a young, perennially powerful lineup are there. I don’t expect Judge to repeat his 52 HR performance, but one thing he did show is that he can make adjustments on the fly in the post season against the best of the best which will benefit him incredibly well into his sophomore season. We lost a month of Sanchez and 5 months of Bird. Adding those back in should be able to manage the changes I expect to see out of Judge (less power, but I expect him to make better contact and potentially hit for a higher average). For Tanaka, he spent a month and a half lost in the wilderness where he was flying open and couldnt locate his splitter. He was nails outside of that 6 week mark and cemented himself as a major bounce back candidate for next year by being ridiculous in his 3 playoff starts. His bounce back makes his opt out not such a moot point which could be good or bad for us depending on what we use his money for. One other thing that separates the 16 sox and the 17 Yankees is that we also have one of the best farms in baseball with multiple big league ready players. After 16 and the trade for Sale, you were left with Devers and nothing else really. Effectively, I think there’s work to be done, but the building blocks of an incredibly dangerous lineup are still there. The building blocks of a solid rotation with or without Tanaka are there in Severino, Montgomery, and Gray. Our pen will be stupid ridiculous next year as all of our relievers are under contract and some of our minor league or even major league arms (Holder, I’m looking at you) gain further seasoning. It’s a good time to be a Yankee fan
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I couldn’t be prouder of this team. We took a Houston team that everyone said was vastly superior than us to the limit and effectively home field was the only determinant. We outscored them 22-20 in the series and even beat one of our long time nemeses in the process. I honestly don’t think I’ve enjoyed a season like this in decades. This was the year of low expectations and we end up a game away from the World Series. Hats off to Houston for winning home field and getting back up after the Bronx knocked them down. I hope they win it all. The future is incredibly bright in the Bronx. This team arrived early and now boasts a formidable lineup of young stars that would make the best teams in baseball jealous. We have a bullpen that will be back for another season of dominance. We have a rotation that is topped with two really good pitchers and a lot of young depth. We are in a good spot, lux tax or no
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McCullers is assuredly in their pen. He’s a guy who has fatigue issues, though. He threw a lot of pitches in game 4 and coming out on short rest would have to be a true short stint. He’s a boom or bust kind of guy as well. This is going to be interesting for sure
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We can hit Morton and we feast on that pen. I have to assume Keuchel is their long reliever. CC probably has Gray or Tanaka as his long reliever. KRob fell apart yesterday, but I bet Joe has him in there for an inning if needed. Green is probably cooked. Warren and Kahnle can go multiple. I’d assume Aroldis is in for 2 tonight. Betances also returned to form last night too, but I’d assume he’s left out in a pivotal game 7 unless it’s out of reach. Sucks that I’ve got to work tonight, but if this is the last rodeo of the 2017 Yankees, then it’s been a hell of a ride. I never presume to know which team will win a game 7. Go Yankees
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I’m working tonight, but here we go
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Depending on how the guys progress, we might be dealing Castro in December. Torres would be the ultimate 2b, but we also have Wade ready now and Estrada behind him while Torres recovers from his TJS (he is already hitting BTW). I think someone would pay a lot to take Castro off our hands and in terms of our lineup, we might actually improve. Castro is really the only guy in our lineup who doesn't work counts. Didi may not have a high walk total, but that guy will battle every at bat and makes good contact. Castro doesn't have a high walk total and strikes out nearly once per game. He has also had some nagging injuries this year. I think he could be moved for prospects and we could fill in from within. Andujar then becomes the understudy behind either Headley or Frazier and we re-fill from there
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A Realistic View at 2018: Part I
jacksonianmarch replied to moonslav59's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
It all depends on how far dealing Dan wishes to go. The prospect well is dry for major trades, so he will either have to deal with someone and take a salary dump or sign free agents. I have postulated previously that the sox would sign one big bat and a guy like Duda on a 1 year deal. That would fit in nicely below the $40 mil to spend and it would guarantee that Duda and Hanley are FA's after 2018 I see the sox diving HEAVILY into the reclamation project pitching front. They will snag a starter like a Fister from this year who is down on his luck. They might snag two at low rent and use them as insurance if they don't feel Johnson and Wright are up to the task. -
6 Inning Starts + 6 Man Roration = Fewer Arm Problems
jacksonianmarch replied to bosoxmal's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
It's not up to the players union for a 6 man rotation. Also, the GM's wouldn't buy this. Starting pitchers have bloated salaries and now you are asking to increase the spots by 20%. This will drive up salaries, which the players would love, but GM's wouldn't and the cap wouldn't accommodate it. This is a moot point -
Calling the Cubs a 1 hit wonder is a bit off, IMO. They have a young core that already won a title and ran into a buzzsaw in LA. Whoever comes out of the AL will have a really tough task to beat this deep Dodger team. With all that that team has spent, they are the new evil empire
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I honestly think Torres ends up being our 2b long term. Not because he cannot, but because I think Andujar ends up our 3b and I doubt Castro ends up being here much longer
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I don’t have exact figures. The Yankees and Sox started with the same amount. The Yankees traded for the max. They also spent less than the sox to this point. So even if the sox matched the Yankees and traded for the max, they’ll have less available because they have spent more to this point

