some thoughts on one current Sox player and a couple of FA's:
Breslow
I like some of what I've seen from Breslow, but despite his excellent numbers this year and last, he gets limited work...last year wasn't called up til July 25th...this year he is primarily a late season call-up as well.
I know he's only 26 but he's throwing up decent numbers yet something has held back two organizations from using him more than they do....maybe they're trying not to rush him and allowing him to develop?
I do think he's earned some more work and would like to see him pitch more down the stretch here...not just as a lefty specialist. My kid went to a pitching clinic this winter and Beslow was there and worked with him...he seems like a real intelligent and quietely intense kid and I'd like to see him succeed.
Meche
Someone suggested picking up a cheap FA and threw out Meche's name. I have a feeling this guy is gonna garner interest from a lot of teams and will not be all that inexpensive.
He's 10-8 right now
on pace to eat up 185 innings or so
currently has a 4.28 era
makes $3.6m or so this year
he's 28
geez...he sounds an awful lot like none other than:
Bronson Anthony Arroyo!
too bad the Sox owned Arroyo at $3m, likely more for the 2007 season, but the point is, it will probably cost $6M or more for Meche. And let's not forget the Yanks have Lidle as a FA, Mussina a FA, team option on Jaret Wright...they'll be in the mix on all these guys, whether grabbing them or pushing up their asking prices.
I think the Sox get or come close to getting Meche.
Schmidt
One of the top guys out there on the FA market this offseason. Currently makes $10.5m and is 33. He'll likely be looking for a 4-5 year deal.
He had a shoulder strain in '05 and a groin problem also. At 33 I'm guessing the contract length will be of primary concern...will Sox be willing to go as long as other teams might in terms of contract length, given the FO desire to NOT tie up $ long-term? I'm not sure, and I think the Yankees could be a factor here.
His K rate is much lower than his best season in '02 through '04...maybe I'm reading too much into that since his ERA is 4th in the NL for pitchers with more than 160 innings. I like what I've seen from him, he competes and that goes a long way, IMO.
Anyone know if he's expressed a preference, i.e. NL vs AL, going to a contender, etc? I think he's look good in a Sox uni, I think he'd be very effective, but, IMO...
Schmidt is NOT Santana or Halliday, but he could be very good...I'm just not sure if the contract length or his asking price might have the Sox going in a different direction...I think its totally up in the air whether he lands in New England or not.
I wouldn't rule out a trade for a potential 2008 FA that a team feels they have no shot to retain, but given the recent performances by minor-league players that the FO did choose to move, I'm not thrilled by the prospect.
General
I think the only folks more confused than the Sox fans when it comes to where this team is headed might be the FO.
- 2004 proved that Pitching is paramount, yet they trade away Arroyo?
- Sox are in a bit of a youth movement, yet you trade away a Hanley and Sanchez for established players?
- now that you've traded young guys already and have a chance to win this year, you do nothing at the trade deadline (i.e. Oswalt).
Lots of questions to be answered.