Inside or special information about an asset/player would influence the risk classification, but while were are talking about a finite pool as compared to the broad investment markets, there are 30 GM's with scouting departments all looking to get the same information, so I'd lean toward saying that it (i.e., a true low risk/high reward player) doesn't exist, because you only need a couple of the GMs armed with the information to drive up the price.
I respect your professional background in this area. Your expertise is definitely reflected in the way you have been discussing this topic.