But you know what? All those guys are better than Matt Cassell, who hasn't started a football game since his Senior year of High School. But he'll be alright, because of, what, pregame action against second stringers and vanilla defensive schemes? They struggled against the run last year, which became apparent in games where their opponents didn't have to abandon the run in the second quarter, at times they struggled to run the ball, which will only be harder to do when the secondary doesn't have to put so much attention into stopping the pass. When their defense had to play honest for an entire game, they didn't look great. You say 11-5 but I can find five losses in my opinion on their schedule easily -- at least one against Buffalo, at least one against the Jets, San Diego, Pittsburgh, and Indianapolis, and that's suggesting they win all the games they should, which is near impossible in the NFL. And if you really want to discount Indy and San Diego after week one losses, you have to look at the fact that the Patriots barely beat the worst team in football at home. And really, even though Denver's only going to be an 8-8, 9-7 team, that's still a very tough matchup for the Patriots. This is the NFL... Belichick isn't the only guy with a clue... teams are going to make Cassell beat them until he proves they can.
And yeah, ORS, Tom Brady was *only* a 25/15 guy before last year... but if Cassell goes 15/15 or worse, that's 70 points right there alone, and there's a lot of reason to suspect defense really isn't near as good as it was on those 14-2 teams. Cassell can't read a defense or control a game like Tom Brady.
I would ask Patriots fans the same question you asked me... either Tom Brady is one of the all-time greats, better than Peyton and all that jazz or he's replaceable by one of the worst QB's in the league. Which is it?
They don't go from being a great to a good team... 10-6 is entirely possible... but that doesn't mean they'll be a good team. Just a decent team with an easy schedule.