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    The Red Sox Are Contenders, So Let's Look At Way-Too-Early Trade Targets


    Alex Mayes

    It's early in the season, but the Red Sox look like contenders again. Let's analyze some possible trade targets to fill a few needs on the roster.

    Image courtesy of Jim Rassol-Imagn Images

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    Although we’re barely a month into the regular MLB season, it’s never too early to start looking at potential trade deadline targets. For this exercise, I’ve split the targets into three sections: big splashes, potential needle-movers, and fringe additions. I also decided to focus on the three on-field areas that either need more depth (starting pitching), need a shot in the arm due to lack of production (first base), or need additions due to injuries AND lack of production (catcher). Could the Red Sox stand to add to other areas? Sure, but this article is focusing on the three current positions of need. With that being said, let’s dive into the names.

    Big Splashes

    • Sandy Alcantara, RHP - Alcantara kicks off this list of big splashes because he’s the most likely to be moved prior to the trade deadline. Yes, the Marlins currently sit in third in the NL East, but that division should prove to be a juggernaut and the Marlins simply can’t keep up once the other teams in the division start firing on all cylinders. Alcantara has had a rough start to the season. He’s currently sporting a 2-2 record with a 6.56 ERA. He’s working near identical strikeout and walk rates, 17% and 12% respectively. The enticing thing about Alcantara is that he’s proven recently that he can be an elite starter. He’s been stuck on a Marlins team that has been going nowhere for quite some time, but he still approaches his starts like each game is important. Sounds quite a bit like another starter from a floundering team that the Red Sox traded for this offseason, right?
    • Cole Ragans, LHP - The Royals are flush with pitching and the Red Sox are flush with outfielders. Sounds like a perfect match to me. Ragans has been just okay so far this season, hanging out with one win and one loss with an ERA of 4.40. He’s the opposite of Alcantara though — Ragans is a strikeout machine. He’s currently working a 36.8% strikeout rate on the season, posting only a 6.1% walk rate. Ragans wouldn’t come cheap, as he’s only 27 and is coming off a stellar 2024 season. However, the Royals are likely to be desperate to improve their outfield situation and the Red Sox can help to make that a reality by building a deal around a number of outfielders who aren’t named Roman Anthony.
    • Dylan Cease, RHP - A deal for Cease is predicated on the Padres falling far enough behind the Dodgers and Giants that they aren’t really in contention for the division, but Cease is on this list because the Red Sox were linked to him through various rumors right before spring training began. Cease, like the other two starters on this list, has had a mediocre season so far. He’s also 1-1 and is sporting a 6.04 ERA. He’s still striking people out though, currently holding a 26.5% strikeout rate on the season. Cease would be a rental and that would help diminish whatever return went back to San Diego, but he would slot in nicely as a number two or three starter in the current rotation.
    • Bryan Woo, RHP - The Red Sox got a front row view of what Woo is capable of on Thursday when he dazzled in the final start of the series against the Mariners. Woo is young and would be expensive, much like Ragans above. He currently has the best record out of any starter on this list at 3-1 and holds the lowest ERA at 3.09. He’s working a 21.2% strikeout rate and is only walking batters at a 5.8% clip. He would slot in nicely as a number three in Boston, giving guys like Garrett Crochet, Walker Buehler, and Brayan Bello another much-needed reliable arm in the rotation.
    • Jared Jones, RHP - Another name that came up in connection with the Red Sox during the offseason, Jones is currently on the shelf until further notice after sustaining a UCL sprain during a bullpen session in March. It was determined that the ligament is stable and Jones will not have to undergo surgery, and he’s expected back at some point this season. Jones has tantalizing stuff. Last season, he employed a four-seam fastball that averaged 97.3 mph, a slider that averaged 88.8 mph, a curveball that averaged 81.5 mph, and a changeup that averaged 89.9 mph. His combination of pitch mix and relatively high arm slot allows him to work a high strikeout percentage (26.2% in 2024), and a high ground-ball percentage (38.7%). He’s the exact type of arm that Boston should want as part of their starting rotation for many seasons to come, though he'd be prohibitively expensive.

    Potential Needle-Movers

    • Kumar Rocker, RHP - It’s very likely the Rangers will have no interest in dealing Rocker, and for good reason. Rocker is young, cheap, and controllable. He’s had an interesting path to the big leagues and his ERA this season is currently through the roof at 8.10. However, he’s currently operating with a 4.28 FIP and his strikeout rate (16.8%) leaves a bit to be desired, but he’s still pretty raw considering he came out of the pitcher factory that is Vanderbilt University. Working with someone like Andrew Bailey could unlock a new level for Rocker, making him incredibly valuable in the future.
    • Jordan Walker, OF - I can hear the comments already, “But Alex, don’t the Cardinals use Jordan Walker in right field?” Correct you are, dear commenter. However, Walker came up through minor leagues as a third baseman who would see time at first on occasion. In fact, he was in conversation for the first base job in the big leagues going into his rookie season. Walker is a natural infielder, and profiles as a dominant first baseman if given the chance to fully step into the role. He’s 6’6” and 250 pounds. His right-handed swing would play well at Fenway Park, even if he didn’t do much during the home opening series. Being somewhat local to St. Louis, I've kept tabs on him since his minor league days. The Cardinals are going through an entire system overhaul, and much of it is because of how broken Walker’s swing became last year. I’m not saying Pete Fatse can work miracles, but the potential for Walker to break out of his shell somewhere besides The Show-Me State is there.
    • Spencer Torkelson, 1B - Torkelson is currently slashing .264/.373/.571. He came screaming through the Tigers’ minor league system and then didn’t make much of an impact once he hit the big leagues. He would have been listed with the big splashes, but the Tigers have made it seem like he would be available for the right price, so he was moved down a tier. Torkelson is a former number one overall draft pick, and while those aren’t guaranteed stars in baseball, he still profiles as someone who could reach at least All-Star potential from season to season. He calls an incredibly pitcher-friendly park home and that has stifled his offensive numbers — Fenway could become his own personal playground.
    • Michael Wacha, RHP - Wacha experienced a bit of career resurgence during his lone season in Boston in 2022. His numbers are all over the place this season, as he’s currently posting a 4.15 ERA, his strikeout rate is down, and his ground-ball percentage is up. The bigger cause for concern is that all of his pitchers are currently averaging slower speeds than they did last year. However, Wacha has proven he can be successful in Boston and should the Red Sox buy at the deadline, he’s a pitcher who wouldn’t be incredibly expensive.

    Fringe Additions

    • Christian Vazquez, C - Vazquez is a fan-favorite from his time in Boston, and the deal that sent him to the Astros at the deadline brought in Wilyer Abreu, so he’s been helpful in more ways than one. The real benefit here is for his veteran presence and ability to work with pitchers. Connor Wong is on the mend, Carlos Narvaez has yet to find his footing at the plate, and Blake Sabol is better left not talked about. Vazquez obviously wouldn’t be brought in to start at catcher, but he could mentor Wong and Narvaez.
    • Justin Turner, 1B - There were rumors that the Red Sox were interested in bringing Turner back to Boston during the offseason. Even though his time with the club ended quietly, there are few players who made an impact on the fanbase and city like Turner did during his one year in Boston. He isn’t bringing much offensive firepower anymore, but he still plays a capable first base and would be useful to spell Triston Casas from time to time.
    • Rowdy Tellez, 1B - The very definition of power over average, Tellez would slide into the backup first base role with ease in Boston. He’s a left-handed hitter who only really pulls the ball, but being able to take batting practice regularly at Fenway would allow him to figure out how to let the ball get deeper in the zone and drive hits toward the Green Monster.

    The other big question is who would the Red Sox give up in any potential packages. The system is ripe with talent in both the outfield and at the shortstop position. Outside of Roman Anthony and likely Marcelo Mayer, everyone else in the system is available to be traded in the right package. As we talked about on the most recent episode of The Talk Sox Podcast, Triston Casas doesn’t seem like he’s long for this roster anymore. Jarren Duran has likely seen the peak of his value at this point and the Red Sox would be better served to sell as high as they can on him. Most of these deals, even in the big splash category, would likely get done with a package centered around Duran.

    Who do you think the Red Sox should be targeting as we get deeper into the season? Let us know in the comments!

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    How realistic is it that the pitching-poor Seattle Mariners would trade 25-year-old right-hander Bryan Woo, who this season has a 3.09 ERA in five starts with four years of team control after this season?

    With George Kirby on the IL and Logan Gilbert leaving Friday's start with forearm tightness, the Mariners are in no position to trade a starter. Seattle currently ranks 12th in the league with an ERA+ of 94 and second in the AL with an OPS+ of 118.

    Instead of trade targets, who would be trade candidates if the Red Sox are out of contention at the trade deadline?

    48 minutes ago, harmony said:

    How realistic is it that the pitching-poor Seattle Mariners would trade 25-year-old right-hander Bryan Woo, who this season has a 3.09 ERA in five starts with four years of team control after this season?

    With George Kirby on the IL and Logan Gilbert leaving Friday's start with forearm tightness, the Mariners are in no position to trade a starter. Seattle currently ranks 12th in the league with an ERA+ of 94 and second in the AL with an OPS+ of 118.

    Instead of trade targets, who would be trade candidates if the Red Sox are out of contention at the trade deadline?

    Point?

    Here we have an article about the Sox looking for pitching less than 3 weeks after trading away Quinn Priester…

    It’s also possible the Sox go the more traditional pending free agent route and look at pitchers like German Márquez, Tyler Anderson, Erick Fedde, Brandon Woodruff, etc.   Maybe we can even get Chris Sale back!  We still have Vaughn “Big Receipt” Grissom…

    1 hour ago, notin said:

    Point?

    Here we have an article about the Sox looking for pitching less than 3 weeks after trading away Quinn Priester…

    Giolito is right on target... to opt in: 13 walks, 18 hits in 17 minor league innings so far. Hope most is just residue from working on a new pitch.

    I don't see us trading for an OF'er, at all, even if he plays or can play 1B.

    I don't think we trade for a 1Bman, unless Casas is below .675 by mid May, and even then, doubtful. We might try Grissom/Romy for a while, first.

    The only everyday slot I see us addressing might be catcher, and I don't think Vaz is the answer, I like Narvaez a lot, but with a blackhole as out FT CF'er, I don't think we can have a second one in the line up at catcher. I think Narvaez could/would be a very nice second catcher, and Id rather have a blackhole on O ar catcher than CF, but Rafaela seems to have a very long leash.

    I do see Anthony squeezing out some playing time from Rafaela and Refsnyder, eventually, but I'm not sure when that happens. If it happens sooner rather than  later, and he hits well, then maybe we let the catcher position rise it out.

    I'm also not sure we focus on obtaining a SP'er, even with Gio looking shaky in rehab and Houck scaring the living daylights out of most Sox fans. I think Buehler has turned the corner, so we have a solid 1-2 punch. I'm hopeful Bello can be a decent #3, if Houck cannot. I totally get the concern over the 4-5 slots and  Houck/Bello plus Newcomb, Dobbins & Fitts (on IL.) but that is 5 pitchers for 3 slots, not counting Gio or possibles like Criswell, Wink or adding Drohan to the 40. I'm not counting on Sandoval, at all.

    I think the pen is where we will look, despite the massive depth of mediocrity we seem to have accumulated. We can't afford another Luis Garcia- Lucas Sims situation. Kelly, Weissert, Guerrero, Wilson, Wink and Criswell seem to volatile to be considered reliable. Some farm arms look like possibilities but are not on the 40 (yet.) Drohan, Stock, Burdi, Mata and I Campbell are maybe the closest to consideration.

    I don't see a trade until nearer the deadline, unless we have a major injury.

    3 hours ago, notin said:

    Point?

    Here we have an article about the Sox looking for pitching less than 3 weeks after trading away Quinn Priester…

    I would have targeted starting pitching on a list this far out from the deadline even if Priester was still in the organization. I don't think I'd compare him to any, possibly all, of the starters listed here. You could maybe argue Rocker, but I'd rather have Rocker's ceiling than Priester, even with the early returns from Milwaukee. 

    4 minutes ago, Alex Mayes said:

    I would have targeted starting pitching on a list this far out from the deadline even if Priester was still in the organization. I don't think I'd compare him to any, possibly all, of the starters listed here. You could maybe argue Rocker, but I'd rather have Rocker's ceiling than Priester, even with the early returns from Milwaukee. 

    But most of the names on that list are probably unattainable.  Dylan Cease? Woo? Jones? Ragans?  Higher ceiling or not, that guys aren’t moving.  Especially since all but Jones will likely be in the postseason chase…

    I think the cost of getting a really good SP'er during the season is way higher than the winter.

    I think Brez realizes that and that is why he added Crochet, Buehler, Sandoval (and Newcomb.) The return of Gio was supposed to be like adding a decent starter.

    Which team would say no to this trade, assuming ATL is out of playoff contention near the deadline:


    To ATL:

    Marcelo Mayer (6-7 years of control)

    Yoshida at $18.6M from 2025 to 2027 plus $12M a year offset

    To BOS:

    C Sean Murphy  at $15M 2025-2028 w option ($12.6 Tax hit)

     LHP Dylan Lee 3 arbs left

     

    The Sox tax hit is about even, but ATL saves some money per year.

    6 hours ago, Alex Mayes said:

    I would have targeted starting pitching on a list this far out from the deadline even if Priester was still in the organization. I don't think I'd compare him to any, possibly all, of the starters listed here. You could maybe argue Rocker, but I'd rather have Rocker's ceiling than Priester, even with the early returns from Milwaukee. 

    To get a Woo, Ragans, Rocker and the like without giving up Mayer or Anthony is a pipedream....

    11 hours ago, Jasonbay44 said:

    I don’t see almost any of those pitchers as realistic to acquire except maybe Alcantara because Marlins are pretty dumb. 

    A lot of really good pitchers get traded, and not just the 2 month rental traded. We just got Crochet, as an example.

    I think Mayer or Anthony could be the foundation to a trade that not many other teams have to offer.

    I'm not looking to trade Anthony, and it would take a very nice return to get me to listen for either of our top two prospects.

    If you look at the success of the Sox over the last 2 decades, much is due to acquiring a great young pitchers and later extending them.

    All via trade...

    Pedro

    Beckett

    Sale

    Crochet (I hope brings major success)

    Other young and not so young additions helped, too (not all by trade)

    Wakefield FA

    Lowe Trade

    Schilling FA

    Dice K IFA

    Lackey FA

    Price FA

    ERod, Porcello & Nate by  Trade

    In the last 25-30 years, only 2 of our top 14 SP'ers by WAR were homegrown:

    2. Lester

    8. Buchholz

    After #14:

    15. Houck

    16. Pivetta Trade

    17. Saberhagen FA

    18. Arroyo Waivers

    19. Bello

    20. Crawford

    21-30: Burkett, F Castillo, Gordon, Doubront, Pomeranz, Nomo, Wells, Hill, Fossum, Clement

    Only 5 of our top 28 were homegrown, and 3 are active and might move up.

    8 minutes ago, Bellhorn04 said:

    The Sox made their blockbuster trade for Crochet and they followed through with the extension.

    I don't believe Anthony and Mayer are going anywhere, except to Boston.   

    I agree. If we could count on Story's health and Bregman coming back, maybe Mayer could be considered, but those two unknowns make it too risky.

    If we wait a year or two, maybe something changes. Maybe prospects like Arias and Romero (who could be blocked, when he is ML ready) gain enough trade value to be the foundation of a major trade. (Maybe one of those two middle infielders rise up enough to help us feel safe enough to trade Mayer.)

    With Duran and Abreu in the OF and Rafaela looking like he may never get his offense to the level of acceptability, there is room for Anthony.

    When you look at middle infield and the OF, having two guys like Campbell and Rafaela, who can play CF and MI, there is some flexibility on making a bold choice on which prospect or vet to trade, but I do think that day will come- perhaps this coming winter, even if Bregman bolts and Story's health stays equally up in the air.

    27 minutes ago, moonslav59 said:

    A lot of really good pitchers get traded, and not just the 2 month rental traded. We just got Crochet, as an example.

    I think Mayer or Anthony could be the foundation to a trade that not many other teams have to offer.

    I'm not looking to trade Anthony, and it would take a very nice return to get me to listen for either of our top two prospects.

    If you look at the success of the Sox over the last 2 decades, much is due to acquiring a great young pitchers and later extending them.

    All via trade...

    Pedro

    Beckett

    Sale

    Crochet (I hope brings major success)

    Other young and not so young additions helped, too (not all by trade)

    Wakefield FA

    Lowe Trade

    Schilling FA

    Dice K IFA

    Lackey FA

    Price FA

    ERod, Porcello & Nate by  Trade

    In the last 25-30 years, only 2 of our top 14 SP'ers by WAR were homegrown:

    2. Lester

    8. Buchholz

    After #14:

    15. Houck

    16. Pivetta Trade

    17. Saberhagen FA

    18. Arroyo Waivers

    19. Bello

    20. Crawford

    21-30: Burkett, F Castillo, Gordon, Doubront, Pomeranz, Nomo, Wells, Hill, Fossum, Clement

    Only 5 of our top 28 were homegrown, and 3 are active and might move up.

    Sure, It is rare though for a stud young pitcher to be moved mid season. Beckett, Crotchet, Sale and Pedro were all off season trades. 

    31 minutes ago, Jasonbay44 said:

    Sure, It is rare though for a stud young pitcher to be moved mid season. Beckett, Crotchet, Sale and Pedro were all off season trades. 

    Agreed, and the cost is usually way too high.

    Here are some recent mid season trades:

    2024: Kikuchi (rental) to HOU, Eflin (injured) to BAL, Flaherty to LAD - none were close to aces.

    2023: Verlander (rental) to HOU

    2022: Castillo to SEA might be the most recent example.

    Maybe I'm missing somebody.

    15 minutes ago, moonslav59 said:

    Agreed, and the cost is usually way too high.

    Here are some recent mid season trades:

    2024: Kikuchi (rental) to HOU, Eflin (injured) to BAL, Flaherty to LAD - none were close to aces.

    2023: Verlander (rental) to HOU

    2022: Castillo to SEA might be the most recent example.

    Maybe I'm missing somebody.

    Aging veteran starters and rentals are the only ones who usually get moved mid season and often cost a lot. They can be useful as we’ve seen with Eovaldi and Peavy but it’s rare to see an ace move or even a young pitcher with control like Woo. 
     

    Even when Castillo was moved, I think he only had a year and half of control left and at the time people thought the Reds got a good prospect haul. However, I think most of them haven’t worked out and Marte has battled steroid suspensions. 

    13 minutes ago, Jasonbay44 said:

    Aging veteran starters and rentals are the only ones who usually get moved mid season and often cost a lot. They can be useful as we’ve seen with Eovaldi and Peavy but it’s rare to see an ace move or even a young pitcher with control like Woo. 
     

    Even when Castillo was moved, I think he only had a year and half of control left and at the time people thought the Reds got a good prospect haul. However, I think most of them haven’t worked out and Marte has battled steroid suspensions. 

    I am agreeing with you.

    Yes, Castillo had 2 months and 1 arb left, and the Ms gave up a lot to get him, then extended him to near market rates.

    It is very rare, indeed.

    I am almost always for trading for top of rotation SP'ers, but rarely mid-season, and I still think we have some of the best rotation depth in MLB, this season, despite the Priester trade. We've already seen decent results from Fitts (now on the IL,) Dobbins and Newcomb, who we not even top 6 in our winter rotation depth chart.

    While we knew Sandoval and Murphy would be on the 60 day IL to start the season, and Gio and Carwford would miss some time, this is how I saw our rotation depth chart like this:

    1. Crochet

    2. Houck

    3. Buehler

    4. Bello

    5. Sandoval (60 Day IL)

    6/7. Crawford (IL to 60 day?) & Giolito (rehabbing now)

    8. Fitts (added to IL, recently)

    9. Priester (traded away)

    10/11/12. Criswell, Whitlock and Wink were still being talked about as starters, although I wanted all in the pen.

    13/14. Murphy (60 day IL) &  Dobbins

    15. Mata (not on 40 and now in pen)

    16. Drohan (not on 40)

    17. Sandlin (in AA and not considered ML ready)

    Newcomb was basically unknown and not in rotation consideration my most of us.

     

     

    On 4/26/2025 at 8:27 PM, moonslav59 said:

    Which team would say no to this trade, assuming ATL is out of playoff contention near the deadline:


    To ATL:

    Marcelo Mayer (6-7 years of control)

    Yoshida at $18.6M from 2025 to 2027 plus $12M a year offset

    To BOS:

    C Sean Murphy  at $15M 2025-2028 w option ($12.6 Tax hit)

     LHP Dylan Lee 3 arbs left

     

    The Sox tax hit is about even, but ATL saves some money per year.

    If I’m Atlanta, I take that deal in a heartbeat.  If I’m Boston I fire my CBO for proposing it…

    Mayer now leads professional baseball with 34 Runs Batted In. 

    That same pace over 500 ABs will give Marcelo 170 ribbies.

    Russell Stover, the authority on sweet swings, equates MM's start to a 36-ounce, 72-piece assorted Whitman's Giant Sampler.

     

    3 minutes ago, 5GoldGlovesOF,75 said:

    Mayer now leads professional baseball with 34 Runs Batted In. 

    That same pace over 500 ABs will give Marcelo 170 ribbies.

    Russell Stover, the authority on sweet swings, equates MM's start to a 36-ounce, 72-piece assorted Whitman's Giant Sampler.

     

    34 RBI in 23 games - unusual!  



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