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Posted

Draft week is finally here! We’ll have a ton of coverage for you here at Talk Sox. Here’s a few important details to get you oriented to our coverage.

The Red Sox finished the 2024 season with the 13th worst record in MLB. Normally, their draft bonus pool would be lower than other teams who receive compensation picks for being revenue receiving teams. The Red Sox will have the 13th largest bonus pool overall, at $12,409,300. This is a function of receiving an additional pick (33rd overall) from the Brewers as part of the Quinn Priester trade.

The Red Sox top 100 picks and slot values are as follows:
Slot value for pick 15: $5,114,200
Slot value for pick 33: $2,898,300
Slot value for pick 75: $1,093,800 (compensation for Nick Pivetta)
Slot value for pick 87: $907,200

The Red Sox forfeited their second round pick for signing a player who received the qualifying offer.

You can find our MLB Draft board here.

This is a project I’ve been working on since February. The rankings are consensus rankings, taken from leveraging all of the major draft boards in the industry. The goal is to eliminate some of the noise in rankings for casual fans looking to get more interested and get to know the class better. You’ll find the logo from the team next to their pick positions in each round, to give folks an idea of the caliber of talent available in a particular portion of the draft.

By Sunday, you’ll find a write up for 136 player profiles with biographical information, scouting reports, 2025 performance for college players, and potential fits. The board will be updated every day or so until day one.

Additionally, we’ll be live streaming an episode of Destination: The Show through the entirety of day one. We’ll get started at 5:30 ET/4:30 CT. We’ll bring you information on all day one picks, live reactions, and team-specific special guests. We hope you’ll join us.

 

 


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Posted

Final mock draft answers

ESPN (McDaniel) - Gavin Fien, 3B, High School (CA).  ESPN's #12 ranked available.  Uneven spring but very good last summer

Athletic (Law) - Gavin Kilen, SS, Tennessee.  McDaniel noted that Sox was interested in him in high school.  Law observed Kilen scores well in the batted ball data and swing decision metrics the Red Sox like, and last year 9 of the Top 10 picks were collegians.  With the scouting reduction and increased focus on Statcast type data, Law assumes it will remain college heavy.  

Law's Big Board rankings of Sox connected guys https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/6454202/2025/07/01/mlb-draft-2025-top-100-prospects-holliday-doyle/

Gavin Kilen #7

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Kilen transferred from Louisville to Tennessee this year and started the season on fire, going 9-for-15 with four homers at the Minute Maid* Tournament against Oklahoma State, Rice and Arizona. (*It has another name now, but I’ll call it Minute Maid forever.) The only thing that stopped him all spring was a hamstring injury that took him out for close to a month; other than that, he hit for contact and power, walking more than he’s struck out, playing capable defense at short and above-average defense at second. Kilen struck out in just 11 percent of his PA this year, and his whiff rate on pitches in the zone is just 10 percent, yet he still hits for significant power, topping out over 110 mph and boosting his average exit velocity about 2 mph over his sophomore year. He’s going to end up at second base in pro ball, maybe starting out there, with a chance to hit .300+ with at least solid-average power

Gavin Fien #12

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Fien is one of the bigger enigmas in the draft class, as he was clearly the best hitter on the showcase circuit last year, making a ton of hard contact against all manner of pitching, but didn't have the same success this spring against lesser competition while playing for his regular high school team. At his best, Fien has excellent bat speed and plate discipline to match, rarely whiffing or chasing; in a modest sample last year, he swung at pitches beyond the shadow of the zone just 11 percent of the time. He showed at least 55 power and projected to plus, with such great feel to hit that he seemed like he’d be one of the first high school players selected. This year, he’s still making a lot of contact, but not the kind of hard line-drive contact that he made last summer. He still has great hand speed and loft in his finish to get the ball in the air, but he’s less fluid, top and bottom, and a little longer to the ball. The result is his timing has been off — but he has had it before, and that’s something that you can fix, a lot more easily than overhauling a swing or trying to teach someone to stop chasing sliders down and away. He has a 70 arm and while he’s almost certainly moving from shortstop to third base in pro ball, he’s a good enough athlete that he could be a plus defender at the hot corner. There’s some risk here given the performance this spring, but that looks like a buy-low opportunity for some team that probably thought in January it would have no shot to draft a player of his talent. He’s committed to Texas.

Xavier Neyens, #17, 3B, High School (WA)

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Neyens has some of the best raw power of anyone in the high school class this year, getting up to 108 mph at showcases last summer, with a high-effort swing that boasts strong bat speed and puts the ball in the air a ton. He has hit well this spring against local competition, but at tracked events last summer/fall and this spring he’s shown too much propensity to whiff on pitches in the zone — 23 percent of the time he swings at them, including fastballs in the upper half. He doesn’t chase, with a swing rate on pitches out of the zone of just 11 percent in those same events, so the issue is contact on strikes, not ball/strike recognition. He has a strong arm and should be able to stick at third base, where the power would make him an above-average regular if he hits enough to get to it. If there’s a consensus on him now, it’s that we don’t know if his hit tool is advanced enough to support the rest of the package. He’s committed to Oregon State.

Charles Davalan #25, OF, Arkansas

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Davalan is an age-eligible sophomore from Waterloo, Ontario in Canada, who hit .350/.434/.573 in his first year with the Razorbacks, with more walks than strikeouts through the Regionals and at least average power. A transfer from Florida Gulf Coast, Davalan is an extreme contact hitter, with a whiff rate last year of 15 percent and just 11 percent this year despite the jump in competition. It’s not a short swing, however, and he gets his hands back enough to generate plenty of bat speed for hard contact, with a hard-hit rate of 47 percent this year and peak EV over 110. He can definitely play an above-average left field, with a handful of games in center this year and on the Cape last summer; if you think he’s a center fielder, he’s probably a top 15-20 pick.

 

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