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Posted

vs. Josh Tomlin

 

http://www.waitingfornextyear.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/07/Josh-Tomlin.jpg

 

GO TRIBE

Posted

I put together a little scouting report for this series:

 

CLE Scouting Report (4/5 - 4/7)

Sox have a series coming up against Cleveland in which they will face 3 RHP in Mitch Talbot, Josh Tomlin, and Fausto Carmona. The Sox will counter with Josh Beckett, DiceK Matsuzaka, and Jon Lester. Here's a quick scouting report.

 

Talbot - Career vs BOS: 7 IP, 6 ER, 7 BB, 7.71 ERA. Walks a ton of hitters. Career 4.26 BB/9, gets into a lot of hitters counts as he only throws around 54% first pitch strikes (to put it into perspective, DiceK throws 59% first pitch strikes). Patient hitters will destroy this guy, and last time (and only time) he faced the Sox, he put, on average, 2.5 men on base per inning, or 5 men on every 2 innings. Get to him early, he allowed 52 of his 90 total ER in 2010 in his first 45 pitches.

 

Tomlin - Cleveland's number 5 man, also has just one appearance vs BOS, in which he threw 7 IP and allowed 4 ER (5.14 ERA). This guy has only had 12 MLB starts, so he's very fresh. Attacks the zone with 60.5% first pitch strikes and a 2.34 BB/9. Fly ball pitcher, 50.4% of the balls in play against him are in the air, 8.5% HR/FB ratio. Fastball sits at around 89-90, cutter at around 85-86, and these are the two pitches he relies heavily on (represents 80% of the pitches thrown in 2010). Early aggressiveness could pay off, first pitch you see will usually be pretty good.

 

Carmona - Cleveland's ace. Has thrown 29.2 IP against Boston, posting a 4.25 ERA and a 4.85 BB/9 against them. Cut down on his walks significantly last year. Not a strikeout pitcher by any means, only averaging around 5 K/9. Like Tomlin, he pounded the zone last year, throwing 62% first pitch strikes. Fastball - Slider pitcher. Throws those two pitches over 86% of the time. Fastball will sit right at 93, slider at around 85. Groundball pitcher, in his career he has averaged 60% ground balls on balls put in play. Sox struggled against him the last couple of years, however with the projected line up we put out there, the team has a .300 BA against him and should do fine. It should be noted that Carmona is coming off a start in which he threw 3 IP, allowing 10 ER and scattering 11 hits.

 

As for our pitchers going:

 

Beckett - Even in his horrible year last year, he found a silver lining when playing against the Guardians, posting a 1.13 ERA in 8 IP. This is his first start of the year, and he looked great against Houston. Beckett doesn't struggle horribly in April, posting a 4.13 ERA, so he should be up for a strong start. He has a career 5.56 ERA vs CLE, so hopefully he can trend toward his 2010 numbers on Tuesday.

 

Matsuzaka - I'm never sure if Jeckyl or Hyde is the good one, but whichever one is good, that's the one who shows up when DiceK plays the Guardians. Last year he threw 16 IP vs CLE, allowing 1 ER and posting a 0.56 ERA (including 8 innings of 4 hit, shut out baseball in his outing at Progressive Field). In his career, he's thrown 34.2 IP of 2.34 ERA baseball against the Guardians. After an impressive final 3 outings in Spring Training in which he posted a 1.67 ERA, we can surprisingly expect DiceK to have a solid start to the season.

 

Lester - Surprisingly enough, Lester doesn't have the best track record against Cleveland, posting a 4.53 ERA against them, including a 6.83 ERA at Progressive. Combine that with his typical April starts, and this doesn't bode well. Last year, Lester got shelled vs CLE, throwing 11 IP to the tune of a 6.55 ERA. Some more bad news, though - you have to go all the way back to 2007 to find the last year Lester posted a sub-7.50 ERA at Progressive Field.

 

As far as our newcomers go, here are their stats vs the projected starters

 

Vs Talbot:

Crawford: 0-3

Gonzalez: No Appearances

 

Vs Tomlin:

Crawford: No Appearances

Gonzalez: No Appearances

 

Vs Carmona:

Crawford: 4-14 with a double and a triple?

Gonzalez: No Appearances

Posted
With the 3 subpar to outright awful starts out the gate, they need a strong outing from Beckett. Spring training's over, the games count, lets get the starting pitching on track.
Posted
Why would we get mad? Cheer all you want just don't go crazy if you win saying s*** how "We're going to be good this year after beating the Sox" or "I told you the Guardians were going to win". To be fair you think the Guardians are going to win every game they're bound to win some right? If you're so sure the Guardians will take the series put your money where your mouth is and lets have a avatar bet. You should be use to it already since you pretty much lost to every fan outside of the pats on talkpats. If you accept I'll even let you pick the duration of how long the loser has to where it. That'll make things a little interesting.
Posted
Here's something interesting. Apparently Beckett was skipping his bullpen between starts last year because of fatigue and pains.
Old-Timey Member
Posted
Don't get mad at me when I cheer non-stop tomorrow for my tribe

Find a Tribe forum for your pom pom waving. If you have to do it here, you are no different than Jacko.

Posted
Why would we get mad? Cheer all you want just don't go crazy if you win saying s*** how "We're going to be good this year after beating the Sox" or "I told you the Guardians were going to win". To be fair you think the Guardians are going to win every game they're bound to win some right? If you're so sure the Guardians will take the series put your money where your mouth is and lets have a avatar bet. You should be use to it already since you pretty much lost to every fan outside of the pats on talkpats. If you accept I'll even let you pick the duration of how long the loser has to where it. That'll make things a little interesting.

 

I'll pass

Posted
anybody think the lineup will change in a big way?

 

Wouldn't be surprised. Finding a spot for Crawford has to be taken care of. I don't think 7th is the long-term solution.

Posted

Line up is out.

 

Ellsbury

Crawford

Pedroia

Gonzalez

Youkilis

Ortiz

Drew

Salty

Scutaro

 

Couple things - I thought Tek would be catching today for Beckett, and also I like Pedey hitting 3rd. You get Ells or Craw on base, all of a sudden Pedroia gets fed fastball after fastball, and he crushes those. I like this line up.

Posted
Line up is out.

 

Ellsbury

Crawford

Pedroia

Gonzalez

Youkilis

Ortiz

Drew

Salty

Scutaro

 

Couple things - I thought Tek would be catching today for Beckett, and also I like Pedey hitting 3rd. You get Ells or Craw on base, all of a sudden Pedroia gets fed fastball after fastball, and he crushes those. I like this line up.

 

i can dig it ,i use that line-up in 2k and it works

Posted
I'm torn. If it rains in Boston' date=' the game will be canceled. But it also will clean the birdpoop off my car.[/quote']

 

If it rains in Boston why would the game be cancelled?

Posted

By the way lineup for tribe tonight:

 

Michael Brantley CF

Asdrubal Cabrera SS

Shin soo choo RF

Carlos Santana C

Travis Hafner DH

Orlando Cabrera 2B

Austin Kearns LF

Matt LaPorta 1B

Jack Hannahan 3B

Posted
If it rains in Boston why would the game be cancelled?

 

Haha, oops. My buddy told me he was going to the game tomorrow in Boston, and completely threw me off. Is it raining in Ohio?

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