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5GoldGlovesOF,75

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Everything posted by 5GoldGlovesOF,75

  1. 5GoldGlovesOF,75
    It actually does, but you have to pay to access -- I paid $6 for a month of Stathead when I was researching a project.
  2. 5GoldGlovesOF,75
    Trading Beni for a prospect would just be giving up on Beni; he had a mediocre '19, and a crap Covid July in '20, so that's it? It's mystifying how a guy can go from top-rated talent -- by just about everyone -- to good MLB hitter and fielder, a 20-20 HR/SB player, to basically cut at age 26... isn't that the kind of guy Bloom likes to acquire? Maybe there's a physical issue undisclosed to the public, even a vision problem. There has to be some reason that quick bat that sprayed gap-to-gap liners in the bigs from '16-18 suddenly fouled back every first-pitch fastball the next year, eventually devolving into too many swinging strikeouts or grounders to second.
  3. 5GoldGlovesOF,75
    It's not my gospel, I was sharing the link. I actually like b-ref better, because my simpleton stat brain finds it more user-friendly.
  4. 5GoldGlovesOF,75
    Speaking of Face of the Franchise on a literal level: after Game Seven of the '04 ALCS, someone snuck around NYC and spray-painted a silhouette of Damon all over town.
  5. 5GoldGlovesOF,75
    With you on tall Marcus; saw him and Duran in the same outfield a few years back and didn't see a single big league tool; at least Duran could fly (and last summer reportedly added more pop in RI).
  6. 5GoldGlovesOF,75
    It was Fangraphs; a reliable site according to some posters.
  7. 5GoldGlovesOF,75
    https://blogs.fangraphs.com/top-45-prospects-boston-red-sox/ Interesting projections... the following have ETAs sometime this year: Mata, Seabold, Bazardo, Rosario, Potts, Wong, Whitlock, Feltman, Wilson. My goal is to hopefully still be around in '24 to see the debuts of Matt Lugo and Juan Chacon.
  8. 5GoldGlovesOF,75
    DJ is great, but Bloom parting with over $100 million, a QO draft pick and a five-year roster commitment for a guy in his 30s would seem to go against everything this particular Baseball Officer has done so far... The modern second base position -- where half the time the guy stands in right field, 15 feet behind first -- is such a low priority compared to the really good pitching the Red Sox so drastically need to be relevant again. Plus, he's 6'4 -- and large Yankees historically break down every season.
  9. 5GoldGlovesOF,75
    Bruce Hurst? Jason Bay? Ok... nomar jokes -- and yet: sources confirm multiple Red Sox posters facetiously discussing the cold stove season.
  10. 5GoldGlovesOF,75
    But think of the t-shirts sales. Chuck Nasty would be his own entire band of bearded brother.
  11. 5GoldGlovesOF,75
    Odorizzi, Lester, Hand, Yates, Kike, Marisnick... the latter two are placeholders, the four pitchers are to hold my hair in place (what's left of it).
  12. 5GoldGlovesOF,75
    If Bloom agrees to take Blackmon, the Rox would be required to throw in Jon Gray; I have a feeling this is the kind of deal he's aiming for in all his trade scenarios... and maybe that's why nothing has happened yet (since everyone seems to be waiting for big free agent dominoes to fall before acting).
  13. 5GoldGlovesOF,75
    I think there's almost as much of a chance of JBJ staying as LA trading us Betts' albatross contract and throwing in Josiah Gray as an incentive.
  14. 5GoldGlovesOF,75
    The only way JD gets near the outfield grass is if he smokes it.
  15. 5GoldGlovesOF,75
    Don't forget the guy from the ring reunion, when a-hugging Pesky yelled, "Leskanic, you sonuvabitch!"
  16. 5GoldGlovesOF,75
    This is good stuff, lots of factors to consider. What about the strategy of managers of runaway division champs who take their foot off the gas the last week before the postseason to rest regulars and limit innings for key pitchers? It seems like a requirement of every dominant club that clinches early to coast until October...
  17. 5GoldGlovesOF,75
    This is a set-up: who was hotter than our '04 champs in winning their last eight games vs. the team with the best AL record, and then the club with the best overall record?
  18. 5GoldGlovesOF,75
    But maybe -- "since momentum is the next day's starting pitcher" -- the hotter teams more often than not just have the hotter pitchers. This may also be a direct product of the freshest arms; the '71 O's Big Four each started 30 games or more, 90% of Baltimore's schedule... meanwhile, the Pirates had seven guys start at least 13 games.
  19. 5GoldGlovesOF,75
    I remember '71 well -- it went seven games with a 2-1 Game Seven -- a good example of hot pitchers tipping the scale: Blass, Briles and Kison were just a little better than Palmer, McNally and Cuellar.
  20. 5GoldGlovesOF,75
    I always appreciate those who cite quantitative data, as long as they don't discount qualitative data. Many factors beyond just chance can determine outcomes between two good teams in the postseason. Some of those aspects can include head-to-head records, and who's hotter, healthier and hungrier; the latter Hs often combine to form the concept of momentum -- which may just be late-season additions at the trade deadline or rookie call-ups (whose young, supple muscle tissues have an advantage over more brittle veterans on cold October nights). Exhibit TB: Randy Arozarena. Many GMs talk of increasing their odds by constructing rosters "built to win in the postseason" -- so there must be something to it. For those of us who remember the '88 and '90 seasons, the Red Sox were clearly overmatched by the mighty A's. But while Boston couldn't win one single game vs. Oakland, seemingly inferior teams like LA and Cincy pulled off major upsets by dominating. How? Are we overanalyzing? Does the old adage Good Pitching Beats Good Hitting still supersede all other theories?
  21. 5GoldGlovesOF,75
    If Beni goes, they're signing Rosario. Cora likes him, and he's half the cost of Ozuna.
  22. 5GoldGlovesOF,75
    Well, it wouldn't make sense to look back before there were Wild Cards -- eight-team leagues where only the pennant winner advances isn't crappy at all. Maybe Bellhorn's idea of comparing fates of the hottest teams down the stretch is worth a look -- like Washington. Then again, in '07 there was Colorado, which won 21 of 22 to get to the Series -- only to get swept by Papelbon's Sox. And who could forget the Moneyball A's of '02, who won 20 in a row and then lost in the ALDS first round to the Twins (was that their last postseason win?)... while the second-place Angels went all the way (why didn't they make a movie about them?). Teams with the best overall records certainly have to be favored, even slightly, though... if only because they stayed hot all season long.
  23. 5GoldGlovesOF,75
    World Series winners in the entire Wild Card Era: in 26 years -- 7 had the best record in the MLB that year and 5 more had the best record in their leagues. So 12 of 26 or 46% -- almost half the top teams -- went on to win it all. Of the remaining 14 champs, 7 were division winners and the other 7 were Wild Cards. So first place teams won rings in 19 of 26 years or 73% -- nearly three-fourths of the time. Wild Cards won 7 of 26 or 27% -- a little better than one-fourth of the time. Clubs with the best overall records that finished the deal include three from Boston ('07, '13, '18), along with the '09 and '98 Yanks, '16 Cubs and '20 LA. Bet on big markets when they're good.
  24. 5GoldGlovesOF,75
    Lasorda was a lifetime Dodger -- the first guy I ever heard say the color of his blood was Dodger blue. Pitched for the 1955 world champs in Brooklyn, won a few rings managing LA in the 80s... but his best trait was as an ambassador for the sport. Personalities with the enthusiasm of Tommy Lasorda are the MVPs of life.
  25. 5GoldGlovesOF,75
    Good take.
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