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oldtimer

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Everything posted by oldtimer

  1. Pedey was red hot with the bat toward the end of the season. You have to get on base to be a base runner. In that respect, both JBJ and Bogey had problems getting on base during the same period. For that reason, I prefer Pedey batting second and the others later in the lineup, until they show they can hit for a decent average. Both Bogey and JBJ may move forward in that respect in 2017 and I certainly hope they do, for without them hitting we become a much weaker offensive team.
  2. Boston sports writers are saying the Sox were exploring a trade with the Marlins involving Buchholz for a pitching prospect. The Marlins refused at least for now.
  3. Of course there is risk when you bring an Ace pitcher in and trade away very good prospects. Sale at best will start around 35 games and with no feeling out period or significant injuries might post an ERA in the low 3's. The rest of the games we will start guys we had last year although the back end rotation guys probably will not be called on as often. We should give up less total runs in 2017 if all goes well. Missing Ortiz means we probably will not score as many. We have risks with Sandoval at 3rd base, Leon's hitting may not be repeated and JBJ may not have taken the off season to improve his swing. We will learn about this as the season unfolds. What was done will now play out on the field. DD may make one more move with Buch and pick up one more BP pitcher. I don't see more than that happening.
  4. It is hard for me to become excited by our prospects, I count Benintendi as a ML player now. Devers or Travis would have been packaged in the deal had the White Sox wanted them instead of Moncada or Kopech never mind Basabe. We have a solid team going into the season and I hope Sale doesn't get injured and Sandoval can return to ML form. I also hope that Smith can return and make an impact in the BP.
  5. Devers will likely make it to AAA sometime this year and should be considered a 3rd base prospect.
  6. Baseball by the numbers
  7. The core include Sam Travis who appears to be a possible to make the team some time in 2017, Devers who is a longer shot for 2017 and Groome, who is a ways off. No as deep as we might be, but some nice talent to add to the mix.
  8. Clearly, as fans we are not into the intimate details of players attitudes and performances. It also seems clear that the organizations collective wisdom is less than perfect. Castillo, Craig, Sandoval and others seconds that. What should be the goal is to fill real imminent needs with players of at least equal value to those traded, while containing risk? In the case of Sale, you could say we filled a need for a Ace level starting. Was it an imminent need? Our staff looked decent without him but better with him. Is there risk with a pitcher like Sale? Absolutely and the risk is moderate. Were the assets equal of less in value to us? We had a major investment in Moncada who may play in the majors for many years while Kopech appears to have a major league career ahead. Basabe and Diaz are decent assets to fill out a minor league program with a possibility of further development. So at the end of the day, we have to trust that our organization is informed enough and has established the correct goals (win now) and that this trade and or other trades will prove to be beneficial.
  9. I think that there is at least one additional move to be made by DD which might improve the bullpen and/or reduce the payroll. That said, I am also concerned that the risk assumed by trading 4 prospects for one SP could bite us this year. How many SP's rack up major innings year in and year out without incurring injury?
  10. I'm not sure I would count Leon all year as a plus. He certainly fell way off from his hot streak. Also, are you counting on Sandoval as a plus before he shows he can do something good?
  11. I am hopeful we get a better year out of JBJ and Pablo can at least be average from him. Lot to hope for but some like Betts and Pedroia may fall off of last year leaving us needing more hitting. But where would someone like Bautista fit into the lineup? I am reading a book "3 Nights in August"' Buzz Bissinger. The book centers on LaRussa and the deep thinking a manager goes through. In the Preface and Prologue some interesting comments about how resistant to change players are. What they perceive got them to the majors can't be changed, even when it's not working! They have to warm up the same way, approach the plate the same way, even to the point of not stepping on the chalk line in the batters box. Those comments seem to apply to JBJ, who got into a long looping swing and never moved away from it at years end. I am hoping he will redirect and get back to making better contact.
  12. Interesting to see such a diversity of opinion from the so called knowledgeable baseball people.
  13. The winter meetings are essentially over and DD made big moves. The Sale move is mostly regarded favorably on the board, but a significant risk is involved that one Ace with a violent delivery and a lot of innings might be injured leaving us short of two excellent prospects and two other possibles. Only time will tell is the trade is good and DD stated his objective of winning now. The question I has is what other moves are still in the cards? 1. Trade Buch for salary relief and another RP? 2. Move Abad off the roster in a trade deal or packaqed with Buch? 3. Look to trade a catcher and go into the season with 2 and only minor league backup? 4. Acquire a major left handed bat for possible use as a DH? I think the most likely is a deal involving Buch.
  14. No, Rutledge was reacquired in the Rule 5 draft from the Rockies. He is a potential 3rd base backup.
  15. That's a pretty definitive statement. I would think DD is more flexible and would consider any offers that add value to our club.
  16. The basis for getting rid of Shaw doesn't have to be Pablo being in such good shape. There may be other deals. He also mentioned Hernandez and Devers.
  17. One thing pretty noticeable is our starting pitching lineup includes 4 lefties at Fenway, which is not known to be friendly to lefties. Just a consideration of our SPing.
  18. My concern is risk. Losing Sales due to injury is the risk. We are betting probably at least 10 years of ML contributions for Moncada, Basabe may also be a ML for years to come and Kopech has the talent to become a frontline starter in the future. Diaz at least has a chance to become a ML pitcher. That is a lot to lose and the risk is definitely there with sale. I'm not saying DD is wrong in what he did, but I wouldn't have and both opinions can be supported.
  19. With Shaw gone, it gives us a solid fielding 1st baseman and a left handed bat and gives us a chance to put Hanley up as DH. I like the move and had guessed DD might go after Hosmer as a similar get.
  20. Yes, the $5.5 Mil will give us a left handed first base hitting GG winner and allow Hanley to move to DH. Against left handed pitching we could move Hanley back to first and make Young the DH. I think DD made a reasonable move with Moreland. Now, what to do about third. There was mention of Hernandez as a possibility as well as Devers, should Sandoval not work out.
  21. In his news conference, DD said you can never have enough pitching but then added he would have an open mind about trading a starter and mentioned there were other starting prospects in the minors. I am not sure the staff is fully set. Keeping Abad looks like a bad idea.
  22. I am nervous about the trade with the object of winning now. Trading away 4 talented prospects for an ACE could help us in the short term provided Sale can hold together for a couple of seasons. He has a lot of innings on him during the last 5 years and the deal would look bad should he get injured this year. Meanwhile, we gave away a potential top of the rotation type guy and a potential star position player along with a good young outfield prospect and another quality pitching prospect. DD made a decision to use our minor league riches to try to win now. Hope for our sake it doesn't backfire as the risk is seemingly high. Some of you would say no risk no reward. We shall see.
  23. Up to the trade for Sale, I was happy with DD. Now I think he has made a bad mistake that will cost the Red Sox for the next few years.
  24. Trading the #1 prospect in baseball plus the @1 young pitching prospect in our system plus probably 2 more players/prospects for one Ace doesn't make sense to me. For all of you who are elated, remember Sale's velocity is down and he could well get injured and only put in part of a season while we will be without numerous good prospects/players. I can't share anyone enthusiasm about this and hope it isn't true.
  25. I for one hope it isn't true.
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