Nick
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Everything posted by Nick
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What can we expect to get for Xander at year end if he has a repeat of last year?
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+1000 You can't continue to add multiple year, high value contracts. We really don't have much wiggle room. Our big drop off comes after 2019 when Porcello ($20M), Sale ($12.5M), Hanley ($22M), Pablo ($19M) and Bogaertz (Maybe $12-14M?). We can hope Groome can replace Porcello/Sale and retain Xander. We have close to $90M to retain Sale/Porcello/Xander. BUT, big BUT, Betts and JBJ become FA a year later.
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I agree......but Sox needs some cost controlled, league minimum guys to offset highly paid guys.
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DD sent a clear signal to EE's agent when DD told him no multiple year contract was available from Sox. DD wants to make sure Sam Travis is 100% healthy. He'll be called up by mid season. He's in the mold of Beni, pure swing.
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Looking at projected opening day roster for all of our teams, yep our OF depth is almost non existent.
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I'm anxious to see what Thornburg does (and Carson Smith when he returns). Many ifs in the bullpen but this could be a pretty good group.
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My priority is 1) Keeping starting pitching in tact 2) Lock up Betts 3) Keep our OF together That will get us close to the tax limit. I would love to recycle Pablo out of here but highly unlikely. Has to be Ben's worst signing.
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Interesting that so many pitchers struggle initially for the Sox. I thought Scott did just fine when he was called up. I guess there's a comfort in numbers. Have about dozen relievers ready for the bullpen.
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Hard to believe we're only 4 games better than Tampa.
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#11 Devers now ahead of #17 Moncada... I hated to see Kopech and Diaz go..
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And JF for leading us to last place finishes...got Beni and Groome.
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Thanks Ben
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Interesting that #2-#4 are all shortstops. There's glut of good SS right now. No one is going to pay $30M unless there's power....30 HR's.
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With NO EVIDENCE, I have high hopes for Dalbec......pure power guy. Can he DH and come in as a closer? We can all dream, right?
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Keith Law calls Devers the forgotten man of the farm system, but says that he’s “a true third baseman with an exceptional ability to hit and huge raw power he’s just beginning to display in games.” Remember that David Ortiz guy? Well, we might not be without a big lefty bat for long, Law writes: And there is big power to come -- Devers can already put the ball out to dead center on a line, so it’s a matter of some physical maturity and maintaining that hard-contact approach rather than becoming too pull-oriented. [...] Moving Moncada clears a path for Devers to take over at the hot corner in Fenway sometime in late 2018. Even average defense at third would make him an All-Star given how much I expect him to hit for power.
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Keith Law writes that Groome has “one of the best curveballs I’ve ever seen from a high schooler,” though he suspects the Red Sox will ask him to work on his changeup in A-ball this year. Here’s Law’s hammer: His arm works well, and he has the size to work downhill with his fastball, one of the aspects lacking from his game at the moment. He’s still relatively unpolished, and probably four years away from the majors, so there’s a higher flameout or injury risk -- maybe 30 percent or so -- than there is for other arms in this region of the rankings. I’ll still take a big lefty with an out pitch curveball and potential for a grade 55 or better fastball any day of the week.
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ESPN's Top 20 Prospects (Keith Law)....Sox come in at #1, #11 and #20, traded away #7 and #17 1.Andrew Benintendi, OF, Boston Red Sox 2.Dansby Swanson, SS, Atlanta Braves 3.Amed Rosario, SS, New York Mets 4.Gleyber Torres, SS, New York Yankees 5.J.P. Crawford, SS, Philadelphia Phillies 6.Cody Bellinger, 1B/OF, Los Angeles Dodgers 7.Michael Kopech, RHP, Chicago White Sox 8.Victor Robles, CF, Washington Nationals 9.Austin Meadows, OF, Pittsburgh Pirates 10.Alex Reyes, RHP, St. Louis Cardinals 11.Rafael Devers, 3B, Boston Red Sox 12.Eloy Jimenez, OF, Chicago Cubs 13.Lucas Giolito, RHP, Chicago White Sox 14.Josh Bell, 1B/OF, Pittsburgh Pirates 15.Nick Senzel, 3B, Cincinnati Reds 16.Mitch Keller, RHP, Pittsburgh Pirates 17.Yoan Moncada, 2B/3B, Chicago White Sox 18.Francisco Mejia, C, Cleveland Guardians 19.Brendan Rodgers, SS, Colorado Rockies 20.Jason Groome, LHP, Boston Red Sox
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there you have it....Porcello, Sale in top 10. Price at #13, locked up for 6 more yrs (I'd say 90% chance he stays). 4 position players in top 30. I don't know how we'll do it, but keep them all. Excited to see what we got in Thornburg.
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I think what all this says is WE ARE STACKED RIGHT NOW. Better take advantage of it.
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Oh, I get it. But we'll have to make choices as to who stays and who goes. I consider SS to be a defensive position first. But thats' just me. Maybe we can find a way to sign all five, Sale, Porcello, Xander, Bradley Jr and Betts. That would make me do back flips. I would venture to guess majority of people here would take Xander over signing Bradley Jr if it comes to that. But I like having an elite outfield. I think Porcello/Sale is a must. I like having strong starting rotation.
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Now if he goes out and smacks 30 home runs.....but he'll never be more than a serviceable shortstop defensively. JBJ is an elite center fielder who has shown power stroke....and I don't think he'll cost us $30M.....
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This is why I place Xander my #5 pick among Porcello, Sale, Betts and Bradley Jr......Boras will be looking for $30M for Xander. He's not worth that much.
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Cot's has us under the limit by $16.5M now. It's very possible any pick up at trade deadline will only cost us for 2017. Thus we'll have close to $30M to pay for arbitration raises. We can have the team come back in tact, except for the 3 free agents. The limit will increase by $9M in 2019. I would hope an internal candidate can fill the closer role by then and save the $12M paid to Kimbrel the previous year. First critical decision maybe what to do with Pom? I wouldn't be quick to dismiss him, Porcello/Sale FA looms in a year along with Xander.
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If we can win it all in 2017, then that's a game changer. We may then sit back and look long term.....or not.
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Exactly....and let's not forget, DD could NOT afford to PUSSYFOOT around at the time. Coming off 2 last place finishes, he was not going to let the details derail him. It was his MUST GET.
