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harmony

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Everything posted by harmony

  1. harmony
    Thank you for offering my previously provided links to reports, none which state Seattle was given the choice between Wade Miley and Clay Buchholz. To state that the Red Sox offered the Mariners Miley or Buchholz might be accurate ... or not. I have seen no information to confirm that one way or the other. To state that it has been widely reported that the Red Sox offered the Mariners Miley or Buchholz is wrong. I have been consistent in posting that I've seen no report that the Red Sox offered the Mariners the choice of Miley or Buchholz. I have been consistent in posting that, if given the choice, I suspect Seattle preferred Miley over Buchholz.
  2. harmony
    I have never stated that the Mariners were offered Clay Buchholz ... quite the opposite. I have consistently posted that I've read no reports that the Red Sox offered Buchholz to the Mariners. Again, I welcome evidence to the contrary.
  3. harmony
    I have consistently posted that in my opinion the Mariners would prefer Wade Miley over Clay Buchholz if given the choice. I welcome evidence to the contrary.
  4. harmony
    Some might call it cagey while others would call it precision writing. I merely corrected this misinformation: I've seen no report that Seattle was "offered one of Miley/Buchholz in the deal" but I remain open to yet-undisclosed evidence.
  5. harmony
    My posts have consistently corrected the misinformation.
  6. harmony
    Probably not with the Marlins only 2.5 games back in the National League Wild Card race. That offer in the offseason would be a different story.
  7. harmony
    To be clear: The first Miguel Cabrera extension came three-and-a-half months after Cabrera's trade to Detroit.
  8. harmony
    Dave Dombrowsi once traded Baseball America's No. 6 and No. 10 prospects -- Cameron Maybin and Andrew Miller -- and four other prospects for two years of then 24-year-old Miguel Cabrera and two years of nearly 26-year-old lefthander Dontrelle Willis coming off a dreadful season.
  9. harmony
    Well, Dave Cameron did recently move to Oregon, where marijuana is legal (and I believe Cameron grew up in Washington, which has legalized pot as well). But I live in Oregon and I don't get high. On pot. I doubt either of us does prescription drugs recreationally (although each of us is married to a doctor).
  10. harmony
    I don't doubt Seattle preferred Wade Miley to Clay Buchholz (IF given the choice) but I would note that Miley and Buchholz share the same ERA+ of 77 this season. Advanced metrics give the edge to Miley: WM 15 G, 15 GS, 87.1 IP, 5.36 ERA, 1.40 WHIP, 0.0 bWAR, 0.2 fWAR CB 18 G, 13 GS, 80.2 IP, 5.91 ERA, 1.49 WHIP, -0.9 bWAR, -0.5 fWAR Neither has provided desired results.
  11. harmony
    For what it's worth, Dave Cameron does not drink. And neither do I.
  12. harmony
    It was not widely reported that Seattle was offered one of Wade Miley or Clay Buchholz It was widely reported that the Red Sox and Mariners were in negotiations while the media speculated that Miley and/or Buchholz were discussed. Google "Mariners Buchholz Miley." https://www.google.com/?gws_rd=ssl#q=mariners+buchholz+miley
  13. harmony
    I can't answer the question, but Wade Miley reportedly was the most-asked-for of the available Red Sox starters last offseason, according to Dave Dombrowski, as quoted by Boston Globe columnist Nick Cafardo in December: https://www.bostonglobe.com/sports/2015/12/08/red-sox-traded-away-wrong-guy-wade-miley/F29p2YXUJ8G8Mx3ijW0v0N/story.html
  14. harmony
    I suspect Dave Cameron would welcome a casual fan to his FanGraphs chat today: http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/dave-cameron-fangraphs-chat-7616/ Every July in recent years FanGraphs has posted Cameron's widely cited annual trade value list. Here is last year's list: http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/2015-trade-value-the-full-list/
  15. harmony
    Serious baseball fans are familiar with Dave Cameron, managing editor of FanGraphs, which an analyst in the Washington Nationals' research and development department calls "the pinnacle of the online sabermetric community." Here is a link to a Washington Post article about FanGraphs: https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/sports/wp/2016/02/15/the-rise-of-fangraphs-stats-site-gives-fans-front-offices-view-to-baseballs-evolution/
  16. harmony
    Would anyone trade Clay Buchholz straight up for 38-year-old Seattle reliever Joaquin Benoit, who sports an ERA of 5.03 in 20 appearances this year in his final season before free agency? http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/b/benoijo01.shtml This season Benoit will be paid $7.5 million while Buchholz is paid $13 million (and a $500,000 buyout of his 2017 option). Benoit was stellar in 2010, his only season in the AL East. The Mariners have groomed 22-year-old phenom Edwin Diaz to take Benoit's set-up role.
  17. harmony
    FanGraphs columnist Dave Cameron suggests that the Red Sox should trade for a hitter: http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/the-red-sox-should-trade-for-another-hitter/
  18. harmony
    Two months of a 36-year-old lefthander with a 2.31 ERA in 12 MLB starts this year are worth far more than a 25-year-old lefthander who posted an ERA of 5.45 (with 6 walks per 9 innings) in seven Triple A starts before going on the inactive list with anxiety issues, and a 23-year-old lefty who is walking 6.3 per 9 innings in 14 Triple A starts. If Oakland places Rich Hill on the trade block, the Athletics will seek players with promise, not players who have lost their promise.
  19. harmony
    Seattle is only one game back in the AL Wild Card race despite a starting rotation that has been decimated by injuries to Felix Hernandez, Wade Miley and Taijuan Walker (and the demotion of Nate Karns). Under those circumstances, I doubt the Mariners will trade righthander Hisashi Iwakuma. By the way, the Red Sox should thank the Mariners for sweeping a four-game series at home this weekend against the AL East-leading Baltimore Orioles, who entered the series with a seven-game winning streak.
  20. harmony
    That's asking for the pitching equivalent of Mookie Betts or Xander Bogaerts.
  21. harmony
    I too disfavor long-term contracts and agree that most don't produce value in the end. I was opposed to the Robinson Cano and Nelson Cruz contracts at the time of each signing. With the exception of his injured-marred first half of the 2015 season, the Mariners have pretty much gotten what they wanted from Cano, who produced 5.2 fWAR in 2014 and who is on pace for 6.1 fWAR this year. The contract will look great if Cano ages like David Ortiz or Adrian Beltre but poor if Cano ages like Prince Fielder. In the free agent market, the bottom line is that mediocrity is costly and excellence is costlier.
  22. harmony
    Just as an aside, Robinson Cano has been valued at $80.9 million two-and-a-half years into his 10-year, $240 million contract despite an injury-marred first half of the 2015 season: http://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=3269&position=2B#value Felix Hernandez has been valued at $115.4 million three-and-a-half years into his seven-year, $175 million extension (although the righthander has been on the disabled list for more than a month): http://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=4772&position=P#value Kyle Seager has been valued at $51.9 million a year and a half into his seven-year, $100 million extension: http://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=9785&position=3B#value Nelson Cruz has been valued at $54 million a year and a half into his four-year, $58 million contract: http://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=2434&position=OF#value The Seattle Mariners have baseball's longest postseason drought but contended in Cano's first season and are currently 1.5 games back in the AL Wild Card race.
  23. harmony
    Joe Kelly has an ERA of 8.46 in six starts with the Red Sox this year, walking 7.7 per nine innings: http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/k/kellyjo05.shtml This year Kelly has an ERA of 2.37 in four starts at Triple A Pawtucket but has only a June 7 start since May 16: http://www.milb.com/player/index.jsp?sid=milb&player_id=523260#/gamelogs/R/pitching/2016/MINORS
  24. harmony
    MLB Daily Dish columnist Chris Cotillo offers his Red Sox trade deadline preview: http://www.mlbdailydish.com/2016/7/1/12062670/boston-red-sox-trade-deadline-preview
  25. harmony
    89-90 wins, AL East champs, lose in AL Divisional Series My prediction is not worth the cyberspace it's written on.
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