harmony
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Everything posted by harmony
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As a fan who visits many baseball forums, I must say Red Sox fans rank right up there.
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Some Yankee fans bemoan the Red Sox acquisition of Steve Pearce: http://www.nyyfansforum.com/showthread.php/138070-2018-Trade-Deadline-Thread/page102 Scroll down.
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Which would happen if the Astros capture the No. 1 seed, as projected: https://www.fangraphs.com/standings/playoff-odds
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How would a Yankee fan feel if the Mariners beat the Red Sox in the Wild Card game?
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A distressed baseball franchise attracts fewer less knowledgeable bandwagon fans.😁
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A Seattle Mariner fan is no stranger to disappointment. Nevertheless, the disappointment would reach new depths if the Mariners collapse after reaching an 88 percent chance of advancing to the postseason. Anything can happen.🙄
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Last year the NL West sent three teams to the postseason.
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If the Red Sox and Mariners swapped divisions, would the M’s prefer to play the Yankees over the Astros, the Rays over the Athletics, the Blue Jays over the Angels and the Orioles over the Rangers? Would the Sox prefer to play the Astros over the Yankees, Athletics over the Rays, Angels over the Blue Jays and Rangers over the Orioles? Bear in mind that the bottom three teams in the AL East are currently a combined 44 games below .500 while the bottom three AL West teams are a combined 1 game under .500.
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Or the Mariners would finish third and advance to the postseason.
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Good point. If the Red Sox and Mariners swapped divisions, the Sox would play about 18 games each against the Astros, Athletics, Angels and Rangers while the M’s would play 18 each against the Yankees, Rays, Blue Jays and Orioles. The Mariners would probably like that switch (and likely postseason berth).
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And the Mariners would play 18 games a year against the Rays, Blue Jays and Orioles. The issue was raised in the context of win totals, not whether the Mariners could win head-to-head series against the Red Sox and Yankees. The Mariners posted a 3-4 record against the Red Sox this year and are 0-3 against the Yankees with three games remaining in Seattle. The Mariners are a combined 12-2 against the other three AL East clubs. That’s the point.
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The NL West is projected to post a better cumulative record than the NL East this year: https://www.fangraphs.com/standings/playoff-odds Last year the NL West sent three teams to the postseason while the Miami Marlins finished second in the NL East, eight games below .500. The NL East has improved this year but still lags behind the NL West.
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The Mariners would probably prefer to play the Red Sox OR the Yankees 18 times a year instead of 18 games a year against the defending World Series champion and presumptive favorite Astros. The Red Sox and Yankees are a combined 58 games above .500 while the Astros and Mariners are a combined 51 games above .500. The other three AL East teams are a combined 44 games below .500 while the other three AL West teams are a combined 1 game under .500. It’s clear what’s going on, AL West teams have a winning record in face-to-face competition against AL East teams this year despite having played only 16 games against the hapless Orioles (who are 1-15 in those games). One could argue that the AL East has the easier inter league draw this season.
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The win disparity can be explained in part by the Red Sox and Yankees playing in a less competitive division than the Mariners and Astros.
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Earlier this week a Seattle radio broadcaster commented that if the Mariners capture a distant second Wild Card slot by a confortable margin, as projected, a down-to-the-wire race in the AL East would help the M’s because the club could give its starters more rest than could the Wild Card entrant from the AL East.
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The San Francisco Giants pay Pablo Sandoval the league minimum salary of $545,000 and the Red Sox pay the balance of his $18 million salary. The league minimum salary goes up to $555,000 next year when the Sox will still be on the hook for the balance of Sandoval's $18 million salary. According to Cot's Baseball Contracts, the Red Sox will be responsible for the $5 million buyout of the $17 million team option for 2020. http://legacy.baseballprospectus.com/compensation/cots/nl-west/san-francisco-giants/ Each dollar the Red Sox pay to Sandoval will count in the luxury tax accounting.
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7//4 @ Nationals Park 11 a.m. first pitch
harmony replied to Maxbialystock's topic in Mike Grace Memorial Game Thread Forum
The Red Sox, Yankees, Astros and Mariners are all on pace to win at least 103 games. Something's gotta give ... and it might be Seattle. -
A Bosox Injection blogger contemplates a Red Sox fire sale: https://bosoxinjection.com/2018/07/04/red-sox-hypothetical-fire-sale-five-potential-trade-ideas/ I didn't expect those wild proposals.
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SB Nation team sites are filled with fluff pieces.
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A Yankee blogger writes about this year's rivalry: https://www.pinstripealley.com/2018/7/3/17526964/yankees-red-sox-division-playoffs-giancarlo-stanton-gleyber-torres-aaron-judge
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MLB.com columnist Jim Duquette predicts the Red Sox will land Cincinnati second baseman Scooter Gennett for the modest package of shortstop prospect C.J. Chatham and a lesser pitching prospect: Trade Deadline predictions for Machado, Hamels WWW.MLB.COM The non-waiver Trade Deadline is just about a month away, meaning media and fans will be buzzing about possible wheeling and dealing for the next month. Among the names that will be bandied about, the following 10 men are some of the likeliest to receive considerable attention given where contending I suspect Gennette would command a greater return.
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Thanks for the link to the informative Jeff Sullivan piece. I wish I were half as knowledgeabe as my fellow Portlander and Mariner fan.
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Or the Red Sox beat the Astros in the Wild Card game.
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Seattle fans are enjoying the Mariners as the M's continue to exceed ongoing and widespread low expectations. It's almost a no-lose situation. I give great weight to the metrics that suggest the Mariners' best days are behind them this season. Nevertheless a postseason appearance would be a welcome improvement ... and anything can happen in the postseason. An insight into the mindset of a Mariner fan: On June 10 the M's were 17 games above .500 entering a daunting 17-game stretch that included contests against the Angels, Red Sox and Yankees before four in Baltimore to culminate a 10-game East Coast swing. I figured the Mariners would still be a respectable .500 if the M's lost all 17 games. Instead the Mariners have gone 13-7 since that date despite a disappointing 1-5 trip through Boston and New York. Perhaps the Mariners and Red Sox will play again this year. Or not.
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With three more seasons of team control after this year, Kyle Barraclough could command a handsome return in a trade.