harmony
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Everything posted by harmony
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More from Chad Jennings at The Athletic: https://theathletic.com/708795/2018/12/11/financial-pressures-loom-so-yes-red-sox-will-consider-trades-of-key-players/
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Who is the greatest under-the-radar player in Sox history?
harmony replied to Northern Star's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
I thought Red Sox fans might enjoy these video highlights of the 20-inning Red Sox win over the Seattle Pilots in 1969: And another Red Sox/Pilot game from 1969: Enjoy. -
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The Red Sox reportedly are willing to talk about trades of Rick Porcello, Xander Bogaerts and Jackie Bradley Jr.:
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Blake Swihart has an OPS+ of 82 in 597 MLB plate appearances, including an OPS+ of 66 in 214 plate appearances over the past two seasons: https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/s/swihabl01.shtml With his career wRC+ of 83, Steamer projects Swihart with a 2019 wRC+ of 75: https://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=13176&position=C
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The Red Sox missed out on another Venezuelan catcher, switch-hitting Jose Lobaton, who this week signed a minor league contract with the Seattle Mariners: :)
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For what it's worth, Steamer has the following 2019 projections for Red Sox starters: Chris Sale, 32 GS, 202 IP, 2.76 ERA, 6.6 WAR David Price, 32 GS, 194 IP, 3.94 ERA, 3.5 WAR Nathan Eovaldi, 29 GS, 152 IP, 3.89 ERA, 2.8 WAR Rick Porcello, 32 GS, 191 IP, 4.24 ERA, 2.6 WAR Eduardo Rodriguez, 19 GS, 136 IP, 4.02 ERA, 1.9 WAR https://www.fangraphs.com/projections.aspx?pos=all&stats=pit&type=steamer&team=0&lg=all&players=0&sort=19,d
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Not that this Seattle fan particularly cares either.
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In an ideal world a good trade benefits each side. This could be a good trade. Thoughts shared elsewhere: Isolated on Edwin Diaz, Jay Bruce and Anthony Swarzak, the reported blockbuster represents a classic sell-high, buy-low for the Seattle Mariners. This year Diaz posted 3.5 fWAR, Bruce 0.1 fWAR and Swarzak a negative 0.4 fWAR. In 2017 Diaz posted 1.0 fWAR, Bruce 2.6 fWAR and Swarzak 2.2 fWAR. Bruce and Swarzak are owed a combined $37 million: Bruce $29 million over two years and Swarzak $8 million in 2019 only. In 2017 Bruce and Swarzak combined for 4.8 fWAR, valued at $38.1 million, in a single season. Given their ages, Diaz and the others may be on different trajectories. Nevertheless Bruce and Swarzak may be more than sunken costs for the Mariners.
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Who is the greatest under-the-radar player in Sox history?
harmony replied to Northern Star's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
Zane Smith, whom I covered as a small-town sportswriter when the lefthander was in high school: https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/s/smithza01.shtml Smith posted a negative 0.6 bWAR (but a 2.4 fWAR) in his only season with the Red Sox. https://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=1012218&position=P -
When I was an Iowa high schooler in the early 1970s we had a girls basketball star named Fonda Dicks: https://sites.google.com/site/iahsaasports/iowa-high-schools/current-high-schools/moravia/moravia-girls-basketball
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Robinson Cano is owed $120 million over five years, Jay Bruce $29 million over two years and Anthony Swarzak $8 million over one year. To get the net annual cost of Cano down to $5 million to $10 million, the Mariners would need to send the Mets between $33 million and $58 million. I don't see that happening.
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Depends on the money. It could be a win-win if the Mariners send no more than $25 million on top of the $37 million owed Jay Bruce and Anthony Swarzak. Edwin Diaz has significant surplus value and Robinson Cano is probably worth at least $60 million over five years after posting 20.7 fWAR, valued at $163.7 million, over the first five years of his $240 million contract with Seattle. Steamer projects Cano with a 2019 WAR of 3.0, which is valued at about $25 million. Cano is only 16 months older than Nelson Cruz was four years ago when the Mariners signed Cruz to a four-year, $57 million contract. Cruz had a prior banned-substance suspension as well but came with less defensive value and a less-established record of production. The Mariners don't regret the contract with Cruz, who posted 14.7 fWAR, valued at $126.3 million, with Seattle. It's tough waiting for all of this to play out.
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For what it's worth, since general manager Jerry Dipoto's arrival three years ago the Seattle Mariners have a better cumulative record than 10 of the 15 American League teams. Still no postseason appearance since 2001.
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Steamer projects a 28-year-old Brian Johnson to post a WAR of 0.3 and an ERA of 5.13 ERA in 23 starts next year: https://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=14272&position=P With no options remaining, Johnson would need a slot on the 25-man roster unless the lefthander clears waivers, which is possible.
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Despite their similar flaws, Steamer projects 2019 WAR of 0.1 in 31 games for Blake Swihart and 1.1 in 75 games for Omar Narvaez. Swihart and Narvaez, who were born less than two months apart, each come with four years of team control although Swihart is projected with a 2019 salary of $1.1 million as a Super Two while Narvaez should again earn near the league minimum salary.
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That includes Dee Gordon’s 0.0 fWAR and $10.5 million salary.
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Seattle is likely to trade only one of their three middle infielders with multiple All Star appearances: 36-year-old Robinson Cano, 30-year-old Dee Gordon or 28-year-old Jean Segura. Unless a promising middle infielder comes back in a trade.
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The Mariners aren't tearing it down and starting from scratch ... they're merely taking a step back in 2019-20. Barring a trade, Seattle next year will pay only $2.6 million to outfielder Mitch Haniger, closer Edwin Diaz, center fielder Mallex Smith and lefthander Marco Gonzales, who this year posted a combined for 15.1 fWAR, valued at $120.6 million. Let that sink in: $2.6 million next season for four players who contributed $120.6 million in value this year. And the Mariners retain a combined 17 years of team control on those four players. Seattle will likely build around those players unless one is hitched to a trade of Robinson Cano and his contract. Coming off his stellar age 24 season, Edwin Diaz might be dealt independently as was closer Ken Giles following his stellar age 24 season. Regardless of the on-field success or failure, I am likely to remain a Mariner fan.
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Seattle would still have 2017 American League saves leader Alex Colome. I agree that the trade talk won't amount to anything. And the Mariners would have little interest in Dustin Pedroia when the M's would still have two other middle infielders -- 28-year-old Jean Segura and 30-year-old Dee Gordon -- with multiple All Star appearances.
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WEEI columnist Rob Bradford reports that the Red Sox have "strong interest" in Seattle closer Edwin Diaz: https://weei.radio.com/blogs/rob-bradford/red-sox-reportedly-showing-strong-interest-mariners-closer-edwin-diaz
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Forty-five years ago Tuesday a guy I went to high school with climbed on to the concert stage and played the drums with The Who after Keith Moon passed out: https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/entertainment/music/2018/11/20/who-keith-moon-scot-halpin-anniversaity-cow-palace-san-francisco-iowa-crazy-concert-moment-music/2065306002/?fbclid=IwAR1ZFatvP_tHZwZa0iywPCj1brBW3qQDuiineuTS9MDHstZVqTUvHv5JeTE https://www.thewho.com/the-whos-substitute-drummer-t-scot-halpin-to-have-daily-memorial-blog/ https://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=5223059 Best concert story ever.
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... to a one-year, $6.25 million contract, according to Jeff Passan of Yahoo Sports:
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Seattle could make available two years of reliever Alex Colome, who in 2017 led the American League in saves pitching in the AL East. However, I don't see a good match for a trade.