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harmony

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Everything posted by harmony

  1. A fan's assessment of a player's defensive abilities can be based on several sources, including televised coverage of that player, accompanied by biased commentary from that team's announcers. I don't watch much television but my favorite team's radio announcers offer laudatory off-cuff defensive commentary on a particular play although that player's overall defensive metrics are not flattering.
  2. Anecdotal citation to Jackie Bradley Jr. does not undermine the value of Big Data. Last year Jackie Bradley Jr. was left off the ballots of four of the 10 Fielding Bible panelists voting on the top defensive center fielder: http://fieldingbible.com/complete-votetally.asp Bradley's highest rankings came from Bill James and Peter Gammons, who each have Red Sox connections.
  3. Big Data will exploit those who rely on their anecdotal evidence.
  4. How does Andrew Cashner comp with another tall veteran righthanded Texan born in 1986: Homer Bailey, whom the Kansas City Royals reportedly have traded to the Oakland Athletics? Steamer and FanGraphs Depth Charts project Cashner with rest-of-season WAR of 0.7 and 0.5 in 12 starts and Bailey with rest-of-season WAR of 0.4 and 0.5 in 11 starts. ZiPS projects Cashner with a rest-of-season WAR of 0.6 in 11 starts but offers no projection for Bailey. https://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=8782&position=P https://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=8362&position=P Cashner cost the Red Sox two distant 17-year-old prospects from Venezuela. Bailey cost the Athletics a 2017 first-round draft pick who has floundered (out of George M. Steinbrenner High School and the University of South Florida). Kevin Merrell was Oakland's 17th-ranked prospect at MLB Prospect Watch and its 20th-ranked prospect at FanGraphs. The Red Sox reportedly will pay Cashner $1.58 million for the remainder of the season while Oakland will pay Bailey a prorated portion of the league minimum of $555,000 (with the Los Angeles Dodgers picking up the balance of Bailey's 2019 salary of $23 million).
  5. Correction made. 😟
  6. FanGraphs gives the Red Sox a 58.2 percent chance of advancing to the postseason while FiveThirtyEight has the Sox chances at 46 percent: https://www.fangraphs.com/standings/playoff-odds https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2019-mlb-predictions/ Red Sox fans could be in for an exciting finish.
  7. The trade was a good one for the Red Sox but ZiPS, Steamer and FanGraphs Depth Charts project Andrew Cashner with rest-of-season ERA of 5.05. 4.99 and 5.02: https://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=8782&position=P
  8. The trade was a good one for the Red Sox but ZiPS, Steamer and FanGraphs Depth Charts project Andrew Cashner with rest-of-season WAR of 5.05. 4.99 and 5.02: https://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=8782&position=P
  9. ZiPS, Steamer and FanGraphs Depth Charts project rest-of-season WAR of 1.2, 1.1 and 1.2 for Rick Porcello and 0.6, 0.6 and 0.7 for Andrew Cashner: https://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=2717&position=P https://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=8782&position=P
  10. For what it's worth, this year Andrew Cashner has posted 1.8 fWAR in 17 starts: https://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=8782&position=P Eduardo Rodriguez has posted 1.7 fWAR in 19 starts and Rick Porcello 1.3 fWAR in 18 starts: https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=pit&lg=all&qual=0&type=8&season=2019&month=0&season1=2019&ind=0&team=3&rost=&age=&filter=&players=&startdate=&enddat According to Cot's Baseball Contracts, Cashner has a complicated contract: https://legacy.baseballprospectus.com/compensation/cots/al-east/baltimore-orioles/ It would be interesting to learn how the teams split up the obligations.
  11. https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2019/07/red-sox-acquire-andrew-cashner.html ... according to MLB Trade Rumors.
  12. Already faced with more travel, West Coast teams need to put up with frequent makeup games on the East Coast and in the Midwest. It's a disadvantage.
  13. The Red Sox opened the season by going 2-6 in Seattle and Oakland after last year's 108-win club had posted a 3-4 record in Seattle (in June) and Oakland (in late April). The waxing was not that far out of the ordinary.
  14. According to this website, Andrew Benintendi has a slight edge over Shane Bieber in surplus value: https://www.baseballtradevalues.com/trade-simulator/
  15. The Seattle Mariners are unlikely to trade lefthander Wade LeBlanc with his reasonable salary and team-friendly options through 2022. Since moving from a starting role to a headliner role (following an opener), LeBlanc has posted a 2.97 ERA and .228 BAA in seven appearances covering 39.1 innings: https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/gl.fcgi?id=leblawa01&t=p&year=2019
  16. It's tough playing in an AL West that lacks teams at the low competition of the Baltimore Orioles and Toronto Blue Jays.
  17. Here is another list of Red Sox prospects: 500 Cannot read property 'find' of undefined | MLB.com WWW.MLB.COM
  18. The woeful Seattle Mariners have surrendered six or fewer runs in their last 12 games after giving up 10 or more runs in 17 earlier games.
  19. The Seattle Mariners on Thursday kept pace with the Red Sox with their 18th blown save. Unlike the Sox the Mariners suffered their second straight loss on a blown save (the M’s lost 5-2 Wednesday after entering the ninth inning with a 2-0 lead).
  20. This year the Seattle Mariners have used 34 pitchers (or 32 pitchers plus two position players who taken the mound). Entering the season with low expectations, the Mariners have had the luxury of auditioning pitchers. The auditions have not gone well.😀
  21. I saw the Red Sox play in Anaheim three days after Nick Adenhart’s death there 10 years ago.
  22. I agree with each sentence.😋
  23. No chance unless the Mariners move to the AL East.
  24. The Red Sox chances of advancing to the postseason have dropped below 50 percent at FiveThirtyEight: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2019-mlb-predictions/ ... but remain above 50 percent at FanGraphs: https://www.fangraphs.com/standings/playoff-odds
  25. What if the Red Sox could find a taker for David Price, J.D. Martinez and Nathan Eovaldi a la the trade of Adrian Gonzalez, Josh Beckett and Carl Crawford?
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