harmony
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Everything posted by harmony
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Baseball Trade Values calls the proposed trade only a Minor Overpay with the Red Sox getting a negative $13.8 million in value and the Dodgers a negative $10 million in value: https://www.baseballtradevalues.com/trade-simulator/
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The screen shot in the Dodgers Nations piece is from MLB Tonight. Swihart is a poor reporter (but enthusiastic fan).
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https://www.dodgersnation.com/dodgers-potential-mookie-betts-trade-package-discussed-on-mlb-network/2019/12/18/
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https://www.dodgersnation.com/dodgers-potential-mookie-betts-trade-package-discussed-on-mlb-network/2019/12/18/
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The Red Sox, who finished 12 games out of the second Wild Card slot, had the lowest positive run differential in the league but indeed ranked seventh of the 15 American League teams in that category. https://www.baseball-reference.com/leagues/AL/2019-standings.shtml
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Unlike many Red Sox fans, Chaim Bloom probably has the courage to abandon a goal of contention in 2020 in hopes of resetting the luxury tax calculation. The Sox were not particularly competitive this year and are currently about $29 million over the 2020 luxury tax threshold, according to Roster Resource: https://www.fangraphs.com/roster-resource/payroll/red-sox?season=2020
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Chaim Bloom presumably had a role in signing Jose Peraza and Martin Perez ... for better or worse, those signings were quantifiable.
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https://www.baseball-reference.com/boxes/TOR/TOR201905230.shtml
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The Dodgers probably think two years of 25-year-old shortstop Corey Seager is worth more than one year of 27-year-old outfielder Mookie Betts ... and the Baseball Trade Values simulator agrees: https://www.baseballtradevalues.com/trade-simulator/
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The point was: To appease impatient fans, should Chaim Bloom accept that offer if it's the best offer to date? Of course not. Bloom probably has fielded multiple offers, some that remain standing and some that have been withdrawn. The fact that Bloom had not negotiated a major trade on December 18 should not be evidence that he is not doing his job.
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Perhaps that's precisely what Chaim Bloom is doing. Or not.
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So should Chaim Bloom trade Mookie Betts for Joc Pederson straight up to save the Red Sox $19 million for luxury tax purposes and to prove to impatient fans that he is on the job?
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Chaim Bloom has likely been asked to get under the luxury tax threshold while improving on an 84-win team that missed the postseason despite baseball's highest payroll. That's a tall order. Fans should probably cut Bloom some slack.
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The Seattle Mariners should take a chance.
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The trade simulator approves a trade of David Price (three years, $96 million) and Mookie Betts (one year, projected $27 million) for A.J. Pollock (three years, AAV $13.75 million) and four years of lefthander Julio Urias: https://www.baseballtradevalues.com/trade-simulator/ The Dodgers would be adding about a net $45 million AAV to their 2020 budget for luxury tax purposes; the Red Sox would subtracting a corresponding amount. Perhaps not a realistic deal.
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Corey Seager alone has more surplus value than Mookie Betts, according to Baseball Trade Values. The Dodgers won’t trade Joc Pederson for the $96 million owed David Price.
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http://m.mlb.com/glossary/transactions/designate-for-assignment
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The Yankees have designated for assignment 25-year-old righthander Chance Adams, who could play a cost-effective role with the Red Sox. Or not. https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2019/12/yankees-announce-gerrit-cole-signing-designate-chance-adams.html
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Pull the trigger on what?
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Baseball Trade Values disagrees: https://www.baseballtradevalues.com/trade-simulator/ Corey Seager alone has more value than Mookie Betts, according to that site.
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If other teams perceive the Red Sox as dead-set in getting under the luxury tax threshold, the Sox may lose already scarce leverage by waiting to midseason to trade David Price or others. Or not.
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I generally jog in leggings when the temperature dips below 40 degrees but I forgot to check the temperature before I dressed this morning. My daughter, who is home from college in San Diego, wore leggings on our run.
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Jogged in my shorts this morning in 37 degree temperatures. Beautiful sunrise in the forest.
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Sometimes the best decision is the deal you decline.