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S5Dewey

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Everything posted by S5Dewey

  1. S5Dewey
    That dodges the original point though, that those dWAR values were accumulated between 1974 & 1980, before the total zone system was set up (assuming you knew what you're talking about when you said that).
  2. S5Dewey
    That's a very fair question that I don't have an answer to, but BR has a 17 season dWAR of -3.1 for Lynn. Apparently they had "trained observers" back as early as 1974 and before they knew there would ever be a need for them.
  3. S5Dewey
    Ya. You and I both kicked this around and the consensus here was that the PA (and all the other teams in MLB) would have a hissy-fit if Pedey walked away from that much money as a player and then got it back as a coach.
  4. S5Dewey
    Now, If I wanted to be a smartass I'd ask if you have stats to back that up, but since I'm such a nice guy I won't do that. Instead I'll say that if you're right then Sandy Leon is the most underpaid player on the team.
  5. S5Dewey
    No. Let's start with the fact that WAR, the "Gold Standard" for evaluating players, gave Lynn a minus dWAR for his career. Since WAR only compares players to a Replacement Level Player dragging the elite players like Rivers, Manning, etc. into the conversation is meaningless.
  6. S5Dewey
    The longer it goes the better they get. Although I will confess to a bit of hyperbole there. :-)
  7. S5Dewey
    As of today, Fangraphs has the Sox chances of making the playoffs at 79.5%. Seattle is at 2.7%.
  8. S5Dewey
    What's helped him before is that when he starts to hit Fred Lynn becomes a poor man's JBJ. That's why his hot streaks are worth waiting for. As to the overkill, as my mom used to say when she took an extra coat with her, "I'd rather have it and not need it than need it and not have it."
  9. S5Dewey
    The big difference between JBJ and your garden variety sub-.200 hitter is that JBJ can transform into a guy who can carry a team offensively, and it can happen at any moment. Ya, it's frustrating to watch what's happening at this moment but "defensive metrics" not withstanding I actually believe that having him in CF increases our chances of winning over having a garden variety CF'er out there.
  10. S5Dewey
    As long as the team is winning he's going to remain in CF because of his GG defense. True fact.
  11. S5Dewey
    Unfortunately that upper-cut is the current Flavor of the Month. Hitters are trying to hit more HR's so they're using that upper-cut to gain the newest and greatest statistic, "launch angle". I'm afraid that until something new comes along to distract the hitters that 'launch angle' and the uppercut swing is going to be around to stay. IMHO Chavis's got enough pure power with a level swing to hit HR's. He doesn't need the uppercut but he'll probably continue with it regardless of what I think.
  12. S5Dewey
    That implies that teammates don't share information. The Sox have played several series since Chavis started playing regularly. One would think that pitchers on the same team would be sharing information but thus far nobody has identified any significant holes in Chavis's swing.
  13. S5Dewey
    When do the pitchers start making these adjustments? Because Chavis doesn't show much sign of slowing down.
  14. S5Dewey
    I agree, and in addition you're also respectful of other's opinions. That's not to say that you agree with everyone on everything but you're able to respond and make your case in a respectful way.
  15. S5Dewey
    I know.. just bustin' your chops a bit... like you were bustin' mine.
  16. S5Dewey
    We do that now, only not with our "closer". I don't mind responding to a hypothetical question as long as you realize you're going to get a hypothetical answer. To answer your question, obviously it would depend on the situation. Say the Sox are nursing a 2-0 lead in the 6th and the other team's #8 & 9 get on base, I'd get the best reliever up and tossing, just like I would with any other reliever. Remember, "tossing", starting to warm up, is different from the hard throwing when a pitcher is getting ready to come into the game. But if the score were 14-12 with the #8 hitter coming up I wouldn't do it as quickly. I wouldn't because I have faith in our offense to score runs in the succeeding innings. Hypothetically.
  17. S5Dewey
    If forced to pick a number I'd probably say the 6th, considering that the team has at least two relievers whom I have some confidence in.
  18. S5Dewey
    What? You don't like Wake?
  19. S5Dewey
    Right. As O'B said recently, I don't care who's healthy and who's not, Chavis isn't going anyplace.
  20. S5Dewey
    Well, we base our closer strategy on bringing in our best reliever to start a clean inning in the 9th and a lesser pitcher to get out of the high leverage situations. Think about that for a minute... does that make any sense?
  21. S5Dewey
    Let me put it this way: If he doesn't fall off somewhat we're going to be mentioning him and TW in the same breath... which isn't likely. He sure is fun to watch right now though!
  22. S5Dewey
    Aha! Finally someone with some credentials saying how long "D...whatever" stays in the system. THANKS!
  23. S5Dewey
    But isn't a manager giving his team the best chance to win if he tries to maintain a lead rather than risk falling behind and saving that best reliever for a situation that may never happen - because the team is now behind? I'v always been a believer in having a CLOSER. A guy who can go out there in the 9th and to the job, but now I'm coming around to thinking that there's a better way to use that shut-down guy, and it's to bring him in for the highest leverage situations. As Leo DeRocher said, "Don't save a pitcher for tomorrow. It may rain tomorrow". S5Dewey is now beginning to say, "Don't save your best reliever for the 9th. You may be behind in the 9th."
  24. S5Dewey
    Well, to paraphrase and old saying, "You can't win it in the 6th, but you sure can lose it."
  25. S5Dewey
    So... are you giving credence to "choke" and "clutch"?
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