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notin

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Everything posted by notin

  1. notin
    Yes. You’re frustrated with Sale this year. As we all are. You vented this. And (hopefully) didn’t kick a puppy instead. That’s one of the reasons these boards exist. They’re good for puppies. (On the game thread, I referred to Sale as a genuine stopper, but in a sarcastic way for his new penchant for stopping winning streaks.)
  2. notin
    But two good starts will. Sometimes those who want a player gone are just venting frustration online. Hey, if an angry post here or there keeps them from kicking a puppy, I can accept it. But the reality is, Sale or not, consensus has the Sox needing to go 5-2 vs TB and NY. We went 5-2. This is a good thing..,
  3. notin
    I think Diaz still has a ton of value left, based on age, years of control, and salary. Buy Low opportunity or not, I think he’s out of the Sox price range. Shane Greene is more likely IMO. Dombrowski is quite familiar with him as he has acquired him before. And while Greene might be a Buy High candidate during a career-best season, he has a higher salary than Diaz, is older, and is only signed for 1 more year. If the Sox go scraping the bottom of the barrel, the recently deposed Greg Holland can probably be had for nothing more than the desire to acquire...
  4. notin
    But the new baseball is in use everywhere. Essentially this mean the league OPS will rise with more hits, total bases, and home runs. I gave an example that Jason Bay’s OPS+ of 134 10 years ago was the same as Xander Bogaerts OPS+ at the time, but Bay’s OPS was almost 40 points higher. This is because the league OPS has also risen, with the Manfred Missile being a likely culprit. (A few ballparks have also changed in that time as well.) If anything, I see OPS+ as more useful in incorporating these changes in the game, because by comparing a stat to league averages it can catch and account for changes. Stats like OPS, BA, SLG, and home runs cannot do this. ERA+ also becomes more useful for the same reason...
  5. notin
    As long as he isn’t old or injured, he’ll be fine. Maybe he won’t be as elite as he once was, but he’ll be fine...
  6. notin
    This thread is sad. 10 days ago, the consensus was the Tampa and NY Series were “make or break” for the season. Anything less than 5-2 and it was time to scuttle and salvage. The Sox went 5-2. Exactly as many felt they needed to. But despite that success, it’s “Sale sucks!!” and “Bradley sucks!” And time to sell sell sell! Even when people get what they want...
  7. notin
    Oh please. Only if you believe that this season is the beginning of the end, something many (me included) thought was true of Verlander back in 2015. And even if it is, can you at least pretend you remember a few bigger contracts that were traded? If Robinson Cano can be traded, who can’t be?
  8. notin
    Syndergaard is controlled through 2021
  9. notin
    .821 OPS since I dropped him entering tonight’s game (in which he has homered)...
  10. notin
    Not to mention, his last go round with free agency didn’t exactly go as planned. And he was two years younger and coming off a career year then...
  11. notin
    If nothing else, I am starting to believe Chris Sale truly is a genuine stopper.
  12. notin
    Sure the Red Sox have made bad free agent signings. Every team has. And apparently the Sox fans never forget about the Lugo’s and Renteria’s of the world. Of course the Sox might have also made the single greatest signing in the history of free agency by inking a minor league deal to an obscure DH/1b from Minnesota...
  13. notin
    Yes his entire career should ride on one game...
  14. notin
    Or... rather than breakup the lineup to get a role player (and I think/hope you were being sarcastic), maybe Dombrowski could wake up from his long winter’s nap and make the occasional waiver claim on a relief pitcher...
  15. notin
    It’s not like it’s unique to the Red Sox. Free agency produces tons of bad contracts for nearly every team. It’s a bad thing to rely on. But comparing a one year $6mill contract for Pearce to the nightmarish deals of Crawford and Sandoval is a bit of an overreaction along the lines of comparing a shaving cut to an accidental amputation...
  16. notin
    Don’t forget about Shane Greene; Dombrowski has traded for him before...
  17. notin
    Why can’t Workman just be a RHRP who gets key outs?
  18. notin
    Oh he isn’t....
  19. notin
    It does if you replace Reyes with Duran, which makes more sense for NY anyway...
  20. notin
    It’s really not two weighted factors, as “park” is a subset of “league”. You're trying to over complicate it. A baseline is determined for the AL parks. If the baseball is a factor, the baseline will rise. The only factor going into it is OPS in a variety of locations...
  21. notin
    What exactly is your point? It’s it like Mookie was struggling with a sub-.600 OPS before Devers moved to the 2 spot. The guy is a reigning MVP for a reason, and that reason isn’t the guy hitting behind him...
  22. notin
    If the Sox wanted Strickland, they would have 1) signed him this offseason or 2) not traded him away in the first place...
  23. notin
    I think just about all of those deals would get Mets GM Brodie Van Waggoner fired faster than he should have been over the whole “Cano/Diaz” trade...
  24. notin
    According to Betts, he was doing a poor job with pitch selection and adjustments. The game thread (for my brief entry) was really deep into “See? Lineup protection works.” It is amazing how often I get called a “Stat Guy” despite how infrequently I actually quote stats..
  25. notin
    Adjusting for park does take the Manfred Missile into account. If the OPS in, say, Fenway for all hitters was .750, and this year it’s .850, you get a higher league average OPS aka an OPS+ of 0. For example, last year Bogaerts had an OPS+ of 134 with an OPS of .883. This year Betts has an OPS+ of 135 with an OPS of .906. In 2009, or the year 6 BM (Before Manfred), Jason Bay had an OPS+ of 134 with an OPS of .921. The baseline moves...
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