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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. moonslav59
    To them, smart is cashing the big profit checks.
  2. moonslav59
    If you total up Paxton, Richards and Kluber, it's $30M. I think we could do better with a $30M/3 or $30M/2 type deal, but I'm not sure how much better. Kikuchi signed for $36M/2 in '22. I know that is cherry picking. Others signed for about the same and did about as badly as Richards-Kluber-Paxton. Imanaga signed for $13.5M x 4 in '24 and Lugo for $15M x 3, the same year. Not sure those are fair comps, unless you include the Sandoval or Buehler deals as part of the exchange.
  3. moonslav59
    He probably has a 5 year deal or two offered, and that's why the Sox name is still mentioned, from time to time. If the Sox offered 4, they are close. Maybe he takes a 4 year deal with a higher AAV and an opt out after 1 or 2 years over a 5 year deal that just gives him $10-15M more. Maybe not. Maybe they think the Sox might buckle and go 5. I think Fenway would suit Bregman fine. If he gets an opt out with the Sox, he could maybe build his value with 1-2 big years w BOS. Maybe no. I'm not counting on us getting him. The odds are probably 1-5%, but I keep checking MLBTR, everyday.
  4. moonslav59
    I think adding Bregman and Robertson would make us playoff favorites and AL championship contenders, but not the fave. Adding Bregman could also allow for a trade that could add another useful piece, like a real catcher or another RHB or pen arm.
  5. moonslav59
    Yes, he has more power. That does not mean Paredes does "not have all that much power."
  6. moonslav59
    ...and Giolito, Buehler, Devers, Hendriks and maybe 5 months of Whitlock.
  7. moonslav59
    They see first in the farm rankings and pop the champaign.
  8. moonslav59
    Exactly. They very well may have signed Soto, if it was at their price, even if it may have been double price's deal, so in that sense, they may not be lying, when they say they are prepared to spend big. If they never set a price at or above market value, however, they will never sign anyone. The did with Beuhler, Chapman and Wilson, as they seem to really like the lower risk, one year deals. I'm sure almost every team that has signed a large & long deal, knows or feels like they paid more than they felt the guy was worth, but the realized the need was so great, it was worth it. We do not get to that point, anymore, on anything longer than 2 years. Yoshida and Story are the only FAs signed to 3+ years in a long time.
  9. moonslav59
    If they came out and said, we are looking to save money and have decided not to overpay on free agents, they might lose some fans and viewers, so they just keep that a secret, as "best" they can. I do think they have a very strict valuing system in place, but someone decides, when it's okay to go over that amount and by how much. It is a team philosophy on "overpaying" that all GMs and owners face. We have chose to change our approach, but we won't admit it.
  10. moonslav59
    I'd like to see Criswell make the ML squad out of camp. When Whitlock is ready, we should know who gets demoted.
  11. moonslav59
    Arenado with Herrera and Helsley would be awesome. I was thinking, we could take Contreras to further STL's saving$. I'd give Crawford, Cespedes and Kelly for the 3, along with some cash.
  12. moonslav59
    I think they view Anthony and Campbell as options to replace O'Neill. Campbell bats righty, and Anthony has had decent splits as a LHB.
  13. moonslav59
    It could work out well, especially with Ref likely to retire after 2025, and Rafaela is our only RHB OF'er, after him.
  14. moonslav59
    I was responding to the "not much power" comment, and I think 27 HRs per 162 is quite a bit of power. Devers has topped 27 HRs 3 times in 7 years (6 not counting 2020, when he was on pace for 26.)
  15. moonslav59
    "Moot" is the Sox word for the winter.
  16. moonslav59
    I've heard he is plas on D, but that might just be the biased media, down here in Houston. Metrics show clear plus, but not great on D. "Not much power?" He hit 31 bombs in 2023 and averaged 27 per 162 games from '23-'24. His .244 BA is not ideal, but he's walked enough to have a near .350 OBP, in the past 2 years. That would have placed second on the Sox in 2024. Plus D, Plus Power and Plus OB skills.
  17. moonslav59
    I already responded to this point, and I suggested a lesser offer. I also included 1 year Cartini coming back to us.
  18. moonslav59
    Yup, but they won't come out and just say it. "If the right guy comes along, we'll pay..." What BS.
  19. moonslav59
    See what happens when the NFL feels the pressure to let the refs call a clean game?
  20. moonslav59
    More of the disconnect being exposed. I have hard time thinking Brez keeps slamming on the breaks and deeming this or that guy, too expensive for his liking. I can't believe Brez chose to leave money on the table out of some sense of not overpaying anyone.
  21. moonslav59
    It should not have been "the plan," but it sure looks like it is. Ideally, you don't count on the kids, until they've shown something or actually won the job, the year before.
  22. moonslav59
    No, but O'Neall might be one of the hardest to project. STEAMERS projected 111 games, a .749 OPS and 1.8 WAR. .232 23 67 for old schoolers Other projections: K Campbell .266 10 43 (.768 OPS and 2.0 WAR) 96 gms Anthony .244 8 38 (.724 OPS) 0.8 WAR in 91 gms Maybe, they did "replace" him.
  23. moonslav59
    Plus, keeping O'Neall is hardly a sure bet we would have been keeping the 2024 O'Neall.
  24. moonslav59
    Didn't say bust. While Buehler and Sandoval may "work well for us," eventually, they have yet to do so, and they were part of my claim on saying getting 1 or 2 pitchers for $108M/5 might have worked better than splitting it up among 5-6 guys.
  25. moonslav59
    I know we have beaten this issue to death, but these one and done or two year pitcher deals on guys recovering from recent injuries have not worked out well for us. $10M Richards '21 $10M Paxton '22 (really a 2 year deal) $10M Kluber '23 $39M/2 Giolito '24 $21M Buehler '25 $18M/2 Sandoval '25 This has basically amounted to $108M/5 (6 years, if you count Sandoval as a 2026 deal.) I hate pulling out the hindsight card, but here are some deals similar to 108/5 or $108/6 we have seen since 2021: $110M/5 Gausman '22 $56M/4 Jon Gray $63M/3 Bassitt '23 $53M/4 Imanaga '24 $44M/4 Lugo '24 $75M/5 Senga '24 $75M/3 Gray '24 $75M/3 Nate '25 Of course, one could point to Robbie Ray at $115M/5 in '22. Handpicking the best might have been to sign Gausman back in '22 at the same money we spent, of signing 2 from Bassitt, Lugo and Imanaga.
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