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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. We have so many pitchers with the same hopes as Mullins, IMO. Sure, it would suck to trade the one that turns out good, but I'm thinking the odds of him doing well are pretty low. I'm still sticking to my opinion that I'd give nothing for Arenado, unless we end up paying him less than $10M x 3. Here is how I tier our pitching prospects: 1 Perales 2 Fitts, Priester (not a prospect but...) Sandlin (maybe not a SP) Tolle 3 Dobbins, Early, Cason, Guerrero (RP) Valera, Reyes 4 Penrod (RP) Monegro, Paez, Mullins, Ingrassia 5 Delzine, Neely, Clarke, Tygart, Fajardo, Carlson, G Jackson, Mata Long shots: Dean, Gambrell, Drohan, Rivera, Kirwin, Ehrlicher Mullins might be ranked 13th to 17th on our pitcher rankings, IMO. (I'd keep him over Jordan, and even #18 Allan Castro OF.)
  2. Yoshida might end up having a decent season. Maybe he'll build up some trade value, and one less year of his contract might help our ability to trade him, next winter. We aren't getting Bregman. I hope we don't get Arenado, unless they pay it down to less than $30M/3. If Yoshida can hit .800 by bringing up his OBP, he might give us an unexpected boost. (Apparently, MVP is expecting it.) There is a better chance Yoshida hits .800 than we find a team to take him off our hands.
  3. Not reaally, his spot on the roster will have to be filled by someone making about $750K.
  4. Jansen got $16m x 2, so yes.
  5. I look at Yoshida, like I look at Arenado, and I do think it's almost all about the money someone thinks he's worth. If Yoshida was a FA, would he get $18M/3? ($6M x 3) If that's the most he'd get, then one can think we could trade him +$10M a year for nothing and get him off our 26 and 40. Do we need a $6M DH, if we had no Yoshida? I'd say no, so maybe he's worth more to a team needing a DH than to us. Not many teams have such horrible defenders at 1B and 3B who are just so obviously DH types. We may be the #1 team in MLB for the least need of a DH. (Ref should DH, too.)
  6. If you would not sign Arenado to a 3 year deal worth $XXX, why would you give prospects to STL for the right to pay that amount or more? The guy is a sunken cost, and like Yoshida, he still has some value, but just not near his contract value. His ability to play plus D at 3B and maybe close to the same bat projection as Yoshida, although not as much, to me, he's worth more than Yoshida. He's also owed more. You can see how this board has been going through metal gymnastics trying to find ways to shed Yoshida and his as much of his contract as possible. Why are we trying to add another Yoshida type, but with a glove? Unless they pay enough to make his cost $12M, $9M, $6M, in the next 3 years, I'd pass. And, that is assuming we give nothing more than Zanetello or Jordan to get it done. (I'm not even sold on this being a good deal, but our D would improve. Maybe we find a taker for Yoshida and pay $12M x 3 and save $18M to help pay towards the $27M we'll owe Arenado. Now, it looks better. (I know Bell, Mr. Hypothetical at it again.)
  7. You add enough money towards Yoshida's contract to equal the savings they need. Word was they were going to pay half his contract to HOU. That's about $38M. We give them Yoshida + $16M and his contract costs $38M. They pay him $38M NOT the Sox. We pay for Arenado and $5M a year towards Yoshida. Like I said, I'm not sure I'm for this, because we are just swapping sunken contracts and taking on more cost, but at least we get a guy who can actually play a position well.
  8. If they end up saving the amount of money they want to save, why wouldn't they take on Yoshida. They could just DFA him and save the amount they want. The really don't need a DH or weak defensive OF'er, but they could, in theory, trade him as a salary dump and save a few million more than they wanted, at the start.
  9. Yes, they were in danger, because they were much better.
  10. Well, if Pivetta gets $21.1M/1, that's about the same as Estevez and Minter got for 2 years.
  11. We gave up Lugo, Kavadas & others for 2 months of Luis Garcia. Paulino and Coffey for 2 months of Danny Jansen. Portes for Sims. I liked those guys more than Zanetello & Jordan.
  12. I'd give Zanetello, Jordan and Yoshida to someone willing to take on a big chunk of Yoshida;s contract. I'd expect nothing in return. If we could/would do this, we could afford to take on more of Arenado's deal, AND the roster bottleneck at 1B/DH would be eased by Yoshida's departure. The budget might come out close to even.
  13. I might sign Arenado to $10M x 3, tops. I'm not giving anything for him at $19M x 3. I'd expect them to add a couple prospects or Helsley.
  14. I can't see the Sox paying him that much, even for the much-prized 1 year deal. We passed on... $18 x 4 Scott $13 x 3 Holmes $11 x 3 Hoffman $11 x 2 Estevez & Minter $13M x 1 Yates $7.5M x 2 Y Garcia He might be better than some of these guys, but $15M to $21M?
  15. The thing is, all teams have some big "what ifs." We may have more than our share, since we have so many players coming off recent injuries, including Giolito, Hendriks and Fulmer, who played zero games in '24, Sandoval, Whitlock and Murphy who will start the season on the IL and plenty of players who missed part of last year with injuries: Beuhler, Devers, Story, Casas, Slaten and Grissom. We have 3 top prospects, but they are question marks, as well. What I like about our situation vs some others, is that we might only need 60-70% of the big questions to be answered in a positive way, and not 80-90% like I feel the others do. I mean, aren't Rodon, Cole and Stanton big question marks, too?
  16. The Rays almost always do better than they look, on paper, and they do not look bad on paper, either. I think we finish ahead of them. I think the Jays improved by more than us, over the winter, but returning players from injury and 3 top prospects gives us enough wild cards that I think we stay ahead of them, too. I think the Yanks & O's got slightly worse, but not by enough for us to pass them. I predict 3rd place, again. 83-86 wins.
  17. Alonso signs with Mets for essentially $30M + option for $24M. (He can opt out.)
  18. Agreed. If we can get Arenado at $5-7M x 3, they should get a prospect. At $9-10M, nada. At more, we get something else.
  19. Tell that to the I Love Venezuela Foundation.
  20. He's almost played as many games with them, as the Sox. LOL
  21. Here is a list of system graduated prospects still on the 40 by date: '17 Devers (top rank was #1) '21 Houck (2) Whitlock (4) '22 Duran (3) Bello (3) Winckowski (9) Wong (11) Crawford (17) '23 Casas (1) Murphy (9) Kelly (23) Bernardino (NR) '24 Rafaela (3) Abreu (7) Slaten (12) DHam (19) Sogard (31) 17 Total, but some started in other systems. (Whitlock never pitched in our minors before MLB.)
  22. Good stuff sk.
  23. It would be nice to see plus-plus leftside D in 2025. It's the cost that bothers me.
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