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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. moonslav59
    I don't see it that way, and certainly don't think it is nonsensical to think the Dodgers, Padres and Phillies are solid tier above the Sox and other AL teams. We need a lot to go right just to win the AL Pennant, but I also think the Yanks, Tigers, Guardians, Rangers, Astros and Mariners do, too. I think the AL is weak, and I am being consistent when I say I have never been a proponent of the playoffs are a crap shoot and just getting there puts you "on the verge." Fine, if you disagree, but my position is not nonsense.
  2. moonslav59
    I've said over and over, I think the AL is weak, and that we are among the top 5-6 teams in the weaker league. it does not mean I think we are "on the verge of a championship." Nowhere have I said anything close to that. I realize we have not played well. I have agreed to that. Our weak schedule has made our record look better than is should be, perhaps. I think our team is better, on paper than it has looked on the field. You might not agree. Fine.
  3. moonslav59
    He went on the IL in mid June. He had a 3.70 FIP, at that time. It was 4.64 afterwards, much in relief. His first start after coming off the IL really bumped his numbers: 6 IP, 9H, 6 ER , 2BB. He had another big meltdown in releif in mid August (3.1 IP w 9 hits, 6 ER and 4 BB)
  4. moonslav59
    1.35 ranked 118th out of the top 150 SP'ers by IP. That is bottom of the 4th starter tier. He was a 4/5, last year- better than 30 #5's. All you gotta do is be better than a #5 to start in MLB. When you are better than 32 SP'ers out of 150, you deserve to star, somewhere, but again, that is assuming he would repeat 2024's numbers, which I doubt is likely. I'm just going by the numbers, including the ones you used. His 4.15 FIP ranked 88th- good enough to be a #3 tier SP'er. His career 4.45 FIP would have placed him about 110 in 2014- again a #4.
  5. moonslav59
    I disagree. ERA tries to measure pitching not fielding.
  6. moonslav59
    Good point. I forgot about the 2 HBPs. I guess WHHBPIP is too cumbersome.
  7. moonslav59
    4.44 is 4/5 material 2024 as SP only: FIP: 3.32 Houck, 4.07 Pivetta, 4.15 Criswell, 4.19 Bello, 4.65 Crawford To be fair, Criswell was last in xFIP at 4.43 and SIERA at 4.45 ERA- 73 Houck 96 Criswell 97 Pivetta 102 Crawford 105 Bello
  8. moonslav59
    I think Cora and Brez agree, but he did a fine job as a SP'er, last year. (His numbers look worse due to his pen implosions.) Criswell started 18 games for the Sox in '24 (5th most.) His 3.49 ERA was second only to Houck. It was 70 above #3 Pivetta and almost 90 above #4 Crawford's ERA. Maybe he had some luck, but still... WHIP 1.235 is decent (4th out of our top 5- ahead of Bello) OPS Against: .617 Houck .702 Crawford .724 Bello .726 Criswell .726 Pivetta 2025's OPSA: .439 Crochet, .614 Fitts (IL) .695 Buehler, .707 Dobbins, .836 Newcomb, .902 Houck, .939 Bello I'm not thinking those 2024 numbers are repeatable, but he'd be starting on several other teams, right now.
  9. moonslav59
    True, and on the other hand, we are just 4 games ahead of 14th in the weaker league- the AL. (MN & BAL ar 9-15.)
  10. moonslav59
    This is a rare time to make huge trades, but it could happen. I don't see a major trade in the works, even as we near the deadline, when the returns asked for are inflated. I think we'll make the big decisions, this coming winter. I have to think Anthony will be given every chance to fill a FT OF role by 2026, but will probably be called up at some point, this summer (or earlier.) That would create a squeeze on Rafaela and Refsnyder and make it near impossible for Campbell to play a lot of CF. Trading Duran or Abreu could allow Campbell to play CF or keep Rafaela and Ref in the mix, but Campbell to the OF only happens, IMO, if we call up Mayer and Bregman returns in 2026. Not knowing if Bregman returns or not makes trading Story or Mayer problematic and risky. Arias and Romero are too far away and too speculative, at this point. I think we'll know a lot more by next winter.
  11. moonslav59
    Agreed, and they also knew Bello and Gio would be returning, soon with Crawford and Sandoval's returns more nebulous. We also have Criswell, who at worst could be a 3-4 IP "opener."
  12. moonslav59
    It's been a rollercoaster start to the season. Hard to get a read on just who this team is.
  13. moonslav59
    Grandal should get the call, soon. I don't think Newcomb is the worst pitcher on the 26, right now, but his days may be numbered. (He could be demoted to the pen, when Gio gets the call.)
  14. moonslav59
    Woo won both games and is now 13-9. POR won 5-1 ans now 9-6. Wehunt pitched 5, allowing 4H, 1ER, 1BB and K'd 3. Romero triples and Jh Garica had 2 hits. GRE is tied 3-3, as Dean went 4 (2H, 0ER, 2BB, 6K) Carlson (2.1: 3H, 0ER, 0BB, 2K) SAL is tied 0-0 through 7. Clarke (3.1, 0H, 0ER, 1BB, 6K) Is this guy for real? Sprague (3.2, 3H, 0ER, 0BB & 5K) Arias has one of the two team hits- a double.
  15. moonslav59
    I've been high on the Garica brother for a while. Jh can really hit.
  16. moonslav59
    I'm talking about your history or being negative towards players, the team and just about everything that has to do with the Sox. I never said this team was on the verge of a championship. I said we could win the AL, and that is more about there being not really strong team in the AL than the Sox looking like a WS Champ. Recently, I said we have looked worse on the field than our record indicates. On paper, I think we are a top tier AL team, but there are several NL teams that are a tier above us, right now. I don't think the Yanks are that good, and HOU and other recent AL winners look worse than last year (on paper.)
  17. moonslav59
    You often sound like you are writing off players that are struggling with very little slack given.
  18. moonslav59
    He was .879 in 2024 over 130 PAs. Maybe he'll end up surprising you like Refsnyder did.
  19. moonslav59
    4 hits in 5 IP is decent. 3BB is not, granted. Nobody is writing home about a 1.40 WHIP, but that pitching performance looked about as ho hum as can be, as in "so-so."
  20. moonslav59
    He had traded for him less than a year earlier. Overall, he's trade for young pitching more than trading away. He's drafted more than recent GMs have, and he's given a higher percentage if IFA bonus pool money to pitching than others have. That's before mentioning the Crochet trade and Buehler and Sandoval signings. Trades for pitchers: Luis Garcia for 4 prospects & Paxton for Bolivar Jovani Moran for Gasper and Joe Vogatsky for E Valdez I Campbell for Urias Priester for Yorke Fitts, Weissert & Judice for Verdugo Teel, Montgomery, Meidroth & Wikelman for Crochet Pitching for young pitching, except Lucas Sims for Portes: Fajardo for Booser Slaten for Ammons Sandlin for Schreiber Trading away pitchers: Priester for Y Rod & Comp pick Sale for Grissom O'Neill for V Santos and N Robertson (I probably missed a few.)
  21. moonslav59
    I can't see us trading Mayer. Story's health is always a concern (as has Mayer's, so far,) and Story may end up at 2B or somewhere else. A big year may also get Story traded. If Story plays 2B, maybe Campbell plays OF or 3B, next year. I still think Anthony gets the call first and maybe soon.
  22. moonslav59
    Making it look ho-hum, is not a bad thing, though, is it?
  23. moonslav59
    My bad. 1.11. bWAR would be 2.38.
  24. moonslav59
    There is a $3M buyout if Buehler takes it, and we don't want to pay him $25M. If he takes it and we accept, he gets $25M. If he refuses, we could offer him a QO and not owe him the buyut.
  25. moonslav59
    I didn't call him a 1 WAR player. I just responded to him being called one. BTW, 1.4/202 is not equal to 1.1/160. Not trying to nitpick, but just responding.
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