moonslav59

Nobody claims it's 100% accurate, and neither is Fldg %. Both have value but are not perfect. So,m you have not seen the formula, but dismiss it out of hand. Their system has been explained. Just watch some games that show the data on some fielding plays (usually greta ones) and you can see the data is there. They expect fans to think it's fairly accurate and usually the eye test can back up the data that shows player A has way more range than player B.

Do you even bother to look? (Neifi Perez 812 plays in 2000. While 800 plays is rare, it does happen, but that is beyond the point. How about 600 to 500? You neglect to respond to the actual point.

His D was always good. His bat was... .548 in first 164 games ('13-'14) count as one season .832 (1/2 season) .835 .727 for 3 seasons ('17-'19) .814 (1/2 season in '20) .513 over last 308 games (3 seasons counted as 2) Essentially: 2 seasons over .800 w GG type D 3 seasons around .725 w GG type D 3 seasons below .550 w GG type D 5 out of 8 seasons doing well or very well. 3 were horrific offensive displays w GG type D.

You totally miss the point. Making .980 of 800 plays is better than making .990 of 700 plays, if the 100 extra plays were made due to better range skills. That is just a fact. I give up. You can't see the broad side of a bright red barn.

Right now, no. It's a long season.

Before the season is over, we may see 11 SP'ers, all who have shown some sort of promise or past history of having some skills. Crochet, Buehler, Houck (not lately) Bello, Crawford, Giolito (not lately) Fitts, Dobbins, Newcomb Criswell and Sandoval (Not even mentioning Whitlock and Wink.) We just need 4-5 be good to very good.

I've seen a lot on sites like this, and some are just plain trolls, but I gotta say, I'm verklempt.

Wow, we only K'd 5 times! Dobbins looked good. I think he deserved the win over Wilson, but let's not open the can of worms over pitcher win stats. Good to see Duran hitting the ball hard and looking focused. Beating good teams is what we have to do over the next few weeks and months.

IMO, both have been ML ready before this year even started, except maybe Mayer needing to get in sinc, after missing the end of 2024. This does not mean they are entitled to call-ups, but I do think both are ready, bumps and grinds expected and all. When will the time be better? Do we have to wait for a major injury at the position they play or one that would demand very little shuffling? I get that Story is being paid a lot, Rafaela is an amazing defender who may be finding a groove, and Campbell has already been called up and shown flashed of what could be, but there is no reason we should keep playing Sogard/Toro and others at 1B, once Campbell is deemed capable enough to play there. Mayer is almost surely than Sogard/Toro/Wong and Romy (vs RHPs.) Calling up Anthony is more problematic, and we don't want to move Rafaela to middle infield to make way for him. The Abreu-Refsnyder platoon is about as good as you can get for one OF slot. While Duran has sucked against LHPs, Anthony bats lH'd, too, and we won't and should NOT call him up to be even a strong side platoon, let alone the short-side one. Duran is heating up, and get the worry about his defense in CF. The OF call is difficult to make, but unless we make a trade, what is going to change in the next 2-3 years? How long does he wait? How long do we wait?

Farm OPS (120+ PAs) .950 Anthony AAA .931 Ehrhard A+ .866 Encarnacion A- .821 Romero AA .818 Anderson A-/A+ .817 Taylor A+ .814 Jordan AA .811 Eaton AAA .803 Arias A-/A+ .794 Mayer AAA .792 Hickey AAA .748 Jh Garcia AA (to AAA) OPS Against (22+ IP) .486 McShane A-/A+ .499 Rogers A+/AA .519 Mullins A+/AA .521 Aita A- .571 Drohan AAA .579 Cohen A- & Criswell AAA .591 Stock AAA .640 Uberstine AA/AAA (Brandon Clarke is at .321 in 19.2 IP!)

I've been pretty high on him, for a while, but let's see how he handles AAA. Woo certainly had room for him, even with Anthony staying put for a while longer.

Do we care that the guy successfully fielding balls closer to him receives a higher rating in the form of a higher fielding percentage than another player gets more challenging plays? All defenders get challenging plays- mayb e not the same amount, but over time, it's probably pretty close. Some don't even come close to making the play, and a casual observers might think, no error, no problem: the play was unmakeable. Some come close to making the play- maybe the dive and stop it, but can't get up to make the throw- no error, no problem, all is good. A few can get to the ball and either make an out, don't make an out with no error, or get charged with an error, because the bobble the ball or throw it away. If those select few players get to 80 more balls a year than most other players, how is that not a big value, even if they make 20 errors, get 6o more outs and 20 go for non error hits, because the scorer judged the play too difficult to make even after the player got to it, but could have got an out if he played it perfectly and threw a gem at 90 mph?

It's not simulation. It measures all plays made- the ones hit right at someone, near them, or nearly impossible to get to, but some do. Why would you think that player A is as good as player B, if they both make the identical plays hit at them or near them: same amount- same error rate, but player B gets to and touches 100 more balls over a season that are just plain out of the range of player A. He makes 80 of them and is charged with an error (glove or throw) on 20. You still think play A is better? While this is a hypothetical scenario I am presenting to you, these situations are based in reality and can be proven by facts, This happens every year in MLB. Simple observations can tell you some SSs get to balls hit very far away from them, or ones kinds far but hit sharply, while some just don't seem to make any or many more than 4. 5 or maybe 6-7 steps away, if the ball is hit slower. Of course some players make plays others never dreamed they could make. How is that not a distinct value (or weakness, if you lack range?) Sure, some speculation is involved, but when you figure errors are assigned or not based on subjectivity, then we also "speculate" it all evens out over time. Nothing is perfect- not fldg% or metrics. Fldg% is just one part of defense. Thinking range and athleticism, such as being able to jump higher, run faster, or react quicker is not helpful or of value blows my mind away. Thinking that some players position themselves better, read the pitch better, get better jumps and take the right angle to the ball better is not speculation or simulation: it is fact and it is observable with the naked eye and also with cameras and high tech data like ball speed, distance from defender, trajectory and more.

Right now, we look crappy, so it's hard to think this team can be a winner, but yes, things change, especially in baseball. I see no signs of life, but I've been surprised, before... for good and bad.

DHam is hot (.985 in May and 1.636 in his last 6 games.) He's also done a very nice job on D at 2B. I'm not giving up on KC, but I'm fine with DHam playing, right now. (I hope KC can play 1B.)

I agree, and the difference between the best 3-4 AL teams and the 4-10 teams is pretty small in the AL. All it takes is one more major injury or a losing streak, and you could be where we are in just a few weeks (or even days.)

Romy does very well vs LHPs, and could be a nice option in a platoon (with Yoshi or whoever.) .795 career. .879 in 2024 in 130 PAs, but he has reverse splits, so far this year in tiny sample sizes (.828/.707) Yoshida has a .669 career OPS v lefties.

I think studies have shown the 4 and 5 slot are more important than #3, but the differentials are minimal. It's not the reason we are losing, but maybe spreading Devers and Bregman apart will create more RBI opportunities. I don't want to mess up our best two hitters, so I'm fine leaving them where they are. I was just suggesting possible actions to shake things up. It is very hard to make a major trade in mid May, so I doubt we get a spark that way.

Casas was a known China Doll, and we still traded away Meidroth & Gasper- not like these guys were great, but maybe better than Sogard & Toro.

I never assume a player will repeat his previous month, the next month, and I don't get why so many seem to think that. Does this mean we should have called him up after April? (.882) BTW, he's at .709 in May. Mayer> Sogard/Toro/Romy/Wong or whoever we are batting at 1B.

Well, the 4 slot is more valuable than the 3 slot (and so is the 5 slot,) so Devers or Bregman should bat 4th, IMO. We are hitting well, but not scoring the runs that match our OBP and SLG. Of course, Bregman and devers are doing great, so I get the argument to leave well enough alone. They both have the most PAs with men on base, but I'm not sure that more about playing every game of their slot in the order. Either way, this no the reason we are losing, but I do think we need to shake things up, and the 4 slot has been killing us. .171 BA 7 HRS 23 RBI (.518 OPS)

I've always doubted what people say was said, and the translations of statements made by Devers. Some posters have said Cora told Devers "to retire his glove." I doubt he said it, but if anything like that was said, I think it was wrong, especially with a know shortage of 1B depth and Casas being a China doll.

No, it doesn't mean that's the only reason to call up Mayer, but Mayer's struggles vs LHPs should be weighed vs Story's vs RHPs. Lately, Story hasn't been hitting L's or R's. I don't see why Campbell's recent struggles means Mayer will do worse. Mayer could blast off, if promoted. He could do worse. It's hard to imagine anyone doing worse than Story has for a few weeks, now. My idea is to play Story at 2B, mayer at SS and Campbell at 1B, so Mayer would be replacing Sogard, Toro and eventually Romy's bat in the line-up.

We do have options we have not tried, yet. We could call up a kid or two. We could bat Bregman 2nd and Devers 4th. We could try Criswell as a SP'er, like did so well, last year. We could give Guerrero another look. We could try I Campbell out, but we'd have to add him to the 40 (Casas to 60.) We could try something else and hope a spark ignites a flame.

Ok, well Story is hitting .547 vs RHPs, who we face way more often.