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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. moonslav59
    Big NO!
  2. moonslav59
    Just sign Skubal next winter.
  3. moonslav59
    I'd start Criswell over Uberstine and Drohan. Dobbins may start the season on the IL. Fitts should be in the pen to start the season, IMO. I do think Early and Tolle should be better options, but let's see how they look in ST'ing. I agree that cheap depth is good.
  4. moonslav59
    I would not spend large or long on Gallen.
  5. moonslav59
    To me, we can be a top contender with 3 major additions: SP2, 2B/3B (Mayer plays the other) and 1B. Since we can and should trade for one, we could easily fill the other two slots by free agency. If it's $45-50M (1st line) it might be a little difficult, but not very difficult. Estimates show we could maybe sign Alonso plus Polanco or Suarez. If we spend to the second line, we could easily do it, or even sign 3 major players. We are in good shape, if JH just spends to the first line and Brez makes a good trade.
  6. moonslav59
    I doubt we sign even Suarez & Polanco.
  7. moonslav59
    The Domers won big over 7 and 1 Navy, who were ranked 23rd before losing last week. They should pass BYU, who lost to TEX Tech. My guess is the top 12 will be... 1. OSU 9-0 2. TX A&M 9-0 3. IN 10-0 (almost lost) 4. AL 8-1 5. GA 8-1 6. Ole Miss 9-1 7. TX Tech 9-1 8. OR 8-1 (almost lost) 9. ND 7-2 10. TX 7-2 11. OK 7-2 12. Vandy 8-2 ____________ 13. UT 7-2 14. GA Tech 8-1 15. MIA 7-2 16. USC 7-2 17. MI 7-2 18. BYU 8-1 19. VA 8-2 20. PIT 7-2 __________________ Big games next weekend: 12 OKL at 4 AL 11 TEX at 5 GA 10 ND at 24 PIT Other top ranked teams: UCLA at 1 Ohio St WI at 2 IN So Carolina at 3 TX A&M FL at Ole Miss MN at 8 OR (Friday) UCF at 8 TX Tech 13 UT at Baylor
  8. moonslav59
    Trade for pitching.
  9. moonslav59
    I'll trust DRS and OAA. if you're below avg on both...
  10. moonslav59
    No doubt, but many are not ready. He signed for just over min wage.
  11. moonslav59
    It's 2 years of Duran for one of Skubal. Pretty close to fair, but is 2 years of Lodolo or Ryan better?
  12. moonslav59
    Kim is below avg in DRS and OAA on D. Nope.
  13. moonslav59
    I think the $38M is counting Lowe's $10-12M.
  14. moonslav59
  15. moonslav59
    That would be a dream come true. I'm thinking Alonso and Polanco 2b or Suarez 3B with Mayer playing 2B or 3B.
  16. moonslav59
    It's damn near impossible for Brez to accept Mayer not having a slot.
  17. moonslav59
  18. moonslav59
    Top Sox ISO 2023-2025 (300+ PAs) On current roster only... .211 Casas .209 Abreu .179 Narvaez .171 Anthony .167 Romy .156 Story .153 Rafaela .143 Yoshida .137 DHam .131 Wong _____________ OBP .396 Anthony .347 Casas .339 Duran .337 Yoshida .329 Romy .326 Abreu .306 Narvaez .304 Wong .284 Rafaela .283 DHam _______________ SLG .471 Duran .465 Abreu .463 Anthony .457 Casas & Romy .425 Yoshida .419 Narvaez .407 Story .401 Rafaela ,378 Wong .359 DHam
  19. moonslav59
    I didn't mean to imply I doubted you made the correct prediction. I chose to stop predicting, since it seemed and still seems impossible after so many broken promises, like "full throttle." On the AAV ledger, I think we saved about $16-18M on Devers but added about $6-7M for Hicks, so we saved about $10M on the tax budget. There is no reason to not go over this year, but I'm still refraining from predicting or expecting us to do it. IMO, we should spend up to the second line, which means about $65-70M, not counting any trades that add or subtract from the total. We basically have 3 major plus slots lost to free agency: Bregman (3B) SP2 (Giolito) and RP (Wilson/Matz) I'm not counting Lowe (1B) because he's actually still under control, although I think we should non tender him. (He may get $10-12M via arb.) To me, this is the peak time to "go for it." 2027 would be the year 3 tax year (reset?) We should sign a player or two to one year deals, so we can reset, but do our best to lock up 2-3 high quality players for 2-3 or more years. That's how long the window is open, if not longer. We can get 1 or 2 via trade(s) but we should be able to sign 2-3 major FAs to high AAVs. Just do it!
  20. moonslav59
    This is not the same type of trade situation as the ones you listed. He has 2 years of control left. I'm not really happy about trading a top 3 offensive player on the team, when I'm also saying we need two big bats, but there is some context needed. Anthony and Duran should not DH, so we have those two plus two GG OF'er who play very difficult Fenway positions- RF and CF. I'm okay with trading one of them and not Duran, but they both are under control for longer, cost less AAV and are way better on defense. We have a great need at SP2, 1B and 3B/2B, so a trade of a valuable OF'er makes sense. I mention trading Duran a lot, for these reasons, and within the context of the 4 we have, Duran is closer to his decline years than the others. Duran may very well have a career year in 2026 or 2027, but I think 2024 was will be his career year. I'm not for trading him for Jeter Downs, Verdugo and Wong. I'm not for trading him for Harrison, Hicks Jose Bello and Tibbs (traded for D May.) I'd trade him for Lodolo. I'd trade him for Joe Ryan. To me, that is evidence I value him highly.
  21. moonslav59
    1. I withdrew my "decline" position on Duran, despite his drop off. 2. Suarez has improved as he's aged, but yes, his age is scary as hell. 3. Duran's best year is likely behind him. Suarez had 49 Hrs many years ago, and he did again this season. 4. I only like Suarez, because I think JH does not like long deals, and his age means he won't get one. 5. I'm thinking Polanco might take a short deal to prove he deserves a 3-4 year deal in 2027. 6. I'm thinking we need two big bats and at today's money, how else do we get JH to pay for it, without 1 or two of them being shorter term deals? If it was up to me, I'd sign Schwarber DH, Polanco 2B and Alonso 1B. Let someone else sign Suarez.
  22. moonslav59
    Yes, it is. We'd have been way over w/o the Devers trade.
  23. moonslav59
    Right about what? Barely going over the line?
  24. moonslav59
    Arenado has lost his offensive skillset. He might be better than Yoshida, due to defense, but I don't want him as our FT 3Bman or 1Bman. I'd rather have Masa DH.
  25. moonslav59
    Suarez averaged 35 HRs per 162 from 2018-2014, so he's been a big power bat for longer than just 2025. 2018-2024: .330 OBP and a real good SLG of .474 (.804 OPS) Last 5 seasons (29-33 age) 34 HRs per 162. 40 HRs per 162 in last 2 years. I like him more because he will be maybe half the cost of Alonso and Schwarber and is a better defender than both.
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