moonslav59
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Everything posted by moonslav59
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We better not trade JBJ for a "serviceable back end guy." I'd rather not sign JD, if that's the best we can get for JBJ. I expect a decent #3 at worst. If we add a couple scraps, we should get a solid #3 or low #2.
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Duda could have been had for 1 year and maybe $7M. I wonder what Morrison will get, but he was more "iffy". I'm glad we did not get Hosmer, but I liked signing JD as the DH and going with HRam at 1B--chances are he doesn't vest playing there either.
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I'm thrilled we didn't get Hosmer, but Moreland returning is very sad. 1B comps last 4 years HRs Moreland: 22. 23. 22, 2 (inj), 23 in 2013 EHosmer: 25, 25, 18, 9 Morrison: 38, 14, 17, 11 (under 360 PAs in 2 low years) OPS Moreland: .769, .720, .812,> .736 (2013) EHosmer: .882, .761, .822, .716 Morrison: .868, .722, .685, .735 Looking at the projected contracts, Moreland looks like a steal, but if I see this guy in the 4 slot next year, I'll scream! (Note: Duda has 30, 7, 27 and 30 HRs with the 7 coming in 172 PAs. His OPS has been .818, .714, .838, .830) Combined 2014-2017 OPS/ISO Player HR/PAs .818/.242 Duda 94/1813 .799/.160 Hosmer 77/2552 .762/.196 Morrison 80/1875 .755/.187 Moreland 69/1778
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I'd rather lengthen the line-up by batting Bogey 1st, even if just vs RHPs (maybe JBJ vs RHPs?)... 1) Bogey 2) Betts 3) Beni 4) JD 5) Devers 6) Moreland/HRam 7) JBJ/HRam 8) Pedey/Marco 9) Vaz
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God! Stuck with HRam/Moreland in the 4 slot again !?!?!?! What part of last year's 4 slot made DD want a repeat? .240/.322/.423/.745 27 HRs and 93 RBIs weren't too bad, but we'll need much better in 2018.
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What sort of SP'er return can we get for JBJ? What if we add scraps like Holt or Travis? What if we add Groome or Chavis? Unless we get something very good, I'm not seeing an overall good winter outcome, even if we get JD.
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Stanton: I KNEW there was a reason I didn't like Jeter!
moonslav59 replied to Carter's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
Jete got hosed. He couldn't have done any worse by waiting. He let GS play him and he got screwed. -
Stanton: I KNEW there was a reason I didn't like Jeter!
moonslav59 replied to Carter's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
He'd have widened the teams, once he started the season in Miami. -
The off season is not over. We could still sign JD and trade JBJ or sign a big time pitcher and be $30+M over the limit.
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I could see that. So, this is it? 1) Bogey 2) Betts 3) Beni 4) Devers-HRam 5) Moreland-HRam 6) HRam- JBJ 7) JBJ- Pedey/Marco 8) Pedey/Marco- Brentz DH (as HRam plays 1B and Moreland is on the bench) 9) Vaz SP1) Sale SP2) Darvish SP3) Price SP4) Pom SP5) Porcello
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He's a throw-in or non inclusion.
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Stanton: I KNEW there was a reason I didn't like Jeter!
moonslav59 replied to Carter's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
All along, I've been saying Stanton will not bring as big of a return as most think, but this was ridiculous. Jeter blew it by rushing the decision and allowing Stanton to narrow the choice to basically 1 team as the other 3 on GS's list were not serious bidders. -
The only other option I see is this: Sign JD Martinez to play LF and trade JBJ & Wright for a solid SP'er.
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I'm turning towards anti-Dave with this signing.
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vs RHPs 1) R Betts 2) L Beni 3) R JD M 4) L Devers 5) R HRam or L JBJ (if not traded) 6) L Moreland 7) R Bogey 8) R Pedey 9) R Vaz vs LHPs 1) R Betts 2) R Bogey 3) R JD DH 4) R HRam 1B 5) L Devers 6) L Beni 7) R Pedey/Hernandez 8) L JBJ 9) R Vaz
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I'd prefer Betts 2nd or 3rd, but if we get JD, I'm okay with the idea: 1) Betts RF 2) Beni LF 3) Bogey SSv LHPs/ HRam DH v RHPs 4) JD LF 5) Devers 3B vs RHPs/ HRam DH v LHPs 6) Bogey SS vs RHPs/ Devers 3B vs LHPs 7) Moreland 1B 8) Pedey/Hernandez 2B 9) Vaz C (JBJ & Wright traded for a 3 slot SP'er)
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JD is not getting 7 years from anyone. He may not even get 6. I'd offer $130M/5 with a $20M option for year 6 with a $5M buyout. So, basically it's... $135M/5 or $150M/6
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I hate the signing, but I'm happier it's not Hosmer.
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$6.5M x 2. I don't like the second year, but I guess we can trade him, if we get Machado next season.
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It has to be JD, next....right?
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As much as I dislike the move, I'm thrilled Hosmer is out of the picture.
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Desultory Dave
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JBJ was never platooned. He was benched, demoted and jerked from MLB to AAA, but never came close to an actual platoon with anybody. He only started 26 games in 2013 (21 vs RHPs and 5 vs LHPs) 2014 starts: (team 113 to 49- 70% RHPs) vs RHPs: 45 (68.2%) vs LHPs: 21 Difference: -1.8% (NOT a platoon, since he faced a higher percent of RHPs than the team average) 2015 starts: (team116 to 46- 71.6%) vs RHPs: 74 (66.7%) vs LHPs: 37 Difference: -4.9% (Not a platoon at all- not even close. He faced about 5% less RHPs than the team average!) 2016 starts: (team 125 to 37- 77.2%) vs RHPs: 119- 82.1% vs LHPs: 36 Difference +4.9% (Maybe a slight platoon, but more like they gave him his normal days rest vs LHPs.) 2017 starts: (team 125 to 37- 77.2%) vs RHPs: 104- 79.4% vs LHPs: 27 Difference: +2.2% (Not a platoon) There is zero evidense JBj was ever platooned. Career splits: .735 vs RHPs .703 vs LHPs He's probably got one of the closest career splits on the team.
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I think Bogey is better suited for lead-off. If we sign JD and Morrison (assuming 2+ years), we will not likely have enough to sign Harper or Machado the following year unless we dump salary somehow. I guess we could go over the second penalty level, but I doubt it. Remember, the tax will also be higher in 2019 due to going over in 2018.
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I agree, but he's going to get that 3 weeks, so we might as well discuss things on that premise.
