moonslav59
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Everything posted by moonslav59
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From mid May 2016... IP ER (H+BB) 8.0 3 (6) 7.0 2 (9) 9.0 2 (9) 5.0 0 (8) 7.1 0 (9) 7.1 3 (9) 9.0 0 (8) From May 15th to June 24th, Wright had one of his best stretches ever. His June ERA was his second lowest of the season (1.62). On May 18th his ERA was 2.52, and on June 24th it was 2.01. (I think you missed by a month.) 14 starts is pretty impressive, and he was decent for 4 years beforehand. BTW, his ERA on AUG 25th, was still 3.01 (after 22 starts).
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I also found this nugget.... So, Crawford is the biggest target and the player upon whom Red Sox fans are now directing boos, a sound foreign to him during the nine seasons he spent with the Tampa Bay Rays. "They have to boo,'' he said after Friday night's 7-6 loss to the Toronto Blue Jays in which he went hitless in five at-bats, including a three-strike punchout in the ninth that ended with him swinging at a pitch that bounced in front of the plate. "I'm playing real bad; we're playing real bad," Crawford said. "You definitely understand. You can't be upset about that. You kind of feel their frustration a little, but we're frustrated too.'' o far, Crawford's Red Sox experience has been The Nightmare on Lansdowne Street. He is now 51 at-bats into his Sox career and he has 7 hits. One has gone for extra bases. The average is .137. He has scored 3 runs and knocked in 1. He couldn't look more uncomfortable at the plate. The ump cost him an infield hit in his first at-bat Friday, but with Jacoby Ellsbury on third and one out in the seventh, Crawford managed just a shallow fly to left.
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He must have heard me screaming all the way from Maine! Here's a quote from CC after being traded to LAD... "“Once I realized it and I had seven years I didn’t know what to do. It was just one of those things I had to sit out and wait. I was dealing with the struggling at the time and a bunch of other stuff. I had been in Tampa so we had been shielded from a lot of media stuff. I didn’t have to go through that stuff. That was new for me, dealing with the media and stuff like that. I didn’t how to handle all that stuff up there and it showed in my game. Then I started getting hurt all the time. It was just always bad, bad all the time.”
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Wright is certainly a question mark, and with a possible suspension or distraction looming, it wouldn't surprise me to see him lose the 5 slot to Johnson, Velazquez or someone else. That being said, I've been a big Wright fan. While his start to 2017 looks like it might have been an outlier, he actually has a pretty long record of doing well. 35 GS'd and 15 RP'er appearances from 2013-2016: 20-11 3.58 (2.8 WAR) Farm: 2012: 10-7 2.54 (142 IP in AA-AAA)) winter: 0-1 2.48 (29 IP) 2013: 8-7 3.46 (135 in AAA) 2014: 6-5 3.42 (100 in AA-AAA) 2015: 2-5 3.81 (52 IP) His only bad streak since 2011 was after the injury.
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Crawford was crucified then buried.
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Porcello, looks to me like our #5 pitcher, replace him with Wright or someone else. You guys place too much emphasis on just the most recent performance level.
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By the time Macho becomes a FA, Porcello & Bogey will have one year left, so it's not so simple as swapping contract costs for Porcello & Bogey. Yes, the money in 2019 will be about even, and I'd much rather have Machado & Wright than Porcello & Bogey, but 2020 and beyond will be very costly. Yes, there will be some money, but much will be eaten by rising arb costs of Betts, JBJ, Vaz, ERod and others. I'm certainly interested in Machado, and I'd be willing to pass on JD, if it meant we got Machado. The other part of your suggestion, is what could we get by trading Bogey & Porcello after 2018? Probably something very special to add to Machado's gain. (I'm not against the idea.)
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I'm cautiously optimistic, and if I had to bet, I'd put my money on Porcello improving on his 2017 numbers significantly.
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“I don’t have a (timetable) on it because I really don’t know,” said Dombrowski to Rosenthal. “Perhaps if I was losing options, juggling three guys, or if we were in the starting-pitching market where there are four (top) guys, I would say, ‘Hey, I need an answer now, or I’m going to turn to this guy.’ But we’re really not in that situation.” Like I've said before, it should not be ultimatum time, until secondary options are about to sign elsewhere.
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That is certainly a strong possibility, but eventually, it becomes "final offer" time. I don't think we should look at past signing periods as an indicator of what point we are or should be at now. Last year, 99 out of 158 FAs (62.6%) had signed by now. This year it is at 61 out of 166 (36.7%). While that differential looks massive, I don't think it's as serious as many seem to think it is. Many of these players have huge offers on the table. It's guys like Moustakas, LoMo and maybe a couple others that may be seriously impacted by this year's situation. With the Sox recently resetting their tax, we should think about pouncing on the mid-level players at "bargain rates", instead of upping our offer to JD. I'd seriously consider telling Boras, this is it ______. Let us know in __ days, or we move on, but if the market will all be delayed another 2-3 weeks, maybe it's not time to make ultimatums. .
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No GM in MLB places value on a player based solely on last year's performance. Even if Porcello's "true value" is somewhere around $14-16M, and we trade him, in order to "save" about $5M, is signing Cobb or Lynn for $14-16M a year really an upgrade? Maybe. Maybe not. If the $5M "saved" helps us sign Nunez or LoMo, then maybe it's worth it, but it's hard to tell. In theory, trading Porcello and replacing him, in kind, at a lower cost makes sense, but in reality, it's not an easy thing to do. Why wouldn't the team trading for Porcello just sign Lynn or Cobb themselves?
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Trading Porcello opens salary budget space, but then we need a SP'er. That will be costly in dollars and/or players if by trade. . I suppose we could trade Porcello and maybe force HRam with him for prospects. Sign JD and LoMo (or Nunez, if we can't dump HRam). Trade JBJ & Johnson for a SP'er (Salazar?).
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If we're JD's plan B, and we say, "This is our highest offer," Boras should do the right thing and tell us, we're out. He may want us to stick around to help drive the price up for their plan A team. I'd be fine with any of this... LoMo & Cobb LoMo & Nunez (trade HRam & Holt or Swihart, if possible) Duda, Nunez & Lynn (trade HRam & Holt or Swihart, if possible)
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Since the extension... 33-21 3.86 7.2 WAR (13th in MLB) 426 IP (4th in MLB) 1.69 BB/9 (4th in MLB) 1.19 WHIP (22nd in MLB) 88 ERA- (25th in MLB) 1 great season- one not so great. 2 more to go.
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Seasons? How many seasons has Porcello made $21M and lost 15 to 17 games?
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I don't think things are as dire as some seem to think it is. Just because big signings are on hold does not mean the end of the world. Some good offers have been made. Sides are not miles away. I doubt it goes to March, but I suppose some might sign then. I'm not worried. There's no need to panic and make demands that cause us to lose our top option(s).
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I could see that, especially if we miss out on JD. I could also see us letting Bogey go, going with defense at SS and using the money to power up at 1B.
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Chances are, we don't do all of this. We'd need every replacement player to come through nicely.. I think we keep Pom, make sure HRam does not vest and try to keep Bogey. We'll sign a SP'er to take Porcello's place, but maybe not at $20M. Wright remains the 6th starter.
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So, why is JD being vilified for trying to squeeze out an extra million or two?
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Agreed. I'm glad we did not sign Frazier, and would still be, if we miss out on JD. I'd rather have Moose, LoMo or Duda.
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...and himself, too, then. Maybe he wasn't as "cerebral" as many fans thought.
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Frazier is very good vs LHPs, as is HRam (except for 2017). Moreland and Devers bat lefty. 3 positions: 4 players. HRam & Frazier hit vs all lefties. Moreland & Devers vs all righties. HRam or Frazier play vs some RHPs. Devers vs almost all LHPs.
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She missed out on $6.5M!
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Unless, they moved Devers to DH and let Frazier play 3B.
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He had his highest OBP of his career. He did not trade OBP for HRs. He may have traded BA for HRs, though.
