moonslav59
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Everything posted by moonslav59
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Sounds about right.
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God bless his soul, but Tom Petty said it best... The waiting is the hardest part...
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I know that, but my point was that people said, back then, that teams were waiting to sign big free agents until after the Stanton and Othani decisions were made. They were made long ago. Still, nothing but the sound of crickets...
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That's what people said before the Stanton trade and the Othani decision.
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I'm convinced we can be the top bidder, if we want to be. I'm not convinced who all the interested parties are, but I'm pretty sure no big spending teams are involved (so far).
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We can't assume he can repeat one season at AAA at the ML level. He's had much worse years, too.
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I know, that's why I brought up his name. Ben is not the only reason we are over the limit and facing a tax on Castillo, if added to the roster.
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Price was not the only option in 2016. We could have won the division by spending that money elsewhere. (Note: I was okay with the signing, but I'm just saying...)
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Chavis has been hurt, so I think some view last year as his first real test on pro ball, and he did well. I'm cautiously optimistic on Chavis.
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I don't disagree, but if any bi contract was not part of our budget, we wouldn't have to worry about the tax on Castillo.
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...and HRam's and Price's and...
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He hit lefties !.073) as well as righties (1.009) in single A. He only had 45 ABs vs LHPs at AA (.602). He hit .846 vs RHPs in AA. Being 5-10 is not ideal for 1B, but it's not unheard of either.
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If we knew he could do that at the ML level and play plus defense, he'd probably be worth the added cost the tax would bring. That's a big "if."
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Maybe not enough value to justify the added cost.
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Yes, I mentioned the problem arises in future years as the tax rate is liable to go way up. Even if Castillo does well as a 4th OF'er, his cost may be too high year 3 or 4. He'd pretty much have to be starting to earn the "added cost", if our tax rate is 50% plus the second penalty rate costs. If he does not do well, the cost could really hurt. That is why I do not think he ever gets called up to the 40 man roster.
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His "added cost" would just be 20% or 32% (if we go over the second level tax line) for 2018. That's just about $2.5 to $3.5M. That's much less than we paid Young for 2 years. The problem arises for 2019 and 2020, if we reach higher tax rates due to consecutive years over the luxury tax limit, but even then, if he's doing well, he might be worth it.
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Yes, for many players, ages 31-34 or so are their best years.
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Unless, that team has asked not to be named. Maybe that team might have a player that would feel bad, if he knew the team was thinking of replacing, demoting or moving him to another position to make room for JD.
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That's exactly how I see it. Just because the Sox look like the best fit for JD and his contract, does not mean we have to grossly overpay or outbid everyone (nobody) else. I hope DD gave a fair offer and won't go so much higher that it reaches the stupidity level. If $125M/5 won't get it done, I might add a $5M option buyout on a $20M year 6, making it a $130M/5 (but $130M/6 on luxury tax) deal that JD can take or leave. I'm only mildly concerned about our plan B and C being taken before JD decides, but if the flurry of signings begin, that sentiment may change.
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I see him as being "the guy to beat," but it's not his already. Holt, Quiroz, Lin and Marrero (out of options) may challenge this spring.
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Turning DPs is not an easy task for many MLB players. I don't see Swihart or Chavis doing it at an acceptable level of competence.
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Agreed. Best outcome? I'd love to see a Longorian extension.
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Perhaps, Chavis is not physically equipped to handle 2B.
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Maybe an offer of $115M/5 with a $5M option buy out for year 6 (counts as $120M/6 on the luxury tax budget) of a $15M sixth year ($135M/6)
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I have little faith in Brentz, but he should get a chance.
