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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. moonslav59
    They had a tremendous bench, including 2 OF'er with much better defensive skills than JMart, Nunez, Swihart or Holt. Plus they hit better than our OF: Marwin Gonzalez .907 Jake Marisnick .815 Plus, they didn't have a clear best 3 OF'ers, and Reddick got hurt/ Beltran became 'washed up".
  2. moonslav59
    If our team is not hitting, why does that mean we have to look at only the OF and who is worst there? 1B and catching might be worst and LF hasn't been all that great for 2017-2018.
  3. moonslav59
    It's not that I'm not worried about JBJ's offense. I am. My position is that he has a long history of having prolonged slumps but has ended up between .725-.855 for 3 straight seasons. Unless, it looks like he's set to do worse than that, I'm not going to suggest he be replaced for at least a couple more months of a sample size to analyze. Plus, it's not just as simple as looking at OPS, although I have used OPS as a measuring stick far too often. How hard is JBJ hitting the ball? What about his BAbip? Is he the worst offensive player on the team (in 2 months)? We had a pretty crappy offense last year and JBJ was our 3rd highest WAR everyday player. He wasn't even close to our weakest link. That might change this year, but it's too early to know that.
  4. moonslav59
    If we are last in the league in hitting, JBJ's .726 will not be our worst hitter.
  5. moonslav59
    I'm of the mind that our young OF'ers only really need, at most, 5-7 days off. We play at NL parks at these times: May 31-June 3 (4 games at HOU) July 2-4 (3 games at WSH) Aug 14-15 (2 games at PHI) Sep 3-5 (3 games at ATL) That's almost perfectly spaced to give each OF'er 4 days off. That allows JMart or Nunez to play the OF in NL parks 12 out of the 12 games, if we want. Maybe an OF'er might need a rest before or in between some of these dats, then fine, give JMart or Nunez a game here or there, at those times. I'm okay with resting JBJ a little more than he "needs" to get more offense and allow Nunez more PAs, but no more than 12-14 games total- no injury-related. (This assumes he's hitting above .580 or so.)
  6. moonslav59
    I'm very happy we replaced JF with Cora. I may disagree with some of his "experimenting", and I hope it was just that, or I might change my mind, but I'm not even close to being for Cora packing his bags. (My guess is that all the "analytics" will show JMart should not play the OF more than our eyes told us.)
  7. moonslav59
    .726 os more than enough from JBJ no matter how well or bad the team is hitting. A .726 JBJ is a big net plus and would make CF one of our biggest overall strengths.
  8. moonslav59
    2017 Late and close: RBIs per AB 19/99 Betts 15/104 Moreland 14/110 Beni 13/82 Pedey 11/59 Leon 11/105 Bogey 9/87 HRam\ 8 103 JBJ 7/60 Vaz. It looks to me like JBj was "short" about 3-6 RBIs whn "it counts" last year. He more than makes up 6 runs with his defense and base-running, IMO. RISP opportunities and RBIs RBI/AB 74/138 Betts 70/134 Beni 54/160 Moreland 53/76 Pedey 47/131 Bogey 42/128 JBJ 36/139 HRam 35/66 Leon 23/54 Devers 22/77 Vaz How many is he "short" here? 10-12 RBIs? Does he save or add runs by more than that with his D and running? I'd say, "YES and then some."
  9. moonslav59
    It's how many runners he leaves on base as compared to the average CF'er. Then that number can be compared to how many runs he saves with his defense. (BTW, JBJ is also a plus base-runner, so he gains a few runs that way.)
  10. moonslav59
    You think he'll end up at .399? I agree, here is a floor. Defense does matter, and as far as "subjective defensive metrics" go, I think JBJ is even better than they indicate, so maybe he was a 2.3 or 2.4 WAR OF'er last year.
  11. moonslav59
    So, we waitr until it costs us a game(s) and then react? I hope we "learned" what should have already been known: JMart sucks in the OF. JBJ is much better than Beni in CF defense (and so far, not much worse on offense than Beni) It's not rocket science.
  12. moonslav59
    Is Moreland a significant upgrade over JBJ's bat to warrant the huge drop in defense? Yes, maybe HRam and Moreland "deserve" more PAs but not on this team. I'm still baffled by the Moreland signing. That $13m could have been spent or saved for the summer. We have Swihart and Travis as back-ups to HRam. Duda could have accomplished more for our offense, or Moose could have helped our defense and been a better offensive threat than Moreland.
  13. moonslav59
    We also had Marrero at 3B for a big chunk of last year, so 150 games of Devers will see a loss there as well. It looks like HRam will play more 1B than last year- another drop off. The more JMart plays the OF, the more drop off there. I don't think we'll be that close to last year's team, defensively, but I do think we're better than 23rd.
  14. moonslav59
    Agreed. I don't mean to come off as authoritarian or as a Mr. Know-it-all, but I guess I do to some. I love a good debate and have been known to get confrontational, when I feel someone has crossed the line of civility and decorum. I really appreciate your posts, cp, despite our many differing points of view. The world would be a dull place, if they all believe exactly the same things.
  15. moonslav59
    To me, the choice is simple and clear, at least after "experimenting" over the first 9 games. JMart should DH FT, and he can play OF at NL parks. Try to schedule his days of rest at NL parks to minimize his OF exposure. Beni, JBJ and Betts are our FT OF'ers. Get them rest when they need it and maybe "rest" JBJ more, especially when we put JMart in the OF at NL parks. HRam & Moreland share 1B duties. I'd use Moreland as a late inning defensive replacement as much as needed, and I'd start Moreland vs more RHPs than I think most here would want. When Pedey returns, and we need to find playing time for Nunez, we should know more about JBJ's offensive level. We might adjust OF playing time to allow Nunez to play LF here and there.
  16. moonslav59
    I know it's a tiny sample size, but if our first 9 games don't prove that Fldg% is as near as useless as a stat can be, then nothing will convince those who believe it's better than any defensive metric. And, if "it's what I observed is all that matters" argument is pulled out, I will ask, what have you all observed over these 9 games? Great D? Good D? Decent D? Bad D? Horrible D? If anyone chooses one of the first 2, I'm going to suggest an eye exam. If anyone chooses "decent", I'm going to disagree. Can we all agree to just throw fldg% into the trash, once and for all? (I expect it's impossible to get 100% consensus on anything, but WTH!)
  17. moonslav59
    Umm, I'd contend those were already well known facts that did not need to be tested or "experimented". (Note: I love Cora and am not bashing him at all.)
  18. moonslav59
    I wasn't being sarcastic. I really do not put much emphasis on a cherry-picked 3 season sample size, even though it seemingly supports my position.
  19. moonslav59
    A Sox- Yanks Comp Runs scored 55 NYY (4th in MLB) 42 BOS (11th) OPS .747 NYY (10th) .733 BOS (14th) UZR/150 6.0 NYY (6th) 0.8 BOS (17th) DRS 5 NYY (4th) -8 BOS (28th) (I might add, the Sox have yet to commit an "error" this season. The Yanks have 10!) Runs Allowed 26 BOS (4th) 44 NYY (20th) ERA- 65 BOS (2nd) 98 NYY (13th) WHIP 1.13 BOS (5th) 1.20 NYY (10th) SP'er ERA- 41 BOS (1st) 79 NYY (6th) RP'er ERA- 102 BOS (20th) 1.32 WHIP 121 NYY (23rd) 1.20 WHIP
  20. moonslav59
    I get it. Three seasons of Sox championships proves nothing. It could just be random (maybe a bad choice of words in light of recent discussions) bad luck. Just win, baby! By 1 or 4 is fine with me.
  21. moonslav59
    Of course, there is a minimum offensive level JBJ has to reach to remain a plus. To me, he's probably still a slight plus at around a .525 to .575 OPS. He looks like our best choice now while hitting .399. I see no reason to think JBJ will end the season below .650. To me, he's a significant plus at .650-.700.
  22. moonslav59
    If Wright comes back strong, we could have a pen stacked with 2-4 inning pitchers and then Kimbrel, Smith, Kelly and Barnes for the late innings only.
  23. moonslav59
    As long as our pen is doing well, I'd limit the pitches for 1/3 to a 1/2 season and then don't overdo it afterwards. With Johnson & Velazquez in the pen, we have the "innings guys" to allow us some leeway in yanking starters very early.
  24. moonslav59
    Depends. Some team may be looking to dump a high salary pitcher, and since we'll only owe 1/3 of the salary, we might get one for cheap. If Holt and Swihart do well, maybe they can be throw-ins. We could also trade Johnson and Houck for a better SP'er, but that would not be "major."
  25. moonslav59
    There are other players we can choose to let walk away over JBJ, and if JMart is to go on being a FT DH, then we'll need JBJ in our OF. Brannen is somewhat of a long shot and my be 2-3 years away. Castillo would add too much to the budget (maybe more than JBJ's last 2 arbs). We have nobody else to play OF, except non-OF'ers like Nunez, Holt, Swihart and Moreland, and some of them won't be around for JBJ's last arb year anyways.
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