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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. moonslav59
    Bring Marrero back! LOL
  2. moonslav59
    I'm all for letting Kimbrel go, if his demands are out of line or out of our reach. We may lose Pom as well, even if Hram does not vest. We will have some money to sign someone to replace part of what they left as a hole. We'll have much more without HRam's contract.
  3. moonslav59
    Does anybody disagree? Same with Pom vs HRam.
  4. moonslav59
    Like I said, I agree with your point that 4+ run wins are a better indicator of a good team than 1 run wins. Randomness plays a greater role in 1 run games for obvious reasons. (Well, obvious to some.)
  5. moonslav59
    Great stuff. It's interesting to note that the two guys who have not increased their numbers here are both stuggling to start the season.
  6. moonslav59
    Makes sense. As much as I have liked JBJ over the years, I'm not against looking at other chocies and gathering information. I do think, looking at the data and net value of each of our current players and where we might project they are going forward, playing JBJ FT or nearly FT looks like the best option to me.
  7. moonslav59
    It shouldn't break us, but IMO we're better with Kimbrel over HRam in 2019.
  8. moonslav59
    Cherry=picked or not three seasons of data from one team proves very little. I'm sure someone can dig up many championship teams that had great 1 run game records. (BTW, I agree with your point about randomness being a major part of winning close games, but skill tips the balance a significant amount of time as well- just not in 2004, 2007 and 2013 with the Sox.
  9. moonslav59
    Like Bill Walton?
  10. moonslav59
    By the time he's ready, JBJ will be a FA or re-signed.
  11. moonslav59
    You talking to me? I don't disagree with anything you said here.
  12. moonslav59
    10 days doesn't sound like a lot for a cracked bone. I hope it heals quickly. He was one of our hottest players.
  13. moonslav59
    I'm not sure if all 13 are GG worthy. I don't watch all of them play nearly every game. I do watch JBJ every game, and he's the best Sox defensive CF'er I've ever seen. (That does not make him an automatic GG winner or top contender, but I do think he is very close to GG caliber from what little I've seen of other current great fielding CF'ers. If I try to be totally objective, I'd say JBJ has never deserved a GG. Others have likely been better and more deserving. My point is, you don't have to be the best or even top 5 to be a huge plus to your team on defense. He's not a plus on defense when we play teams with equal or better defensive CF'ers. I know this: JBJ is better than anyone else on our team in CF by a long shot. Beni is way better than JMart in LF. Our OF is way better with JBJ in CF and Beni in RF. We don't gain enough playing Moreland in the line-up instead of JBJ.
  14. moonslav59
    He's not, but it doesn't take much to be better than Devers defensively and Moreland offensively.
  15. moonslav59
    What a relief!
  16. moonslav59
    So, are there no tremendous defensive CF'er in minor league ball that can hit .101 at minimum wage?
  17. moonslav59
    My point was, you can still be a great fielder and only rank 10-13th. QA kid who scores 99 for a semester but is ranked 3rd out 5 is not mediocre. I agree that JBJ can eventually be replaced and maybe should be, if he can't hit over somewhere around .600 to .650. Once he gets to the .650-.700 range, it's more debatable. If he's over .700, IMO, he's a clear plus that can still be improved upon, but show me who and how before I say yes. Clearly, if he hits .500 this year, we can find a great glove CF'er for cheaper than JBJ's arb (even though that might not be that much after a .500 season).
  18. moonslav59
    I defend defensive metrics over observations a lot, but I have never said they are perfect or the be-all-end-all decider of value. I think the fact that JBJ makes some plays look easy, the metrics might be discounting the value of those plays by labelling them as a normalk or slightly difficult play, instead of a very difficult one. I could be wrong, but I think that may be why JBJ's UZR/150 numbers are not as high as I expect. He's not all that fats, either, so I can see how a faster CF'er with equal instincts, quick starts and best routes taken can be better than JBJ. I don't need to think JBJ is the best or even top 5 to know he's an easy big plus in CF on defense.
  19. moonslav59
    Context may be needed. Maybe there are 13 super great defensive CF'ers in MLB right now, so saying JBJ is #13 does not mean he's not great. Besides, he's 4th best in DRS. To me, JBJ owns Fenway's CF and is damn good away. The numbers show he's a solid plus in UZR/150 and top 5 in DRS. I know there are some great defenders out there, and I'm okay with anyone saying they are better than JBJ, but that doesn't make JBJ bad or even mediocre. One has to choose to say that if you are ranked 13th, you have to be mediocre. If you have 5 studnets take a test and these are the scores: 100 100 99 60 40 Is the guy who got a 99 really "mediocre?"
  20. moonslav59
    The Astros had two "clear FT OF'ers" and both were hurt for a while.
  21. moonslav59
    Nobody was talking to Moose all winter. We made a mistake and not just with Moose. There were other choices and no hurry to lock Moreland up.
  22. moonslav59
    Okay. We put Jmart in the OF and what? We get Moreland's bat in the line-up over JBJ? Swihart? Holt? If we do get an offensive gain from one of those guys over JBJ, the defensive loss negates the gain and then some. BTW, small sample sizes for all, but... 2018 OPS .533 Swihart .399 JBJ .300 Holt .297 Moreland
  23. moonslav59
    Last year was a case in point. Our offense struggle a lot. JBJ's .726 OPS was the 9th worst out of our top 9 PA players. You speak of context, but seem to think, if our offense is struggling, that would become the top priority, when the full context involves looking at defense and base running as well. The other aspect is who are we replacing JBj with and how much offensive improvement can we expect? Right now, if we bench JBJ, we'd play Moreland, Swihart or Holt more often. "Context" shows each would be a net loss by playing them instead of JBJ. When Pedey returns and Nunez enters the picture, the context changes and maybe a change might be called for.
  24. moonslav59
    No, last year's numbers did not show him being all that great, defensively. A longer sample size shows he's better but still not top 5 or 6. JBJ did place 7th in DRS last year at +10, so if that number is correct, he's not as mediocre as the other metrics indicate. He's 11th out of 30 CF'er with 1500+ innings since 2015 in UZR/150 at +5.9. I think he's better than that, but I haven't seen the 10 guys ahead of him everyday.
  25. moonslav59
    I'm on life support as we speak!
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