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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. moonslav59
    In my opinion, many GMs would love to have JBJ on their team, even at $6.1M, and would give up something significant to get him... despite all his slumps.
  2. moonslav59
    I know I've said it before, but do you really think a GM who has liked JBJ for years will no longer want him based on 1 month of poor hitting of which only 6 games are at the ML level?
  3. moonslav59
    Every winter, reports are published reporting interest in JBJ. Here's a couple links... (The first one speaks of 6 GMs asking about JBJ) http://www.bostonherald.com/sports/red_sox/clubhouse_insider/2016/07/scott_boras_i_had_6_different_gms_calling_me_about_jackie http://www.masslive.com/redsox/index.ssf/2018/02/boston_red_sox_trade_rumors_ja_4.html
  4. moonslav59
    I don't think JBJ's 2019 contract will be higher than his value to the team. To me, the choice will likely be between Pom and Kimbrel. Who stays- who goes?
  5. moonslav59
    No doubt, but GMs keep calling DD and asking about JBJ, so they must like the net value.
  6. moonslav59
    My point was that he had not earned a FT role before the season started. He's doing a good job earning it in this small sample size start of the season.
  7. moonslav59
    Devers and Beni can and IMO will become potent middle order bats. HRam will be batting 5th or 6th by September.
  8. moonslav59
    Thanks, kimmi. Good stuff!
  9. moonslav59
    Now, if we can just win in men's football and basketball, I'd be thrilled!
  10. moonslav59
    Yes, and when the team won with "Morgan magic," which was actually based on hocus pocus, fans loved the guy. That turned on a dime, when things went badly.
  11. moonslav59
    One reason why it's hard to automatically discount our success, when we don't really know for sure how good or bad the FLA teams really are.
  12. moonslav59
    There's probably not any step raise percentages in writing, but I think the arb costs are predictable. I'm pretty sure a 2nd year arb with a 4 year arb player is generally less cost than a 2nd year with a 3 year arb player- right or wrong. The 4th year arb player might make more in his 4th year than an equal player in the 3rd year of a 3 year arb situation. We may trade or release some of our players up for arbs over the next few years, but we are going to be swamped with arb raises starting next winter. 208-2019 Winter (Current cost) 2 of 3 Betts ($10.5M) 3 of 3 Bogey ($7.1M) 3 of 4 JBJ ($6.1M) 2 of 3 ERod ($2.4M) 2 of 3 Wright ($1.1M) 2 of 3 Smith ($850K) 1 of 3 Barnes ($605K) 1 of 3 Hembree ($582K) 1 of 4 Swihart ($564K) 2 of 3 Workman ($min) Bubble: 3 of 3 Holt ($2.2M) 3 of 4 Leon ($2M) 1 0f 3 Elias ($min) It's kind of a messed up system, but it does allow players to make more before they reach free agency.
  13. moonslav59
    Yes and Lakins, too.
  14. moonslav59
    We really need fresh infusions like Poyner's. It's nice being 6-1, especially when you consider our full team is still not assembled on the active 25 man roster right now. Yes, we'll be facing tougher competition, but we'll have some vets joining us over the next few days, weeks and months... ERod & Pom Wright, Maddox & Thornburg Pedey & Hernandez AAA depth of Workman, Scott, Elias, Haley, Travis, Lin & others
  15. moonslav59
    Last year we started off 3-3 with 2 games vs Pitt and 4 vs DET. We won the division. In 2016, we started off 3-4 (2 vs CLE, 3 vs TOR and 2 vs BAL). We won the division. In our championship 2013 season, we started 5-4 (NYY, TOR, BAL) Our 2007 championship season started out at 2-3 and 4-4 (KC & TEX) 2004 started out with a 2 and 3 start (BAL & TOR) and 6-5. I like being 6-1 with a bunch of tougher teams coming up at some point than being 3-4 with easier teams to play going forwatd.
  16. moonslav59
    Arb contracts also have a lot to do with what arb year it is. It's hard to compare the Betts arb with JBJ, because Betts' $10.5M was year one of 3 arbs. JBJ's $6.1M was in year 2 of 4 arbs. I hope we can keep both of these guys. Having great defense in CF and RF in Fenways is a huge plus. I do get the point about redundancy and the idea of trying to keep JMart happy by getting him more OF time, so I could see us trading JBJ to either save $8-10M next year or find a SP'er to take Pom's place or closer to take Kimbrel's place.
  17. moonslav59
    Those are usually the ones that beat us!
  18. moonslav59
    So, what's it going to say about Yankee pitching when we bust out on you guys?
  19. moonslav59
    Suppose someone like Swihart becomes the fourth outfielder with JD starting in left. Johnson takes over the fifth rotation spot. If we trade JBJ for pitching or prospects, I think Nunez plays LF more than Swihart.
  20. moonslav59
    I could see us trading JBJ next winter, and maybe he'd be part of a package for a better starter than a number 4 type. I may be biased, but I think he's worth a solid #3 straight up. It always seems like GMs ask about JBJ. Maybe they just figure we're not dealing Betts or Beni. I do think GMs value JBJ's defense more than some here might think.
  21. moonslav59
    I seriously doubt any GM adds or subtracts value from any player based on a 7 game sample size.
  22. moonslav59
    The rays almost always do better than most expect.
  23. moonslav59
    I'm not "celebrating." but I'm glad we're off to a good start and out pitchers look very good. An 0.86 ERA in 7 games is pretty good no matter who you're facing. Sure, I'm not expecting 0.86 vs the Yanks and Astros, but I doubt their starters go 0.86 vs the Rays and Marlins..
  24. moonslav59
    Sox OPS .989 Bogey .952 Betts .816 HRam .757 Devers .666 Nunez .656 JMart .650 Swihart .541 Beni .534 Vaz .467 JBJ .400 Leon .375 Holt .100 Moreland
  25. moonslav59
    Starter Numbers: 0 ER 14 IP 7 H 3 BB Price (0.00 ERA/ 0.714 WHIP) 1 ER 11 IP 6 H 3 BB Sale (0.82 ERA/0.818 WHIP) 1 ER 6.0IP 6 H 1 BB Johnson (1.50/ 1.333) 1 ER 5.2IP 5 H 1 BB Velazquez (1.59/ 1.059) 1 ER 5.1IP 6 H 1 BB Porcello (1.69/ 1.313) Not one starter with an ERA over 1.70! (Yes, small sample size but still meaningful.) Team starter ERA 0.86 WHIP 0.929
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