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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. Agreed, and Pearce's feats were more dramatic and noticeable, but the 54 PAs against to 16 for Pearce is the difference maker for me.
  2. I'm not denying the existence of mental blocks and players who struggle in high-pressure situations, but one would think the pressure was greater this year than any other year for Price, so I'm not sure he ever had an issue, other than bad luck or bad timing for poor stretches. All pitchers have bad stretches. I'm sure you can find a time period where history shows each pitcher sucks. Price's may have just been bad timing on tough times. Maybe not. Baseball is not an easy sport to stay consistently good (or bad).
  3. My thought is any trade involving Johnson plus add-ons would be fore a better 5/6 slot starting pitcher.
  4. Both have no options left, so a team without a 25 man roster squeeze would be a good match. If we could trade Johnson and Swihart for a marginally better starter than Johnson, why not do it? I'm also thinking we have a lot of duplicated corner IF positional value in Chavis, Dalbec, Ockimey & Travis. Assuming we keep Pearce for 3 years, what can we get for Ockimey, Johnson & Swihart?
  5. I put my numbers high enough or long enough to pretty much make sure we'd get them all. I thought of Kelly for 3 years and Pearce for 2 (like Moreland), but to get them, it might take one more year. We might get Kelly for $25M/4 or $21M/3 and Pearce for $18M/3 or $15M/2. I'm think E-O might get more than $50M/4.
  6. What's a freakin truck worth? This is comical. We got players with bonuses based on this sort of crap worth more than a truck.
  7. I'm sure glad we had Pearce and his HRs were highly valuable. I mean no slight on him, but 54 batters faced bt Price vs 16 PAs by Pearce tips the scales. So many pf Prices batters faced were high leverage against hitters with great numbers. The Dodgers had like 8 guys over .800 this year. The type of balanced team many want the Sox to have. Price was lights out, and his relief appearances were pressure-packed.
  8. I hope so. Catcher OPS .665 2016 .690 2017 .533 2018 Hell, a .157 OPS gain at catcher would be greater than our OPS gain at DH from 2017 to 2018! .747 in 2017 .862 in 2018 (with JD getting almost 2/3 of the PAs at DH!) So, here's to adding another JD to the line-up next year! (sarcasm alert)
  9. Pearce was huge, no doubt, but to me, we had the series won before game 5, anyways. To me, I think Price deserved it and Eovaldi maybe was tied with Pearce for 2nd. Pearce had just 12 ABs (16 PAs). 4 hits in 12 ABs/ 8 times in base in 16 PAs. Price faced 54 batters and got 41 outs. This is always the argument I use for giving SP'ers the MVP. Great starters often pitch to 850+ PAs a year- far more than any batter ever gets. Just because they are bunched up, does not make them any less valuable.
  10. Nothing surprises me, when it comes to awards and how they choose them. We've had Gold Glove winners who played DH most of the year, and voters leaving Pedro off the MVP ballot in a season unmatched by any player in my lifetime.
  11. To me, he's always been a great pitcher and it was just a matter of time (and lengthening his sample size) before he had a good stretch during a pinpoint sample size that is a playoff season. I'd expect Kershaw to pitch great at times, if his playoff sample size grew. The fans who bitched at Price, before this October, were probably the same ones starting to question Betts and his post season numbers. Maybe his HR in the last game will keep them at bay for a while. By and large, most players' playoff sample sizes are just too small to definitively judge a player, plus the numbers are often scattered over several years with huge gaps between them. We've seen players turn around 300-600 PA sample sizes, and yet some put so much faith in 80-150 PAs sample sizes or less.
  12. I've been on the Leon bandwagon for years- Vaz, too. You don't have to convince me. I wasn't suggesting a downgrade on catcher defense and catcher-pitcher comfort value. My thought was that there must be a catcher out there, who can do what Leon does with our staff and hit .500 or .550 not .339. A .500 catcher should not cost much, after all, we got Leon for just cash. I'd be very happy with Vaz-Leon next year, and I'm not sure it would be worth the risk to switch catchers with Sale on the mound, even if the new guy has a great track record like sandy's behind the plate. I'm just saying I think there are some very good defensive catchers out there that can hit .500-.600. One could argue, so can Leon, since he's over .630 with the Sox. maybe he'll hit .650 next year.
  13. Over the years, Soix management has been pretty good at knowing when to cut ties with players, even those who have been successful or even legendary. I'm not sure how they project Eovaldi, Kelly and Pearce going forward. They may see a similar player out there who looks better or is cheaper than the three I mentioned, but I'd be happy with starting the season with Eovaldi, Kelly, Pearce and a lefty pen arm and $4-6M to use in the summer. (Assuming we trade Swihart) Replace these IP or PAs with this... PAs 207 Swihart and 195 HRam with more from Pearce, Vaz and Chavis/Ockimey/Dalbec/Travis 143 Kinsler and 27 Phillips with more from Holt, Nunez or Pedey/Hernandez IP'd 74 Pomeranz with more from ERod, Wright and Johnson/Velazquez 62 Kimbrel with more from Brasier, Workman, Wright, Poyner, Smith/Thornburg/Scott
  14. I agree. I seriously doubt we keep Swihart over Leon. I am happy with Leon and how he gets the best from the starters he catches. He is also Sale's caddy. I do think we may look for a catcher who can hit over .500 and give us the defense and intangibles Leon brings to this team. Leon had a .339 OPS over his last 49 games of the season going back to July 8th. While I like Leon a lot, .340 is really tough to look at.
  15. While I agree in principle, trading for a closer type could save millions on what I assume will be a a limited or restricted winter spending budget.
  16. I remember a lot of it. I do not store much, but at times, I'll go back and find an old post to copy and paste. For this post, I went to soxprospects.com and looked at our drafts since 2004. http://soxprospects.com/dh.htm This stuff fascinates me and feeds my OCD.
  17. ...and Brasier.
  18. True, and this was the host speaking.
  19. Me, too, but I was hoping we'd get a decent sandwich pick or something. It's been a long time since the days we stock-piled comp picks. Here's a history of our comp picks (Oh, the good 'ole days!): Kopech 2014 (Ellsbury) Johnson & P Light (who got us Abad) 2012 (Papelbon) JBJ & Swihart 2011 (Beltre) Barnes & Owens 2011 (VMart) Workman 2010 (JBay) Ranaudo (who got us Robbie Ross) 2010 (B Wagner) S Fife (who helped us get E Bedard) 2008 (Gagne) N Hagadone (small part of VMart trade) 2007 (Alex Gonzo) Daniel Bard 2006 (Damon) Ellsbury & Lowrie 2005 (OCab) Hansen (small part of JBay trade) 2005 (D Lowe) Buchholz 2005 (Pedro) Looking at this list, one could extrapolate on the Nomar trade that brought us OCab and a ring in 2004. OCab then brought us Ellsbury and a ring in 2007 & 2013 plus Lowrie, who brought us Holt and a ring in 2018. Ellsbury then brought us Kopech, who was a major piece in the Chris Sale trade and a ring in 2018. Some gifts just keep on giving!
  20. It's funny. I'm down here in Sugar Land, Texas listening to their sports talks shows, and they're like, "We shouldn't pay $30M for Kershaw, because he sucks in the playoffs. We need to find guys like Price and Eovaldi- guys that can step it up when it counts." I had to laugh, but that's the reality of how many fans view player value. They went on to bitch about Cole and even Verlander's playoff performances. Yup, they did!
  21. Thanks. Then, that puts us over day one, before any signings, although a couple non-tenders can cure that. I seriously doubt DD will be instructed to reset the tax in 2019. The window is still wide open, so my guess is we will get near or even go over the $246M penalty phase. If we want to come up just short, then we'll have about $36M to spend. We'll likely keep some for mid season deals, so realistically the winter spending budget might, and I emphasize "might" because we don't know what Henry will want to spend next year, be around $30-32M. Is this possible? $12M x 4 Eovaldi $7M x 4 Kelly $7M x 3 Pearce $4-6M on a lefty RP'er Basically, the same team as 2018 minus Kimbrel.
  22. Yes, that may be assuming a lot, but word was he was almost available for the WS. We also have Johnson and Velazquez, who should both be able to up their innings next year. If all 3 fail, DD will just find the next Eovaldi in July 2019.
  23. Since we went over the luxury tax limit, Kimbrel's 100% sure rejection of the QO we give him will net us, I believe, only a 4th round pick.
  24. I doubt we'd get much for Swihart. He may be a throw-in with a prospect or two. I don't see Swihart's bat being good enough to play 1B, 3B or FO. A lot depends on DD & Cora's trust with his defense as a catcher that determines him staying here or not next year. My guess is, he'll be traded, and we'll give Chavis, Ockimey, Dalbec or Travis a look.
  25. The no resigning/ no acquisition 25 man roster may look like this: 1. Betts RF 2. Beni LF 3. Bogey SS 4. JDM DH 5. Devers 3B 6. Moreland 1B 7. JBJ CF 8. Holt-Nunez 2B 9. Vazquez-Leon C Utility: 2 from Swihart, Chavis, Ockimey, Lin, Hernandez, Travis & Dalbec SP: Sale, Price, Porcello, ERod, Wright RP: Barnes, Brasier, Hembree, Johnson, Workman, Poyner, Velazquez Plus one from: Scott, Walden, Smith, Thornburg, Maddox, Cuevas, Lakins, Feltman, DHernandez
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