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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. Maybe Holt, since Nunez & Swihart have no options remaining. How about a phantom DL for Nunez or trade him and get back under the tax line?
  2. Leon & Vaz both have hit .735 in more recent seasons than Swihart.
  3. 32 PAs is a tiny sample size. It's very encouraging, but it's still tiny.
  4. Nobody is arguing that having 2 good pitches is better than 3 or 4, but my point is that if Pom can regain form with his two pitches, he can do very well again. Yes, two-pitch starters have a harder time when one is not working, but when both are working, Pom can be successful.
  5. I'm trying to stay optimistic. I'm hoping they are just being super precautious.
  6. He certainly has looked good for 32 PAs and has showed his athleticism for years. It's interesting to note that he probably would not have been given a chance this year, if he still had an option left.
  7. Has baseball changed all that much in 1 year? Last year, 2 pitch starters could do well, but now they can't? If Pom regains his velocity and control, is he still doomed to fail out of a lack of a 3rd pitch?
  8. I've always felt Swihart was probably a better hitter than Vaz and Leon. To me, it's always been about his defense in comparison to Vaz/Leon. He's looked good, when he gets a chance here and there, but it's hard for me to judge every aspect of his defense from my living room. It would be awesome, if he can hit near or over .800 for a long stretch. He'd only need a little improvement on his defense from his last long look to win more playing time behind the plate. Hitting near .800 would also get him more chances at other slots.
  9. We're talking about his last 32 PAs, so let's have some context. I love what he's doing and hope he continues, but he has not done well for long enough to make any definitive statement about his role going forward. He's filled in nicely for Vaz, who incidentally, had just hit .860 in June over 60 PAs- a much larger sample size than Swihart's recent run.
  10. Before tonight's loss, we had won 4 in a row (1.000), 6 out of 8 (.750), 9 out of 12 (.750) and 19 out of 23 (.826). If this is "malaise" bring it on! Even counting tonight's loss, we've won 19 of our last 24 games (.792).
  11. Other than Kimbrel, we don't have big name RP'ers, but our pen has done very well for over 2 years without getting much recognition. Team RP'er WAR rankings from 2016 to 2017 (30 teams x 3 seasons =90 rankings): 5th BOS 2017 WAR 7.0 19th BOS 2018 (season not over) WAR 4.8 T27th BOS 2016 WAR 4.7 4th best WAR last year. 4th best this year. Our pen is not a weakness. Yes, the Yanks have been better, but that doesn't mean we can't win with an inferior pen to one team in the AL. 2017-2018 combined 15.9 NYY 11.8 BOS 10.4 HOU 10.1 MIL Saying our pen can't win games on it's own is a gross exaggeration.
  12. I liked the Kinsler trade. I do think it would have been nice to get a solid #2 RP'er,especially when it seems the prices were low this year, but I don't think it was worth trading for a RP'er who is close to the same as what we have. We already have about 12 RP'ers fighting for 6 slots.... some without options.
  13. So was 2016 and 2017 total smoke and mirrors, or is it possible Pom can get back what he had then?
  14. It's not like I'd bet on Pom turning it around, but isn't there a chance the reason he sucked earlier this year was due to an injury that was not noticed until later? Couldn't the time off and rehab cause a turn around? Hasn't he had great halves and poor halves in his career already? I just try not to definitively judge anyone on short sample sizes, and to me, a half season is small for a SP'er who may have been pitching injured. Pom proved he could pitch in 2016 and 2017. I'm not sure his one half of 2018 is the "real" Pom.
  15. It does seem like prices have been low this year. Maybe we'll make a waiver deal, but with the best record, any team can nix a deal.
  16. We have plenty of scraps like Buttrey, Jerez and the guy we gave up for Pearce.
  17. Not hopeless but certainly improvable.
  18. He has looked good this year, but 7 years in the system and a pending rule 5 winter makes the parting easier.
  19. Is keeping Nunez worth losing 10 draft slots plus having his $4M count on next year's budget? It's a close call, to me. Once Devers, Kinsler and Vaz are added to the 25 man roster for August and the playoffs (forget Sept for a moment), who goes? Lin- yes Holt? I'd rather keep him than Nunez Nunez or Swihart? Both out of options, so a phantom DL would work, but one sits for the playoffs anyways. Pearce (no options) or Devers (3 left)? I think not.
  20. I agree, and although Buttrey might have more upside than either of us think he has, the guy has been in the system for 7 years and was ranked only 19th in a down system. The highest he ever got was 17th.
  21. I think having 2-3 of Eovaldi, Pom, Johnson and Velazquez in the pen allows for us to go to a 12 man staff until Sept 1. The issue might be who has options and who can or do we keep on the 25 man roster? Addition and returning players: Kinsler Devers Vazquez (Pedey?) Who goes? Lin (for sure) Holt (1 option left) Swihart (no options) Nunez (no options) Pearce (no options) Devers (3 options) There's not enough room until September 1st. Once the playoffs come, Swihart will likely be the odd man out, unless he keeps hitting. I still say, we might be looking to trade Nunez or Holt to get back under the max tax limit.
  22. I'm still not sure that when all is said and done, we end up over the max line. We are only over by $300K to $400K, so we could deal salary to get back under pretty easily. I think RP'er is clearly a higher priority than 3B, especially since Holt and Nunez are now fully available to fill in at 3B. BTW, I don't see Devers as a net negative at 3B. He's also very good vs the Yanks, so I want him playing in the playoffs.
  23. Yes, I forgot about how (and why) fangraphs does that. BTW, JD has played in the OF about half as much as JBJ, so his numbers as an OF, when he plays there, should count. Individual: WAR 6.3 Betts 5.0 Judge 3.2 Hicks 1.2 JBJ 3.6 Beni 2.9 Stanton Baseball Reference has these OF stats: BOS .292 59 201 (.373/.517/.890) NYY .262 62 170 (.354/.472/.826) .
  24. I've not given up on Pom, yet, and I never feel like one game tells all. If we are over the tax limit by %350K, all we need to do is trade Pom and get the team to pay $400K more than who we replace Pom on the roster. Some team will take him at that rate. I'd like to keep Holt & Nunez, too, but with Kinsler on board, Devers returning soo and Lin in AAA, I'm not sure that added depth is worth falling 10 slots in the draft. We can only have all of these guys on the roster in September anyways. Once the playoffs come, someone will be off the roster anyways.
  25. Maybe we dump a salary to get us back under. We could trade Pom in August. We might deal Holt or Nunez after Devers returns.
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