Jump to content
Talk Sox
  • Create Account

moonslav59

Old-Timey Member
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    103,987

  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    129

 Content Type 

Profiles

Boston Red Sox Videos

2026 Boston Red Sox Top Prospects Ranking

Boston Red Sox Free Agent & Trade Rumors, Notes, & Tidbits

Guides & Resources

2025 Boston Red Sox Draft Pick Tracker

News

2026 Boston Red Sox Draft Pick Tracker

Forums

Blogs

Events

Store

Downloads

Gallery

Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. moonslav59
    We should be more rested than the Astros and Yanks, everyone seems healthy, and we'll have HFA.
  2. moonslav59
    The remind me of us last year. I live down here near Houston. It's snakebite year for them. They have 3-4 very good starters, a strong pen and offense. I still like our chances better. I can't argue with some data in their favor, but I'd hate to play Cleveland in the first round.
  3. moonslav59
    He won't need his agent to know to stay.
  4. moonslav59
    He blows away the competition by more than Verlander does Sale.
  5. moonslav59
    If our starts can get through 6, we could use Wright for 2 IP maybe game 1, 3 and 5. That leaves just 2 games we need others (Eovaldi?) to bring from 7 to 9.
  6. moonslav59
    +100
  7. moonslav59
    It might depend on needing to win in the last few games...either for home field or possibly to even make it, if TB goes undefeated and you guys struggle. If you go by your normal scheduled days to end the season, here's what it might look like... 9/20 Tanaka BOS 9/21 Sabathia BAL 9/22 LynnBAL 9/23 HappBAL 9/24 Severino @TBR 9/25 Tanaka @TBR 9/26 CC @TBR 9/27 Lynn@TBR 9/28 Happ @BOS 9/29 Severino @BOS 9/30 Tanaka @BOS Save Tanaka for the play-in game pitch Tanaka 9/30 and use CC? Or, don't pitch Severino or Tanaka the last two games, so one pitches the play-in game and one can pitch 2 games of the 5 game series. (That's what I think they should do.)
  8. moonslav59
    Or, poor fellow.
  9. moonslav59
    He'll be the first to win with 0 IP.
  10. moonslav59
    Looks about right. I'd go with this... Cy Young: Sandy Leon MVP: Betts Silver Slugger: JD Gold Glove: JBJ (CF), Betts (RF) and maybe Leon at Catcher.
  11. moonslav59
    I could see this: Gm1: Sale 6 IP, Wright 2 IP, Kimbrel 1 IP Gm 2: Price 7 IP, Brasier 1 IP, Kimbrel 1 IP off day Gm3: Porcello 7 IP, Brasier 1 IP, Kimbrel 1 IP Gm 4: ERod 6 IP, Wright 2 IP, Kimbrel 1 IP off day Game 5: Sale 7, Braiser 1, Kimbrel 1 We could get by with just 3 RP'ers, if our starts hold up. If not, we could use Wright for 3-4 IP or use Eovaldi, Johnson or Velazquez in long relief. My hope is, we can get by without using too many set-up men, except maybe Brasier and Barnes, if healthy.
  12. moonslav59
    The other downfall of the play-in game, is that the winning team probably used their best or second best pitcher and can only pitch them once in the next 5 game series, unless you seriously mess with their days off. If the Yanks use Severino or Happ in the play-in game, I like our odds even better.
  13. moonslav59
    Sale might reach 162 IP. (BTW, it's 502 PAs not ABs.)
  14. moonslav59
    I thought the same about Ellsbury, but you guys fell for it. Machado & harper are 10 times better than Ellsbury was at signing time. My guess is you get one. You could sign Machado and trade someone or move Andujar to 1B and trade Bird.
  15. moonslav59
    Morton is better than Keuchel, although he's 4.3 years older. 2017-2018 Morton 29-10 3.37 Keuchel 25-26 3.37 But look here... WHIP Morton 1.18 Keuchel 1.22 SIERA Morton 3.62 Keuchel 3.92 K% Morton 28% Keuchel 19%
  16. moonslav59
    He could go 5-0 0.00 and he ain't opting out.
  17. moonslav59
    The play-in game pretty much cuts the Yankess chances almost in half. I get these numbers. TB is out, IMO. NYY .50 x .47 x .71 = 16.7% (Best match-up- Oak>BOS>HOU BOS .53 x .50= 26.5% (Best NYY>CLE) Worst: NYY: 16.7%- the same since your record vs HOU & CLE are the same. BOS: 14.2%- (.33 vs OAK x .47 vs HOU)
  18. moonslav59
    I'm not sure cost is an issue as much as which 2 (or even 3) the Yanks want the most out of Machado, Harper, Morton, Keuchel, Britton, and Happ.
  19. moonslav59
    I agree. I'd put Price's chances of opting out at less than 1%. I'm not sure about JD. He'll be 2 years older and looking more and more like a DH/4th OF'er type. I also think we can probably afford to give JD a bump is salary to keep him here, if we choose to do so.
  20. moonslav59
    Future contract notes: Sale's 2019 option is $15M not $13.5 due to finishing in the top 5 in Cy Young in the past. Nunez saw his 2019 option go up from $4M to $5M by reaching 400 PAs this year. Moreland probably won't make the $25K he gets for reaching 500 PAs. He has 435 now. Price may opt out after this year. JD may opt out after next year with $2.5M buyout. or after 2020 (no buyout).
  21. moonslav59
    It's a big difference, but we've proven we can still win without HRs. We are at .648 in the second half (35-19) and we were at .698 in the first half. A 5% differential is big, but I still like our 65% winning percent in the second half. For reference, our .648 number in the second half compares to these full season numbers: .590 in 1986 .593 in 2007 .594 in 1975 .599 in 2013 .605 in 2004 .607 in 1978
  22. moonslav59
    Do the math. If you agree you have a 50% chance of beating Oakland, then even if you think you have a 99% chance of winning vs BOS, you're under 50% at ever facing HOU or CLE in the ALCS. 99% x 50% is 49.5%. (That's if you think the Yanks are at 99% with the Sox. At best, you might be 50-50 vs Oak and 50-50 vs BOS. That equals 25% you get to face HOU or CLE.
  23. moonslav59
    * Option Starting Pitchers Carlos Carrasco * Patrick Corbin A.J. Griffin Cole Hamels * Jason Hammel * J.A. Happ Matt Harvey Scott Kazmir Clayton Kershaw * Dallas Keuchel Tom Koehler Jeff Locke Brandon McCarthy Tommy Milone Charlie Morton Drew Pomeranz David Price * Garrett Richards Hyun-Jin Ryu Ervin Santana * James Shields * Drew Smyly Edinson Volquez Adam Wainwright Travis Wood
  24. moonslav59
    Probably, but at least their tax level is reset to the lowest rate. The Yanks lose a ton of money pretty consistently over the next few years. Some players leaving will hurt or cost a lot to keep, but it doesn't seem as bad as the Sox schedule of studs reaching free agency in the next few years. 3 years (through 2021) BOS: Pedey, ERod, Vaz, Barnes, Hembree NYY: Chapman, Torreyes, Bird 4 years (through 2022 or longer) BOS: Price, Beni, Devers, Brasier, Swihart, Hernandez, Johnson, Velazquez... NYY: Severino, Stanton, Judge, Sanchez, Torres, Andujar, Voit, German, Holder, Cessa, Green, Frazier, Loaissiga, Montgomery... Without even looking at the farm differential, and I think the yanks are better there, here's a look at players under team control for 3 or more years:
  25. moonslav59
    Me, too. Sox Fenway: .820 @ NYY: .699 @ OAK: .476 @HOU: .735 Yanks NYY: .823 @BOS: .638 @ OAK: .601 @HOU: .584 @CLE: .756 ERA BOS 3.61 at BOS 6.27 at NYY 3.60 at OAK 4.50 at HOU NYY 3.82 at NYY 7.36 at BOS 4.68 at OAK 1.54 at HOU 5.03 at CLE
×
×
  • Create New...