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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. I'm hopeful Wright can go 2-4 IP 2-3 times in a 5 game series and help us avoid using our crappy short men all that much.
  2. OAK (after Treinen) 3.13/1.02 Petit 3.00/1.17 Trivino 3.03/1.21 Buchter 3.09/1.27 Bassit
  3. You hear this so often from the great pitchers. I know it's just anecdotal evidence, but when you hear it over and over again, I believe it is true. Sandy hitting .180 is 80 points higher than we need!
  4. Agreed, and I'd be ready to use Wright for multiple innings in 2-3 games.
  5. He's more than a .240 great glove player. Since 2015 (1939 PAs), his line is this... .249 66 251 at 650 PAs rate: .249 22 84 .330 OBP .442 SLG .772 OPS That's a big plus when you look at the league average for CF from 2015-2018: .249 BA .320 OBP .399 SLG .719 OPS
  6. Yes, and even that may not be enough, depending on how well he does the next 2 years. What would it take to sign him after this winter by buying out his 2 arb years and adding 2-3 more years?
  7. Offering $34M/4 is definitely losing JBJ. If JD opts out after 2019, then the JBJ choice changes. Anyways, I don't see JD as an OF'er after 2020, JBJ's last arb year. I know tough choices and either/or situations are coming sooner than we want, and I can understand choosing someone else over JBJ, but I'd like to keep JBJ, if we can.
  8. 2nd Half ERA/WHIP 3.52/0.91 Poyner (7.2 IP only) 3.57/1.37 Workman (22.2) 4.08/1.57 Velazquez (28.2) 4.30/1.37 Johnson (44) 4.70/1.65 Kelly (23) 5.61/1.69 Pom (34) 5.66/1.60 Thornburg (21) 5.71/1.44 Barnes (17) 5.82/1.53 Hembree (17) Last 28 Days 0.00/1.20 Wright 0.90/0.70 Kimbrel 2.70/1.20 Workman 3.27/0.91 Brasier 3.52/0.91 Poyner 4.09/1.46 Velazquez 5.23/1.84 Johnson 7.27/1.73 Kelly 7.71/2.57 Scott (2.1 IP) 8.00/1.74 Pom 8.53/1.74 Hembree 9.53/2.29 Thornburg 12.46/1.08 Barnes (4.1 IP)
  9. Teenie tiny sample size, but here are the Sox OPS over the last week: 10+ PAs, unless noted. 1.600 Travis (5 PA) 1.429 Lin (7) 1.313 Holt 1.203 Betts 1.083 JD Martinez 1.000 Devers .929 Swihart (8) .875 Nunez (8) .857 JBJ .750 Pearce .522 Phillips .522 Vazquez .503 Beni .265 Bogey .222 Leon (9) .182 Kinsler .000 Moreland (8)
  10. I'll take 1.80 with the Cy Young Award he deserves. He's caught more great IP than any SP'er in MLB history.
  11. I assume you mean Velazquez not Vazquez, and Wright has to be in our top 4 RP'ers and not Velazquez. While I agree our pen is not weak compared to the rest of the league, and I'll take Kimbrel against any other closer in MLB, our next 3 are clearly inferior to other playoffs teams. ERA/WHIP BOS 2.70/1.24 Wright 3.34/1.20 Barnes 1.74/0.80 Brasier (31 IP) NYY 2.93/0.98 Robertson 2.69/1.04 Betances 2.64/1.06 Green plus 3.27/1.14 Britton 3.02/1.01 Holder HOU 2.12/0.91 McHugh 2.86/0.86 J Smith 3.13/1.21 Peacock plus 2.00/1.11 Sipp 3.64/1.10 Harris (+Giles & Devenski) CLE 0.90/0.63 O Perez 3.38/1.29 Miller 2.13/1.07 B Hand (+Otero, McAllister, Ramirez& Olsen)
  12. ...but also replaceable with the 3 other outfielders we have. There's no need to buy high here. You're assuming JD does not opt out. He has 2 chances to do so.
  13. I don't think JBJ takes $8.5M x 4. He'll get more than $8.5 in next year's arb and probably more for 2020.
  14. So my question is, why are you so confident that this year is different and that Sale and Price and Porcello are going to be lights out in the first three games this year? We can't know for sure, but we really don't have much hope without our starters giving us better than recent playoff years. We can try to mitigate the risk by stocking our pen with long men and keeping Hembree and Kelly off the ALDS roster, but nothing is guaranteed. Nobody's plan is fool proof.
  15. I said start Wright 3 times, which would keep him from relieving. We could use Wright for 2 IP in game 1, 3 & 5 or maybe 3-4 IP in 2 games (game 1 or 2 and game 4 or 5). This would save us from having to use our iffy set-up guys too often.
  16. I agree. I'd tke Poyner over Kelly, as well. I'm also thinking we may try to bypass most of our weak set-up men by having ERod or Eovaldi give us 2-3 IP twice in 5 games and Wright give us 2-4 IP twice. We could also carry Johnson and/or Velazquez to do the same, if needed. Since i really think carrying 11 pitchers for the first series makes the most sense, having multiple guys that can long innings makes the most sense, especially if we hit extra innings at some point. Sale Price Porcello Eovaldi ERod Wright Johnson and/or Velazquez Workman, Poyner, Hembree or Velazquez Barnes Braiser Kimbrel I know it looks scary carrying just 3 eighth to ninth inning RP'ers, but guys like Hembree, Kelly and Pom scare me too much to trust them over one of our long men.
  17. Will you change your mind, if we keep scoring 7+ runs to end the season?
  18. It also shows just how how great our bench has been, pretty much all year. Except for Beeks, our 6-9 SP'er have been extremely successful, in terms of pitching well enough for our team to win. Holt & Nunez have done well replacing Pedey (and Devers). When Betts and others went on the DL, we barely missed a beat. Moreland started the season on the bench. Pearce and Kinsler were both great pick-ups, despite what Buttrey is doing. Even Phillips won a game for us. Now, Lin & Travis are showing life. This team is tight... top to bottom.
  19. I don't even have Barnes listed. My chart was for optimal results. Of course, nothing ever works as planned, and that is where Barnes could eat an inning here or there, of we could use ERod (or Eovaldi if ERod starts game 4) for 2-3 innings. Something like this... Game 1: Sale 6, Wright 2-3, Kimbrel 0-1 Game 2: Price 6, ERod 2-3 (Brasier/Barnes 1), Kimbrel 1 Day Off Game 3: Porcello 6, Barnes 1, Brasier 1, Kimbrel 1 Game 4: Eovaldi 5, Wright 3-4, Kimbrel 0-1 Game Off Game 5: Sale 6, ERod 2-3, Barnes/Brasier 1, Kimbrel 1 This covers more bad contingencies. On longer IP by our starters in the ALDS, I look at it this way, Cora has pulled our starters early during the regular season, because he wanted to keep them fresh and healthy. Once you reach the playoffs, the "long strategy" pretty much goes out the window. Plus, we will have 5 days off before our first playoff game. Everybody will be on extended rest mode by game 1 or 2 and even game 3 and 4 for our SP'ers. I'm hopeful we can get 7 IP much more than the 6 out of 19 rate you cited.
  20. Once again, I'll say it: it sure sucks how the rest of the league has learned how to pitch to the Sox. This time, there's no excuse for bad managers and RP'ers. We beat Beiber, who has been a very capable pitcher all year. This team can hit and always could. All teams slump at times, and the thing is, we still won, even when we slumped. I'm hopeful we will hit well in the playoffs, but who knows?
  21. Nice to see Barnes back and looking, more or less, okay.
  22. Further evidence that managers and GM don't put as much weight on the most recent tiny sample sizes many here seem to value so highly.
  23. I like any idea that uses Wright more, but I would never try the Rays model at this point in the season or in the playoffs. I'd try to use him in middle relief to lessen the amount of set-up men we need to use. Bridge us to Kimbrel and cut out the (other) middle men. Game 1: Sale 6, Wright 2-3, Kimbrel 0-1 Game 2: Price 7, Brasier 1, Kimbrel 1 Day Off Game 3: Porcello 7, Brasier 1, Kimbrel 1 Game 4: Eovaldi 5, Wright 3-4, Kimbrel 0-1 Game Off Game 5: Sale 7, Brasier 1, Kimbrel 1
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