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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. moonslav59
    Henry would have to okay spending $15-20M more this year and pay the increased tax rate for not only going over the $40M mark, but for being over the luxury tax limit for another consecutive year. Maybe, it's not impossible, if the plan is to totally reset after 2019 or 2020, but that would mean blowing the team up and more cliff talk.
  2. moonslav59
    He was able to hide his gimpiness at 3b better than 2B. We could really use him more at 2B next year, assuming Devers is the FT 3Bman going forward and Holt is not up to the task as a FT 2Bman. (And, Pedey does not return.)
  3. moonslav59
    Well, if we trade him with others for a (better) starting pitcher, then there's no need to wait.
  4. moonslav59
    It's a matter of degree of domination. Pedro's non MVP year was sick. He blew away the next best pitcher in MLB and was historically better than the league norm. Pearce did very well, but he had just over half the ABs as Betts and 2/3rds of JD's. I'm fine with giving the MVP to an ever day player with 650 PAs over a pitcher with 850 PAs, but 54 to 16 is too much to overlook, to me.
  5. moonslav59
    How about, "The Killer Beans?"
  6. moonslav59
    I'm wondering, if DD is looking at one from this group to step up and win the 1B job by 2020. If yes, maybe he won't go all out and acquire a 1Bman with 2+ years of team control. Chavis (Might be the closest of these 4 to being able to significantly contribute in 2019.) Ockimey (The only one from this group that bats LH'd and might platoon well with Pearce, once Moreland's deal is up.) Dalbec (If his defense at 3B is better than Devers, then maybe Devers goes to 1B) Travis (his ship has probably already sailed.) (Maybe Devers to 1B is still a thought)
  7. moonslav59
    That's the main reason, I'm thinking trading him makes sense.
  8. moonslav59
    Ideally, you find some non closer and work some magic to create a top closer. Many teams find their closers that way, including us with Uehara, who was our 3rd or 4th string closer in 2013. Closer costs have sky-rocketed at a much higher pace than starters, so I think your guideline might be a bit outdated. Some of the marginal names you mentioned as possible closers for us in 2019 might be good ideas. maybe signing 2 of the guys you listed, instead of Kimbrel and Kelly might get the job done. Is it me, of does it seem like July deals look better than ever before. We got Eovaldi and Pearce for peanuts, although one could argue E-O's numbers were not all that great before the trade (or even after).
  9. moonslav59
    Our farm, alone, was loaded with players other teams were drooling over. Had Porcello won the Cy Young a year earlier, and HRam hit like 2017 in Ben's final year here, Ben might still be the GM.
  10. moonslav59
    Agreed, and Pearce's feats were more dramatic and noticeable, but the 54 PAs against to 16 for Pearce is the difference maker for me.
  11. moonslav59
    I'm not denying the existence of mental blocks and players who struggle in high-pressure situations, but one would think the pressure was greater this year than any other year for Price, so I'm not sure he ever had an issue, other than bad luck or bad timing for poor stretches. All pitchers have bad stretches. I'm sure you can find a time period where history shows each pitcher sucks. Price's may have just been bad timing on tough times. Maybe not. Baseball is not an easy sport to stay consistently good (or bad).
  12. moonslav59
    My thought is any trade involving Johnson plus add-ons would be fore a better 5/6 slot starting pitcher.
  13. moonslav59
    Both have no options left, so a team without a 25 man roster squeeze would be a good match. If we could trade Johnson and Swihart for a marginally better starter than Johnson, why not do it? I'm also thinking we have a lot of duplicated corner IF positional value in Chavis, Dalbec, Ockimey & Travis. Assuming we keep Pearce for 3 years, what can we get for Ockimey, Johnson & Swihart?
  14. moonslav59
    I put my numbers high enough or long enough to pretty much make sure we'd get them all. I thought of Kelly for 3 years and Pearce for 2 (like Moreland), but to get them, it might take one more year. We might get Kelly for $25M/4 or $21M/3 and Pearce for $18M/3 or $15M/2. I'm think E-O might get more than $50M/4.
  15. moonslav59
    What's a freakin truck worth? This is comical. We got players with bonuses based on this sort of crap worth more than a truck.
  16. moonslav59
    I'm sure glad we had Pearce and his HRs were highly valuable. I mean no slight on him, but 54 batters faced bt Price vs 16 PAs by Pearce tips the scales. So many pf Prices batters faced were high leverage against hitters with great numbers. The Dodgers had like 8 guys over .800 this year. The type of balanced team many want the Sox to have. Price was lights out, and his relief appearances were pressure-packed.
  17. moonslav59
    I hope so. Catcher OPS .665 2016 .690 2017 .533 2018 Hell, a .157 OPS gain at catcher would be greater than our OPS gain at DH from 2017 to 2018! .747 in 2017 .862 in 2018 (with JD getting almost 2/3 of the PAs at DH!) So, here's to adding another JD to the line-up next year! (sarcasm alert)
  18. moonslav59
    Pearce was huge, no doubt, but to me, we had the series won before game 5, anyways. To me, I think Price deserved it and Eovaldi maybe was tied with Pearce for 2nd. Pearce had just 12 ABs (16 PAs). 4 hits in 12 ABs/ 8 times in base in 16 PAs. Price faced 54 batters and got 41 outs. This is always the argument I use for giving SP'ers the MVP. Great starters often pitch to 850+ PAs a year- far more than any batter ever gets. Just because they are bunched up, does not make them any less valuable.
  19. moonslav59
    Nothing surprises me, when it comes to awards and how they choose them. We've had Gold Glove winners who played DH most of the year, and voters leaving Pedro off the MVP ballot in a season unmatched by any player in my lifetime.
  20. moonslav59
    To me, he's always been a great pitcher and it was just a matter of time (and lengthening his sample size) before he had a good stretch during a pinpoint sample size that is a playoff season. I'd expect Kershaw to pitch great at times, if his playoff sample size grew. The fans who bitched at Price, before this October, were probably the same ones starting to question Betts and his post season numbers. Maybe his HR in the last game will keep them at bay for a while. By and large, most players' playoff sample sizes are just too small to definitively judge a player, plus the numbers are often scattered over several years with huge gaps between them. We've seen players turn around 300-600 PA sample sizes, and yet some put so much faith in 80-150 PAs sample sizes or less.
  21. moonslav59
    I've been on the Leon bandwagon for years- Vaz, too. You don't have to convince me. I wasn't suggesting a downgrade on catcher defense and catcher-pitcher comfort value. My thought was that there must be a catcher out there, who can do what Leon does with our staff and hit .500 or .550 not .339. A .500 catcher should not cost much, after all, we got Leon for just cash. I'd be very happy with Vaz-Leon next year, and I'm not sure it would be worth the risk to switch catchers with Sale on the mound, even if the new guy has a great track record like sandy's behind the plate. I'm just saying I think there are some very good defensive catchers out there that can hit .500-.600. One could argue, so can Leon, since he's over .630 with the Sox. maybe he'll hit .650 next year.
  22. moonslav59
    Over the years, Soix management has been pretty good at knowing when to cut ties with players, even those who have been successful or even legendary. I'm not sure how they project Eovaldi, Kelly and Pearce going forward. They may see a similar player out there who looks better or is cheaper than the three I mentioned, but I'd be happy with starting the season with Eovaldi, Kelly, Pearce and a lefty pen arm and $4-6M to use in the summer. (Assuming we trade Swihart) Replace these IP or PAs with this... PAs 207 Swihart and 195 HRam with more from Pearce, Vaz and Chavis/Ockimey/Dalbec/Travis 143 Kinsler and 27 Phillips with more from Holt, Nunez or Pedey/Hernandez IP'd 74 Pomeranz with more from ERod, Wright and Johnson/Velazquez 62 Kimbrel with more from Brasier, Workman, Wright, Poyner, Smith/Thornburg/Scott
  23. moonslav59
    I agree. I seriously doubt we keep Swihart over Leon. I am happy with Leon and how he gets the best from the starters he catches. He is also Sale's caddy. I do think we may look for a catcher who can hit over .500 and give us the defense and intangibles Leon brings to this team. Leon had a .339 OPS over his last 49 games of the season going back to July 8th. While I like Leon a lot, .340 is really tough to look at.
  24. moonslav59
    While I agree in principle, trading for a closer type could save millions on what I assume will be a a limited or restricted winter spending budget.
  25. moonslav59
    I remember a lot of it. I do not store much, but at times, I'll go back and find an old post to copy and paste. For this post, I went to soxprospects.com and looked at our drafts since 2004. http://soxprospects.com/dh.htm This stuff fascinates me and feeds my OCD.
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