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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. moonslav59
    What's worse is that he has a .783 OPS with SFG this year.
  2. moonslav59
    This guy is as bad as the last guy I put on ignore. He keeps inventing positions to argue against. I'm putting him on ignore, now.
  3. moonslav59
    I like Pearce the most on this list, because we saw his "upside," but he made the list because he's out of options, and we may need to make room for Pedey and Holt, soon. We could cut Travis right now, and I wouldn't even blink- same with Shepherd & Smith.
  4. moonslav59
    Other teams are missing 1 or 2 of their starters, too. If these guys were to be out all year, I'd be much more worried.
  5. moonslav59
    Great points, and my subsequent data dig does show 3B has a lot fo tough plays to make.
  6. moonslav59
    Well, just because it's hard to prove, doesn't mean it isn't a significant factor. My guess is the best defensive SS in MLB makes between 50-90 more plays than the worst defensive SS, assuming every ball hit to both SSs are exactly the same. There is evidence to show the same SSs consistently blow away others in plays made, even when you factor in which SS gets more/less balls hit to him that are playable.
  7. moonslav59
    1-40% are plays rarely made. "Tough outs," defensively. 60-90% are plays most defenders make. 90-100% are played every defender should make all the time.
  8. moonslav59
    How many times does the team with the highest BA win it all? I wasn't aware KK hits .300, so where did that number come from? BBs, HRs, 2B and 3Bs should be a factor: not the top one, but certainly BA alone is a poor stat to choose- unless you are biased against JBJ.
  9. moonslav59
    OBP + SLG% (which both are heavily influenced by hits per AB or PA) are way more important than BA. You may be the only person in the world who disagrees.
  10. moonslav59
    It's 50 percent half mental.
  11. moonslav59
    True, but we were losing to some bad teams earlier. I'm not saying we don't have to keep getting better, but we've walloped these bad teams, for the most part. I think we've turned the corner.
  12. moonslav59
    Michael Chavis hardest-hitting Red Sox player WWW.MLB.COM The Red Sox lineup features the reigning American League MVP, a guy coming off back-to-back seasons of more than 40 home runs, and other talented players who helped the Sox win 108 games and a World Series championship in 2018. But in what has been a topsy-turvy ‘19 thus far
  13. moonslav59
    I think winning 6 of the last 8 might show we have already "started" playing better baseball. We've also gone 11-6 in the last 17. If we win at an 11-6 pace the rest of the way, we'll be fine.
  14. moonslav59
    Don't get me started. Jeter was one of the very worst full-time fielding SS's of his era. DRS shows him as the worst. UZR/150 as bottom 3-4. He and Palmeiro are two reasons I stopped paying attention to awards, and yes, that means maybe JBJ didn't deserve his. (Betts did.)
  15. moonslav59
    Last year, the CWS and Reds had 74 unearned runs- the most in MLB. The Astros had 31. I know earned vs unearned runs are somewhat subjective, but that's a difference of 43 runs right there. That's about 0.25 runs per game, if taken at face value. My guess is defense plays at least an equal role in earned runs scored or not scored, so it must be at least a half run difference.
  16. moonslav59
    It's probably top end, but there is a big difference between the best fielding team and the worst. Maybe 0.50 on an ERA might be more like it, and then there are the unearned runs that impact a game, too. So, maybe 1 run counting unearned and earned. Is that better?
  17. moonslav59
    GG's are largely political, but again, I have no beef with anyone who says Lynn was better, defensively.
  18. moonslav59
    I feel there is some degree of subjectivity when the place a ball hit inot the 10%, 10-40%, 40-60% or whatever other categories they use. I remember that play JBJ made that robbed a HR in the triangle. It looked like a 0% play--maybe 1-10%, but I think I recall, they called it "routine". (I could be wrong.)
  19. moonslav59
    Yes, this methodology is flawed, but it does show they are pretty close, which is what my eye test supports, as well. There's no way anyone can know for certain who is the best defensive CF'er in MLB, but most, if not all, experts would put these two int heir top 4-5.
  20. moonslav59
    Very close, and I mentioned him on another thread. Lynn was fantastic and "elite" on defense. He blew JBJ away on offense. I would not argue with anyone who says Lynn was better. (I do think JBJ makes many plays look much easier than they really are, and that hurts is metrics. Fred was a bit reckless- in a good way- and both were clearly elite defenders.
  21. moonslav59
    Just look at one defensive player: the catcher. He, alone, can have a huge influence. If you put the best defensive team vs the worst defensive team, I think you'd see a very big difference in any pitcher's numbers-- probably over or near a run in ERA.
  22. moonslav59
    I disagree. Let's compare total tough plays by positions between the SOx positions from 2017-2019: 1% to 40% 112 3B 76 SS 73 2B 64 RF 50 CF 40% to 90% 156 3B 100 SS 73 2B 54 RF 44 CF 90-100% 871 SS 729 3B 698 2B 697 CF 683 RF Even if you don't count the massive amount of routine balls hit to the SS position, there are more tough plays hit there as well. 2018 MLB Numbers 1-40%/ 40-90%/ 90-100% Position 2245/536/1276 C 1390/1872/10533 3B 1372/1664/13527 SS 1129/1326/12562 2B 883/791/11207 CF 823/858/8757 RF 714/801/8366 LF 596/1087/7922 1B Surprisingly, 3B looks tougher than given credit for.
  23. moonslav59
    Inside Edge gives these numbers. If you look at percentage of plays made by degree of difficulty, it should factor out the number of chances one CF'er gets vs the other: 2017-2019 1-10% Diffuclty 26% JBJ (27 total plays) 23% KK (17) 10-40% (14) 73% KK (11) 40-60% 62% KK (13) 50% JBJ (10) 60-90% 96% JBJ (29) 95% KK (19) 90-100% 100% JBJ (551) 99.5% KK (438)
  24. moonslav59
    I agree. His defense does not sustain a .450 OPS. Even .550 is too low. .650 might be the tipping point, but I wouldn't argue against .675 all that much.
  25. moonslav59
    1. Elite does not mean nobody else is as good as you. 2. Why bring up "elite" defense and then show WAR numbers that include offense? I'd be fine with replacing JBJ and Leon with equal defenders who can hit better. Tell me how we do that while staying under the max spending limit or by not opening a massive hole somewhere else by trading for such a player. (Note: I would never and have never argued JBJ is the best defensive CF'er in MLB. I have said he's the best defensive SOX CF'er I have ever seen. That's much different.) Why must you continuously argue against positions nobody is taking?
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