moonslav59
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Everything posted by moonslav59
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I used to manage a bracket for over 20 years. I have won a bracket 4 times. My first was when I picked Indiana U back in 1981. I should have won 5. Back in 1985, I was all over Villanova, but changed my mind after G'town beat them twice in the regular season. I won in 1992 with Duke. Duke carried me again in 2001. My last was Florida in 2007. I'm going with Duke this year. I love this tourney. The energy level is so high.
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7 years $31M Price $30.7M Kershaw (not a FA) $30M Scherzer $25.7M Verlander (not a FA) $25M Felix (not a FA) $25M Strasburg (not a FA) 6 years $34.4M Greinke $25.8M Lester
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Okay, 7 years. BTW, who was the last free agent pitchers named... Chris Freakin' Sale?
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Yes, he could be. I was pretty high on Pom last spring, but not enough to want an extension.
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He should get 7-8 years on the FA market.
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The most exceptional part of Sandy's career, to me, other than his flame out just as he reached peak prime year, was that his best two seasons were at ages 22 & 24 , and they blew away his other years by a mile. Age OPS 22 .943 23 .732 24 .909 25 .789 26 .758 27 .739 Then, the Boston years. He totally blew the age curve away. He currently has a .777 OPS, and if you count his low PA seasons, he was below that mark in 7 of his 11 years. He was below .790 in 8 of 11 years, and one of those 3 he was over was his 2nd shortest season of all (154 PAs in rookie year).
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And, the financial cost was a big burden.
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Yes, I agree, and many were very high on Pom last spring. I think someone was even saying we should extend him.
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Leon is 2 for 2 today (.727 OPS in ST). Swihart is 2 for 2, also (.865).
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Well, he was a pretty good model, until last year, and counting the 15.1 IP in the playoffs, he still ended up with 173 IP in 2018. 173+ IP for 8 straight seasons. 192+ IP in 5 of the last 7 seasons, including 220+ in 2016 & 2017. He's 5th in IP'd since 2016 at 599 with only Scherzer, Verlander, Kluber & Porcello having more. Only 12 pitchers have over 550 IP. 2012-2018 1501 Scherzer 1444 Verlander 1408 Lester 1393 Hamels 1389 Shields 1388 Sale 1384 Greinke 1380 Kershaw 1348 Porcello 1347 Price
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If I had to choose 3 & 3: Out: COL OAK Cubs In: PHI STL TBR
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If you had to project a reasonable floor and ceiling for Devers from here on forward, what would it be? He's at .769 now with a 162 game average of... .254 28 87 I guess one could think a flame out is possible, but I'd put those odds at very slight. Nothing seems to bother this kid. He's fearless and seems to work hard at improving his faults. I'm think high-lows might be something like this: Ages 22-26 .240 25 75 (.740) .280 35 100 (.820) Ages 27-31 .250 28 85 (.780) .290 45 120 (.900) Ages 32-36 .230 20 70 (.720) .275 25 85 (.800)
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True, but JBJ was near 4:1 after his first 2 seasons. The big difference was that JBJ's minor league career showed a much lower K:BB ratio (236:167).
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Sox highest K rates last year: 26% JBJ 25% Devers 23% JDM 22% Moreland 20% Holt 18% Bogey 16% Beni 15% Betts 14% Nunez Highest Sox K rates over the last 3 years combined: 25 TShaw 25 Leon 24 Devers 24 JBJ 23 JDM 21 Moreland 21 CYoung 20 HRam 19 Holt 18 Vaz 18 Bogey 17 Beni 14 Nunez 14 Papi 12 Betts 10 Pedey
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K rate is a very good tool to use to raise a red flag, but there are quite a few high K rate players today who provide a big plus to their teams. Stanton finished 5th highest in K% at 30% while providing a 4.2 WAR last year. 14 of the top 17 K rate players had a WAR of 2 or more (including JBJ). 17 of 21 had a WAR at 2.0+ and 21 out of 26, including Goldschmidt 5.1, 3.5 BHarper, JBaez 5.3, TStory 5.0, TPham 4.0, MOlsen 3.4, Schwarber 3.2, KDavis 2.6, J Aguilar, CTaylor & J Upton at 3.1, J Gallo 2.8 & Conforto at 3.0 High K guys can be successful.
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I agree, but $35M could get us 2-3 very good players. If we keep Betts, too. We'd be spending $100+M on 3 players.
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I think what Sale would give us over the first 4 years of the 6 year deal would be worth having to deal with an expected decline in years 5 & 6. Of course, I'd have trepidation, too, but Sale is just too great to let walk away. I'm thinking a 6 year deal is less than he'd get on the open market, so that's our "hometown discount."
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There's no such thing as hope, even if it based on plenty of supporting data.
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At least he's consistent. IMO, he uses WAR and projected WAR to a fault, and I disagree with his outlook, at times. If a Sox fan was projecting a Sox player doing poorly, he'd probably show a projection that shows them being better. That just doesn't happen often.
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What's one more year? We'd be lucky he didn't hold out for 8 years.
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I think his point was more about how we feel about Eovaldi, now vs how we felt about Pom last March. Not 2018 Pom vs 2018 or 2019 Eovaldi.
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I agree, and I hope we find a way to keep Sale.
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I've thought about this, and it does play into the "how we felt about this rotation vs how we felt about last year's rotation in March" argument. I'm hopeful Eovaldi won't go the route of Pom Pom. Man, Drew sure missed a nice pay check by sucking last year!
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lol!
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Devers will end up with a career OPS higher than .777. This Betts comp is not related. We're talking about Devers' career floor and ceiling. I don't think saying .777 might be his floor is all that whacky. He's at .769 by age 21. Geesh!
