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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. moonslav59
    IMO, most likely in the form of a big trade or a high AAV deal with an opt out (like Bregman) and not a multi year deal.
  2. moonslav59
    No, we don't know on any of this. I'd guess Schwarber can get 4 years, but he may choose 3 at a higher AAV or 5 at a lower one. Alonso might get 4-5 years- maybe 6 with a lower AAV. I don't think JH wants anything 4 or more, and even 3 has not been seen since Story's 6 year deal with opt out.
  3. moonslav59
    According to The Baseball Cube, MLB payrolls have been (in Trillions) 3.825 '21 4.201 '22 +16.3% 4.451 '23 + 6.0% 4.907 '24 +10.2% 5.075 '25 +3.5% (not so hyper inflationary.) '21 to '25: +49% Sox Opening day Payroll (cots) 180 '21 207 '22 +15% 181 '23 -10.6% 171 '24 -5.5% 195 '25 +14% '21 to '25: +8.3% This say it all.
  4. moonslav59
    Every plan I suggest has us adding a big bat- mostly at 1B/DH- the slot vacated by Devers.
  5. moonslav59
    I agree, as long as the return package is not too much. He's probably less than Alonso and Schwarber on AAV and maybe more on years. That's not a JH thing.
  6. moonslav59
    JH did spend a lot with the Devers extension (largest and longest in team history by about 30%) and the Bregman signing (largest AAV in team history by more than 30%.) He also spent on Buehler, Chapman, Sandoval and a few other smaller deals, then extended Anthony and Campbell not long after the rafaela & Bello extensions. The Gio signing was the largest in a while in 2024. This is irrefutable. However, we dumped Devers, Breggie & Gio bolted and Buehler's deal is gone. In many ways, we are back at square one and wondering what JH will do next.
  7. moonslav59
    Devers got 10, but 4 were younger than Harper is now.
  8. moonslav59
    That's for certain!
  9. moonslav59
    Well said, MVP. I can understand having more pride by winning while spending less, but we are not winning, anymore.
  10. moonslav59
    Yoshida is not a plus at DH, even if he was paid just $3-4M. He's okay, but we need power and our other positions seem full and deep, other than 1B and 3B/2B. Yoshida may seem like a better hitter than Casas/Romy at 1B, Mayer/Romy at 2B and Mayer/Romy at 3B, but not by much and not with power.
  11. moonslav59
    Miguel Rojas? Isn't he retiring?
  12. moonslav59
    I'd agree on that. I wasn't aware of the $24M AAV on Harper. I thought it was closer to $30M. I don't think JH likes 4-5 year deals and 6 is out of his realm of thought.
  13. moonslav59
    Will we ever see another Large and Long Free Agent signing under John Henry? One can argue the last one was David Price 10 years ago! Since 2016, the only free agent delas longer than 4 years have been have not really been all that "large:" $140M/6 Story in '22 (I guess we could count this one.) $110M/5 JD Martinez in '18 $68M/4 Eovaldi in '19 To get great talent, JH will likely have to go "long" at some point. I'm not sure how many Bregman type deals are out there every winter, and for every Bregman signing, there seems to be a Buehler signing, as well. (Not that $21M is all that "large.") With an apparent window being open for 3-4 years or more, it seems like this winter would be the time for a strategic Large and Long signing, but expecting JH to break a decade long trend seems like wishful thinking.
  14. moonslav59
    If he wasn't 33, yes. Maybe it's 2-3 teams but not LAD or SFG. Maybe 4-5 teams, max- not the Sox.
  15. moonslav59
    The Tax hit on the Sox would be significant but not unmanageable: $18M Masa, $10.2M Hicks and $8M Duran= $36M $25.3 Harper+ $20M Castellanos= $45M The 6 years remaining on Harper's deal is what JH would nix. Castellanos has just one more year left, and Hicks and Masas have two, so for 2027, we'd actually save a little money, but I don't see getting past the large and long JH stumbling block.
  16. moonslav59
    We'd have called it click bait.
  17. moonslav59
    We are only "better off if he leaves," if JH allows the money be added to the winter budget and Brez spends it wisely. Those are two big ifs, with the JH one being the more significant one.
  18. moonslav59
    Yes, but there are only 2-3 teams in the Mix and SFG and LAD have 1Bmen.
  19. moonslav59
    Yes, then sign Alonso and Schwarber.
  20. moonslav59
    I have said the same, many times. I've racked my brain trying to find the "right team" to create some sort of possible deal, but none jumped out as likely or even close to likely, for reasons we all know. I don't want Arenado, even though he might fill a 1B need Masa cannot. I'll take Sonny Gray & Willson Contreras and give up some youth along with Masas and or Hicks, but if STL wants to dump their contracts, they can do so without Masa or Hicks and get a nice return- maybe not as nice as we can give, but probably not enough for them to say okay.
  21. moonslav59
    I might have missed all those posts. Also, signing Schwarber and Alonso would put us over the tax line. I try to make suggestions that do not. (That doesn't make mine better than yours, and maybe not even more realistic, since they often involve a large and long deal that JH is avoiding.) Some large but not long deals (due to age) might include: Suarez 34 Realmuto 35 Hoskins or Bell 33 M Kelly 37 Sale or Bassitt at 37 N Martinez 35 Maybe Polanco 32 Schwarber is 33, but will get 4+ year- probably 5-6 yrs.
  22. moonslav59
    In one sense, we are a team in great need at 1B and spend more than about 3/5 of other teams, but this is one season where many 1B options are out there, and many are better than Lowe. If I knew more about the Casas recovery, I might say he is a better option than Lowe. I might also view Romy/Campbell as an equal option, but both are RHBs.
  23. moonslav59
    TO LAD or SFG or NYM (if Alonso walks) maybe.
  24. moonslav59
    I think most of those suggesting we dump Yoshida or Hicks recognize the need to pay 60-80% of their salary or take back a sunken contract to offset the sunken cost sent away. (Or, include value with other players that some rich team wants badly enough to take on some or most of the contracts.) If we are walking a tip rope on the winter budget, like most of think we are, then "saving" a few $Million, even if just $3-4M AAV might be just enough to get an Alonso, instead of Suarez or Polanco, a Suarez or Polanco, instead of a Hoskins or Naylor, etc... A simple trade of Duran for Lodolo saves $3.5M AAV. That does not sound like much, but $48M vs $45M is better, $33M vs $30M is better and $23M vs $20M is better. I'm not predicting we trade either. The types of deals I have suggested all seem flawed, to me. I doubt it can be done, unless we take on more salary than we give up. Most teams looking to dump salary, do not want sunken salary in return, even if it's less.
  25. moonslav59
    Lowe was a useful addition that cost us next to nothing but cash. Dom Smith was another one, but we've had so many failures on these "temporary solutions" at 1B and 2B, that it feels to me that we need to make a bold move to try and fix one of the two positions, once and for all. No, Mayer should not be viewed as a "once and for all" solution. He may end up being one, but we have an opening a 3B, too, so we could still add a legit 2Bman and not block Mayer.
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