moonslav59
-
Posts
103,972 -
Joined
-
Last visited
-
Days Won
128
Content Type
Profiles
Boston Red Sox Videos
2026 Boston Red Sox Top Prospects Ranking
Boston Red Sox Free Agent & Trade Rumors, Notes, & Tidbits
Guides & Resources
2025 Boston Red Sox Draft Pick Tracker
News
2026 Boston Red Sox Draft Pick Tracker
Forums
Blogs
Events
Store
Downloads
Gallery
Everything posted by moonslav59
-
My guess is, if Britton, like Sale, was on the Sox, you'd be pointing to an irreversible decline and near certain doom. 2014-2016: 1.38 ERA 2.40 FIP 0.909 WHIP 9.2 K/9 2.4 BB/9 3.91 K/BB 0.3 HR/9 2017-2019 2.74 ERA (2.30 in 2019) 3.92 FIP (4.09 in 2019) 1.320 WHIP (1.24 in '19) 7.3 K/9 (7.3 in '19) 4.6 BB/9 (4.8 in '19) 1.58 K/BB (1.52) 0.5 HR/9 (0.6) Only his ERA is better than his EVAN last 3 year norm. Ottavino is having a great season, especially with his ERA (1.41), but many of his numbers have declined from 2018: WHIP: 0.991 to 1.275 (Very big rise) FIP: 2.74 to 3.37 (significant rise) BB/9: 4.2 to 5.5 (significant rise) K/9: 13.0 to 12.4 (very slight) K/BB: 3.1 to 2.3 (significant) H/9:4.8 to 6.0 (25% rise) HR/9: 0.6 to 0.7 (slight but still a 17% rise) I'm not trying to poo-poo their records, but there are sign that they have not been as great as their ERA's suggest they have been.
-
Yes, he had some excellent seasons before coming here, but he was our 3rd string closer when 2013 started. Your point is well-taken.
-
Wishful thinking. His velo is almost identical to several prior years when with the CWS- great seasons, I might add.
-
4th year arbs are almost guaranteed a raise. He'll get $10M. My question is about the tradability of that contract.
-
So, you don't see a reset in the next two winters? Will we go over the second line or the max line?
-
You seem to be answering your own questions by seeing that it is impossible to fill all our big needs and stay under the max line. We'll always have a big gaping hole somewhere. We could entirely empty our farm in trades(not what I want), spend to $1 under the max line and still not be the faves. It's time to punt.
-
You mean the guy you raved about all winter long?
-
8/09 Angels @ SOX
moonslav59 replied to SPLENDIDSPLINTER's topic in Mike Grace Memorial Game Thread Forum
Agreed on all counts. Dexter started getting too weird, so I guess the ending fit the direction it was going, but you are right. That ending was as lame as can be. -
The question seems to be, will JBJ be non-tendered or arbed out and traded. The chances he's with the Sox next year (reset or not) seem slim.
-
Top FA RP'er Signings This Year $14.3M x 3 Kimbrel 5.68 ERA/12.2 IP on IL $13.0M x 3 Britton 2.30/1.23 WHIP in 47 IP $10.0M x 3 Familia 6.69/1.89 in 38 IP $9.00M x 3 Ottavino 1.41/1.275 in 51 IP $12.5M x 2 A Miller 3.86/1.29 in 37 IP $8.33M x 3 Joe Kelly 4.85/1.44 in 39 IP $11.5M x 2 Robertson 5.40/2.10 in just 7 IP $9.00M x 2 Herrera 7.36/1.82 in 33 IP $7.50M x 2 J Soria 4.44/1.06 in 53 IP $8.50M x 1 C Allen 6.26/1.91 in 23 IP
-
Koji may be the only one.
-
We will need over $10M to make the pen strong enough to improve us from 2019. We also will need a CF'er. Dalbec is not blocked. We need a 1Bman, and Travis/Ockimey are long, long shots. Plus, Wheeler is no sure bet. Look what happened with Eovaldi. Wheeler has never pitched more than 183 IP. I think the plan will be for Eovaldi to start next year. We may spend to just under the max line by signing a much cheaper 5th starter type who can help the pen, if he's not starting. We will spend on upgrading the pen. We will spend less than what JBJ costs on a defensive CF'er. Wemay even spend alittle on a 2Bman or 1Bman. We will not spend almost 75% of our winter budget on a SP'er.
-
More on Betts: Will Red Sox listen to offers for Mookie Betts? WWW.MLB.COM Could 2019 be Mookie Betts' final year in a Red Sox uniform? It's becoming increasingly possible, with multiple rival executives telling MLB.com's Jon Paul Morosi that they expect the Red Sox to listen to offers for the '18 American League MVP this offseason. Betts will be one year away from
-
One reason I want to reset after this season is that doing it after 2021 all but assures we say bye-bye to Betts at $32M x 8.
-
We have nobody to trade for decent RP'ers, and we probably need better than "decent." We'd have to trade prospects and likely would also draft 10 picks lower. Look, I doubt the Sox go with my suggestion. I doubt they try to reset after this season. I also doubt they go over the max line next year or trade prospects, because they will want to build up the farm and future not make it bleaker. If anything this season has shown me is that we need to recognize the priority should be shifting towards the extended future and away from the win now philosophy. It's very hard to juggle both with the budget and current farm make-up.
-
I still want Betts extended and would pay top dollar. I'm also okay with the idea that if we do not think we can extend or re-sign him, we should try to trade him. I'm also okay with trading him and then re-signing him. I'm not sure my opinion has changed at all.
-
He's more than worth that, and the one year "risk" might be more appealing to some GM than a longer term deal. Not many teams have to worry about paying a tax on that $27M like we do.
-
Yes, I'm impressed, but he has to show this for a longer period of time. He's been at .921 for only 60 PAs. He's was at .296 the previous 23 PA (.721 overall). .794 in AAA this year (268 PAs) not great for a 1Bman .731 in AAA over 4 seasons (1198 PAs) not even good. .771 overall in the minors. Let's keep Dalbec around, just in case...
-
Yes, and we're not really sure he has lost his velocity for good. He threw very hard, yesterday. His velo charts are not far off from his 2016 and previous seasons. https://www.fangraphs.com/graphs.aspx?playerid=10603&position=P&pitchgraphs=true&statArr=&legend=1&split=base&time=daily&start=2011&end=2019&rtype=mult>1=15&dStatArray=FA&ymin=&ymax=
-
Yes, so Sale started out higher than many on my list, and his low point is not as bad as his ERA shows and not as low as many of the low points of pitchers on my list, yet Jacko seems to be so sure, he will never come back to near where he was before. His K/BB rate (5.9) is better than his career number (5.4). His xFIP- (74) is better than his last year with the CWS in 2016 and is equal to or better than his 2011, 2012 and 2013 seasons in Chicago. His xFIP of 2.91 is only slightly higher than his career 2.91 mark. His BAbip (.312) in higher than his career .293 mark and his second highest of any season. His WHIP (1.09) is slightly higher than his career mark (1.03). He was at 1.09 in 2015 and higher in 2012(1.14) and 2011 (1.11). His SIERA of 3.01 is not far from his career 2.82. He's had 3 seasons worse than 3.01. The numbers that are most off are: HR/9 (1.41)-- career 0.94 (His previous high was 1.07) HR/FB (18.6)-- career 11.8 Hard hit% (36%)-- career 28% ERA 4.41--career 3.02 (previous high 3.41)
-
Easily, yes.
-
With Travis and Ockimey so far from being sure bet ML'ers, I think we have to keep Dalbec in the 1B picture. Dalbec is also a nice guy to have at 1B, because he can be the 3B back-up.
-
They'd sit him tonight for Devers, assuming Devers could play 1B tonight. Either Devers or Bogey could DH.
-
If teams paid Harper and Machado mega bucks for many years, someone will pay Betts, despite being a little older.
-
Okay, but in the plan I responded to, you had us extending Betts. Yes, that can wait until after 2020, but signing Wheeler and some pen pieces would put us over the max line, even if we dumped JBJ. That is my point.
