moonslav59
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Everything posted by moonslav59
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Nobody has JD as costing us $27.25M in 2020 against the tax. His contract guarantees him $110M/5, so the AVV is $22M x 5. If he opts out, it's his choice not the team's, so I think the money counts as quaranteed. If he did or does opt out, I don't think they go back and adjust past budgets and taxes- like Jacko says.
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1) We could trade Price for Pollock or Bradley for Marisnik. 2) We could probably get someone to pay Prrice $12-16M, which coupled with saving $11M on JBJ would put us $8-12M under the tax line. With that money, we could sign a SP'er, CF'er and maybe even a 1Bman. I'm not talking great replacements, but it's not like replacing Price and JBJ needs to be great. 3) We could, for one year, move Beni to CF and try Travis (Chavis?) in LF or play Lin (Duran?) in CF- yikes! We could try to make DHern a starter of pray Johnson or Velazquez qet their act together, but if we go with this option, we might as well just commit to a rebuild and sell off other players with just 1 year remaining- maybe even 2 years left.
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I'm thinking it's almost a certainty we find a way to reset. We could trade JBJ and eat $25M of Price's $31M and be under- not that we'd have to pay that much, but it's not as hard as people think. Trading Betts alone, gets us way under.
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If we had that starting rotation, you'd be bashing it to the moon and back.
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He is guaranteed that money. It's not a team option. He counted as $22M this and last year while he made $23.75M.
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But, not his Lux Tax cost.
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Why not Eric Thames after we Dump Price ?
moonslav59 replied to Swiharts Ghost's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
The Yanks and Dodgers have reset recently. The Sox are trying to. The Giants and Cubs are looking to cut salary. The system was designed to limit top spenders from continuously spending. That part worked, to some extent. Now, they need to make the system force the low spenders to spend more. -
JD signed for $110M/5 with opt-outs. That's $22M AVV & Lux Tax. Cots has $22M/ Spotrac $23.75 Cots arb estimated Betts at $27.5/ Spotrac $27.7. JBJ: cots has $11.5M/Spotrac $11M. ERod: cots $9M/ Spotrac $9.5M Most of the other arbs has Spotrac projecting slightly higher. Spotrac has the $2M deffered money for Manny counting on the Lux Tax/ Cots does not. I'm not saying Cots is better, but in my opinion I think they have been right more often than other sites.
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It shouldn't matter how many are aclled up. They only get ML pay for the amount of days they are on the ML squad. It shouldn't matter if 2 guys get ML pay or 20 guys sharing the same 2 slots.
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I've run the numbers myself and find cots is usually spot on. Spotrac has been wrong before.
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At the time of the Nomar trade he was toast. Betts is not. To me, losing enough of JBJ's & Price's salary to get us under with some room to sign 1-3 low level FAs makes more sense. In July, we decide on trading Betts and others.
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I trust cots: $18.6M over.
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I'm chilled. It's you who needs a chill pill. Bloom is hard at work trying to find the best of all the possible crappy deals out there that will get us under the Lux Line. He's not lazy. He's been given an impossible task: cut over $20M from the budget without losing viewership, attendance and competitiveness. This is no task to rush into.
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My guess is one of these two things happen: 1) Betts & Price to LAD for Pollock and _______ (Maybe with Kelly, if they want to lessen the financial hit.) 2) Price for Myers with maybe other pieces involved.
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Of course not. If we need to cut $18M, we just have to find someone to play him $54M/3, or less, if we also trade JBJ.
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Is this trade possible? Eovaldi, Chavis & Duran for Brandon Belt, Yaz, Dubon & Aramis Garcia With Yaz on the team, we can look to trade JBJ (or Betts). We fill the 1B and 2B holes, too. We cut some lux tax salary.
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The "easiest deal" to get us under might be to trade Price and not demand prospects in return.
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Shedding $8M will not put us under the line. Minimum, we need to trade JBJ this winter and someone with a big contract at the deadline.
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Mildly competitive with an outside chance of putting it all together. Myabe we just need to take the best deal we can get to get us under the limit and look to 2021.
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The answer is obvious: $19.9M vs $500K in taxes for a team likely to not make the playoffs. That's $59.8M total ($39.9+ !9.9). I still think we reset.
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First, I have to say, I hate Ohio State, but they got ripped off by that call. The guy clearly caught the ball, took 3 steps and fumbled. They called a fumble on the play, but the play was overruled. Horrible call. Second, this Clemson organization deserves plenty of Kudos. LSU looks unstoppable. My Domers had a nice bowl win. Memphis gave Penn State a scare but blew it near the end with a bad interception. Kudos to LA Tech for upsetting and shutting out Miami. Stillsome nice games to go: ALA-MICH ORE-WIS BAY-GA MN-AUB LSU-CLEM
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It makes too much sense, to me, to deal Price for a salary dump from another team that counts way less on the luxury tax than actual dollars owed. We discussed most of these already, but here are some that might fill a current void on our roster while saving us more lux tax money than actual money: SDP Myers $68.5M/3 ($13.8M x 3 LUX) LAD Pollock $51M/3 ($12M x 3 LUX) TX Odor $34M/3 ($8.2M x 3 LUX) PHI O Herrera $20.2M/2 ($6.1M x 2 LUX) SFG Posey $47.3/2 ($18.6M x 2 LUX) Belt $34.4M/2 ($14.6M x 2 LUX) Longoria $59M/3 ($11.2M x 3 LUX) Move Devers to 1B? LAA J Upton $74M/3 ($21.2M x 3 LUX) Mets: maybe with Dominic Smith (arbs)+ Lowrie $1.5M less on LUX or Familia $1.6M less on LUX to balance the money? I don't see this working out well: SDP Hosmer $99M/6($18M x 6 LUX)
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Yes, they can. 15% is not impossible.
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Makes me think we must not have any firm deals lined up to dump salary.
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That's the thing, it won't take great seasons from Sale, Price and Eovaldi to be a significant improvement over 2019. It will to improve or equal 2018, but it's not impossible, especially since Eovaldi was not here for all of 2018. Sale, Price & Eovaldi: 2019 312.1 IP 168 ER 4.84 ERA 304 H 104 BB 1.31 WHIP 2018: 388.0 IP (76 IP more than 2019, even with no Eovaldi for 3+ months)) 127 ER 2.95 ERA (almost 2 full runs below 2019) 310 H 96 BB 1.05 WHIP (0.26 better than 2019) Massive differences.
