As of now, I also see Chavis as the opening day starting 2Bman- not necessarily to build value, but because he offers the most hope for being an overall plus.
Linking Chavis, Dalbec & Ockimey into one group due to their power and high K rates is misleading, and even in the power category, Dalbec is significantly better in slugging %.
Dalbec has two things going for him that the others are far behind:
1) OBP
Dalbec .359 MLB (92 PAs)/ .362 minors (1609 PAs)
Chavis .304 MLB (540 PAs)/.325 minors (1757 PAs)
Ockimey n/a MLB/ .360 minors (2353 PAs)
2) Defense
Most accounts show Dalbec as the better defender.
On K rates and SLG%:
SLG:
Dalbec .600 MLB/ .505 minors
Chavis .424 MLB/ .471 minors
Ockimey n/a MLB/ .429 minors
K Rate:
Dalbec 43% MLB/ 30% minors
Chavis 33% MLB/ 26% minors
Ockimey n/a MLB/ 29% minors
Agreed. I do think we do something major to improve our chances and record in 2021, but only if it also helps us in 2022 or beyond.
We may add a few 1 year deals that will allow us to spend large in 2022 and still be better in 2021, but I think we will try to stay under the luxury tax, so it's not an "all out" winter, as it should NOT be.
You need to realize the off season does not end in mid January.
If we are still in this same situation in mid February, then have at it.
Also, I'd be very surprised, if we go all out to win in 2021. Even 2022 might be too early to hope for a ring.
2020 was treading water and rebuilding the farm.
2021 is about improving the longer term outlook, in terms of ML talent and the farm.
2022 is about the earliest we can hope for meaningful competitiveness.
You can't overcome a cliff overnight.
True.
I'd rather have Price at an added cost of $16M x 2 than Bauer at $32M x 4.
The only plus for Bauer is that he just turned 30, and a 4 year deal is not like the 7 years Price and others have gotten, recently.
It's not like Koji sucked before coming to Boston.
His 2013 season actually was just following his "curve to greatness:"
WHIP
0.955 2010
0.723 2011
0.639 2012 (a fantastic season with TX)
0.565 2013 with Boston
His K/BB actually got worse from his amazing 14.3 mark in 2012 to 11.22 with Boston in 2013.
The fact that he was our 3rd or 4th string closer is more a question of management choices than luck.
So, winter signings and trades are over?
Nobody ever comes back from injuries? (BTW, the Yanks don't win, if players injured, last year, don't come back.)
(Dalbec is still considered a rookie or "ML farm ready.")
Well, they were international free agents, and they ended up making way more money than many on that list, so it just made me wonder why the need for a separate list.
I'm thinking we may stay under the tax line, again, this year- just barely. We'll look to add a couple players for the longer term and maybe a couple one and done guys like Martin Perez not Kluber.
Maybe we spend very large, next winter.
I'm never onboard with building a rotation from the 4 or 5 slot, but since this can be just a 1 year deal, it's just a punt. As long as we sign someone like Odorizzi (and I'm not sure of who else is "like" him), I'm fine with Perez as depth.