moonslav59
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Everything posted by moonslav59
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I agree, but I'm not sure how Henry sees it. He might think spending $40 should improve us, and it should. If we can get this far, this year and get better next year, why spend even more?
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I should be asking you this. You were the one who brought up the K rate when you said his "whiff rate is way down."
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He sucked. Look, I'm not high on K rates and never was. I just responded to your comment about K/9 and K%. If you used that as guide, then it makes him look better. He has a long way to go, and I even pointed out several times, how strange it seemed that as his stats and performances got worse, his K Rate got better. I never ignored the sucking aspect of his late season.
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No, I think he looked worse near the end and into the playoffs than he did when he first came up. I'm not arguing he was his old self. My point is I did not expect him to be even this good. It takes time. I expect by next May or June we'll know a lot more, and I am confident he can become very close to the same dominant pitcher he was before TJS. He may have to rely on different strengths than he had before, but Sale is a gamer. I think he'll find whatever he needs to be great, again.
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Yes, correct. Still 37% is very good, even against weak hitting teams. It's certainly not something to point out as a weakness, which you did not, but it seems like he was regaining his K ability as the season went on.
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So you expected better than a 31% K%? (Better than his career number?)
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Assuming the lux tax structure stays about the same, I think it might depend on if we win it all, or not. If we win, we may try to stay under another year. If we lose, I think we go over. We may go over, no matter what. Even if we go over, spending $22-26M a year on Baez will mean the rest of the budget goes all to pitching. That might already take away too much from pitching, unless we are going over by a significant amount. (I'm not very good at predicting FA contracts or arb raises.)
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It sure is. I always felt the AL was up for grabs due to serious flaws in every team, but I was sure the winner of the LA-SF game was going to the WS. (It's not over, yet.)
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BTW, I counted 78 batters, so his K rate was 32%, which is fine to me, after missing more than a year. True, playing WSH/BAL/NYM helped, but every pitcher's stats are padded by weaker opps. He had 21 Ks in 54 PAs in those last 3 reg season games. That's a 39%!
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Agreed, but that hill & flagpole was super weird. I'd say it's second to Fenway, now. Yankee stadiums short RF and super deep left-center field makes it a bit quirky, too.
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Good point, but 31.3% K% is higher than his career and a very reasonable number for anyone's first games back after TJS. Did you expect a 34%+ rate in his first 10 games back?
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But why? If we spend all that cash on Baez, we'll need every penny left over for the staff. (Arroyo should be okay as a utility man, and we have Arauz/Downs.)
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It's not as freaky with the hill and flagpole in CF taken out.
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No doubt, but did you expect him to be back to 100% game 1? Game 9? BTW, he has 4 Ks in 3.2 playoff innings and had 21 in his last 12.2 IP of 2021. If K rate is so telling, shouldn't that be a sign he's is regaining form? (To me, K rate is over rated.) Slae has 25 K's in his last 16.1 IP. That's a 13.8 K/9 rate.
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One could argue our offense under achieved, this season. Only two guys (Kike & Renfroe) had career highs- both in their primes, and both had similar OPS numbers in previous years. Several players moving towards prime had better seasons before 2021. Verdugo, Vaz, Marwin, Cordero, Santana, and to some extent Bogey and Devers were all expected to do better than they did.
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Nobody believed me when I said every AL team had major flaws. I should have said every MLB team had them.
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The O's offense was doing pretty well in the last 2 months.
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No doubt, it's a huge risk, but so is signing Stroman to 6-7 years. I think the short contract risks are better. Personally, I'd offer ERod the QO, and if he takes it, look for a $12-15M pitcher. If he says no, look for a $30M Scherzer or two for $35M + Iggy.
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I would think, if we sign Semien or Baez, we'd pass on Iggy and hope Arrojo can be the utility guy. Maybe he can stay healthy sitting on the bench.
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It's hard enough getting good results from signing $20-30M pitchers. If we sign 3-4 pitchers for $5-12M each, we might end up with more pitchers like Richards, Perez, Sawamura and Andriese.
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Not sure we can count on Arroyo to go 100 games at 2B, let alone 150. Yes, in theory, we can replace 3 starters with Sale, Houck & Whitlock, but then we have some gaping holes in an already shaky pen. (Losing Ottavino is not addition by subtraction.)
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That's why they'd go for less years.
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10/16 SOX @ Astros ALCS Game 2 4:20PM
moonslav59 replied to SPLENDIDSPLINTER's topic in Mike Grace Memorial Game Thread Forum
Think of the candy that could be bought with the savings! -
Maybe yes- maybe no. It's hard to get definitive over such a small sample size. We'll know more by next May or June.
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This just shows how in baseball, anyone can win (or lose).
