moonslav59

After watching a whole season of see-saws and flip-flops, why keep putting your faith in most recent trends? All year, I've heard people say bench Devers, then Renfroe and Kike, several times Dalbec, and even JD & Schwarber, recently. Almost every time we hear that- BAM! The guy lights it up. Same with team trends. There is no rhyme or reason to when it flips. Some good and bad streaks are just 3-5 games long, some for weeks. Here are two differing views of the Sox season of ups and downs- one based on smaller samples and the other on larger ones- some overlap the goods and bads: 0-3 9-0 3-5 4-1 1-3 4-0 0-3 3-0 0-2 4-0 0-2 3-0 0-3 5-0 2-0 0-2 0-2 3-0 2-4 8-0 4-7 6-1 3-10 4-1 1-3 5-1 0-3 4-0 0-3 2-1 0-2 7-0 0-1 Longer cherry-picked samples 9-3 4-6 9-4 3-5 12-5 7-8 10-1 2-6 7-2 3-11 6-4 6-9 7-1 I could do the same for the Yanks.

Batting (listed in order of most PAs in 2021) .711 LeMahieu .908 Judge (on pace for 2nd most career PAs set in '17) .862 Stanton (On pace for 4X the PAs of 2019-2020 combined) .698 Torres (2nd highest career PAs- continued decline from '20) .692 Gardner (5th in team PAs says all we need to know) .756 Sanchez (Maybe the worst defensive catcher in MLB) .679 Urshela (413 PAs and about 150 pts lower than '19-'20) .679 Odor (351 PAs too many) .768 Voit (240 PAs- was expected to have way more) .633 Frazier (IL) 218 .762 Gallo (201 PAs w Yanks) .658 Higashioka .780 Rizzo .667 Andujar (IL) .688 Wade ERA+ Pitchers listed by most IP 30+ IP 139 Cole (185 in '19> 151 in '20 as he moves past 30) 121 Montgomery (should reach career IP & ERA+ marks) 97 Taillon (2nd highest IP of career) 97 German (2nd highest IP of career) 155 Cortes (the unexpected bright spot) 130 Green (career high IP- last 100 IP of solid pitching) 113 Kluber (hard to project what he was going to do) 157 Luetge (blowing career IP & ERA+ marks away) 191 Loaisiga (more than doubled career IP & ERA+ marks) 132 M King (58 IP) 125 Chapman (Imploded then got hurt) 135 Peralta (39 IP with career highest ERA+) 154 Cessa (38 IP) 82 Abreau (36) 59 Heaney (36)

The "if they play to their potential" is a loaded gun. What if JD hit 100-150 points higher? (His clear potential) What if Devers hit 30-50 points higher? (What he did pre-prime) What if Bogey hit 50 points higher? (His 2018 number) What is Dalec's potential? (150 higher like 2020 or maybe 80 higher-like his last 100gms) What about Vaz? (Near .800 from 2019-2020, but now 130 lower) Verdugo? (60 points higher, least year and nearing prime, now) Sale? (Just about to start to get his inning/game to increase) Pivetta? (Shown stretches of plus pitching) Houck? Whitlock? Barnes? (Just a return to 2016-2019 form would be a huge bump) The biggest Yankee under performer in Torres, but the choice to play him out of position is part of who the Yankees are. I'm done counting injuries as some sort of surprise or bad luck for you guys. It's who you are. Sure, injury prone players often have a ton of "potential," and you made that abundantly clear about Eovalid, Sale and ERod, to name a few last March, but many of your players are expected to be hurt much of the time, so their "potential" should not be an expected entity.

OBP (.444 Iggy) .429 Schwarber .371 Bogey .352 Verdugo .352 Martinez .350 Devers .340 Kike .337 Plawecki .320 Arroyo .319 Renfroe .313 Vaz .306 Dalbec SLG (.600 Iggy) .535 Schwarber .531 Devers .521 JD .511 Bogey .501 Bogey .500 Renfroe .497 Dalbec .454 Kike .447 Arroyo .429 Verdugo .367 Plawecki .354 Vaz .

Sox RBI Leaders 108 Devers (628 PAs) 95 JD (604) 91 Renfroe (539) 79 Bogey (568) 76 Dalbec (398) 59 Verdugo (582) 57 Kike (547) 46 Vaz (441) 25 Arroyo (177) 17 Schwarber (140) RBI/PA .191 Dalbec .172 Devers .169 Renfroe .157 JD .141 Arroyo .121 Schwarber .104 Kike .104 Vaz .101 Verdugo

I was really hoping the Yanks would miss the playoffs, and it might still happen. It would be very nice if we knocked them back 2 pegs, this weekend. One at a time, boys!

Games remaining: BOS 2 v NYY, 3@BAL, 3@WSH NYY 2@BOS, 3@TOR, 3 v TBR TOR 2@MIN, 3 vNYY, 3 vBAL SEA 2@LAA, 3 vOAK, 3 vLAA Match-ups: Saturday NYY (Cortes) @ BOS (Pivetta) TOR (Ray) @ MIN (TBD) SEA (Anderson) @ LAA (Barria) Sunday TOR (Manoah) @ MIN (Jax) SEA (Gonzalez) @ LAA (Ohtani) NYY (Montgomery) @ BOS (ERod) OFF Sox Tuesday: @BAL (Sale) Wednesday: @BAL (Eovaldi) Thursday: @BAL (Pivetta) Friday: @WSH (ERod) Saturday: @WSH (Seabold/Houck) Sunday: @WSH (Sale, if needed)

88-66 BOS wc1 87-67 NYY wc2 (-1 wc1) 85-69 TOR -2 wc2 85-69 SEA -2 wc2

You guys have nothing to be ashamed of. You outperformed expectations and run differential to win more. It will be interesting to see, if you spend big, this winter. Nice run.

Well, that sucked. Nice to see TOR losing, but we need to make a statement, tomorrow. Not much good to talk about, and I'm going to avoid going negative on anyone, tonight.

I'll take 7 out of 14 years as long as a couple rings are thrown in between. The last 28 were much better than the previous 28.

Our last 3 games are at WSH with no DH. Things will get real interesting. I have to think JD and Schwarber sit at least one game. Dalbec probably will, too, so Schwarber can get one game at 1B. It also means Kike plays 3 games at 2B and there is no Iggy and much worse D.

Back in march, I thought we'd be close to competing for a playoff slot, this year. Once the season started, and all those come-from-behind wins started piling up, I got the sense this team had the "grit" needed to tough it out and win a WC slot, at the worst. We had a few bumps along the way. I think I might have been one of the most consistently optimistic posters over the season, but even I had some serious doubts, at times. Knowing that Sale, Houck, Brasier and some deadline additions were coming added to my hopefulness. Schwarber has been a big plus, and after the initial struggles by Davis and Robles, they have become key components of our pen. Iggy and Shaw have given us some shockingly great performances and moments. Look at our Sept pen IP leaders and how different it is from April through July: 11.2 Richards 9.1 Whitlock 7.2 Ottavino 7.1 Robles 6.0 Brasier 5.1 DHern 5.1 Feliz 5.0 Taylor 3.2 Davis 3.0 Peacock, Valdez, Schreiber, Perez Nobody saw that coming! April pen IP leaders: 14.0 Barnes 13.1 Whitlock 12.2 Andriese 11.1 Sawamura 10.1 Valdez 9.1 Ottavino & Taylor 9.0 DHern 7.2 Brice In May, Andriese led the pen in IP! In June, Sawamura was second to Whitlock. In July, Rios led the pen and Workman was 3rd with 10.1 IP! In August, Robles was 2nd and Davis 3rd. I bring up the pen, because they have been such a big key to our place in the standings. They went through a very rough patch, but have righted the ship. The season is not over. We have yet to clinch. One game at a time, boys!

Jays lost that important “extra game.” Everyone now has 9 games left. 94-59 TBR 91-62 HOU 88-65 BOS +2 WC1/+3WC2 86-67 CWS 86-67 NYY +1 WC2 85-68 TOR -1 WC2 84-69 SEA -2 WC2 82-71 OAK -4 WC2 Games remaining: BOS 3 v NYY, 3@BAL, 3@WSH NYY 3@BOS, 3@TOR, 3 v TBR TOR 3@MIN, 3 vNYY, 3 vBAL SEA 3@LAA, 3 vOAK, 3 vLAA

7-2, now., despite hitting into 3 DPs! CWS split, so we gained one in the loss column on them- not that it matters.

Hmmm.... We are sniffing without a vintage ERod.

Minn up 6-2 on Jays! Jays run into out at home down 4.

Maybe. Soxprospects have him in AA

I’m not the one who bashed about 90% of every Sox player and manager, especially Dalbec. You can deny all you want but the posts speak for themselves.

Weird how you projected 93, then after watching them play well, you roasted them alive.

It’s gotta be Nate, unless he is needed in the final game of the regular season. My guess is we end the season like this... Eovaldi v NYY (Cole) Pivetta v NYY (Cortes) ERod v NYY (Montgomery) night Off Sale @ BAL Eovaldi @BAL Pivetta @ BAL ERod @ WSH Seabold/Houck @ WSH Sale, if needed @WSH Playoffs: Eovaldi game 1, Sale game 2 unless needed on last day of season, ERod game 3.

That's what I said. I see, now, why comprehension is lacking.

Highest Farm OPS: 300+ ABs .928 Yorke .915 Stephen Scott .891 Dearden .871 Granberg .867 T Reed .865 Northcut .863 Meneses .854 Joe Davis .835 Castellanos .825 R Hernandez .815 Howlett .808 Munoz 200-299 .939 Cordero .896 Duran .879 Casas .871 Cottam .830 Groshans .822 Mieses .822 Wilson (gone) .813 Decker .807 Sogard

It's interesting to see so much talk about something that doesn't even exist.

Nice to see you using CERA. I knew you'd come around.