moonslav59
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Everything posted by moonslav59
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Not all that surprising. To me, this is the deepest our 40 man roster has been since at least 2019.
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I'm not against the idea of him eventually being the DH, but I just don't see it happening until after age 34-35. He's got quick reflexes. His only real defensive weakness is his arm accuracy. He can be a plus defensive 1Bman in not time, at all. if needed.
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I wouldn't. I'd keep him at 3B. My point was that, if for some reason, 1B is where he belongs, I don't view Casas as a lock to own the 1B position for the next 10-12 years. Nobody on our roster "blocks" Devers. If worse comes to worse, one can play LF or we trade Casas. If One ends up DH, it wouldn't be terrible. I see Devers as being a very good defensive 1Bman, if he ends up there.
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Welcome back. You were sorely missed. I hope all is well.
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I think Devers is nimble enough to be a fine 1Bman. He may end up at DH after age 35-36, IMO. If he gains weight, all bets are off.
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Question: soxprospects has DHern listed as our AAA's top starter. Are they really using him as a starter?
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Soxprospects.com's estimated time of arrival: 2022: Crawford (16) Mid '22: Casas (1), Duran (4), Seabold (14), Fitzy (24), Wong (27) Late '22: Winckowski (12), Downs (13) 2023: Bello (5), Groome (6), R Hernandez (28) Mid '23: Murphy (15) Late '23: Mata (7), Walter (9), Hamilton (26) 2024: Yorke (3), T Ward (20), C Koss (22) Mid '24: Jordan (10), Rafaela (19) Late '24: Mayer (2), McDonough (17), Jimenez ('18), Binelas (21), Lugo (29) 2025: Gonzalez (11), Paulino (23), Bonaci (25), Hickey (30) 2026: Bleis (8)
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That Ramirez deal was a clear team-friendly deal. Maybe Devers loves Boston that much, but most players seek the most money. IMO, offering $160M/6 would not be accepted. The guy is only 25 and will be all season. If the 6 years is an extension, we'd have him for 8 years, but if it's a replacement deal, 6 years brings him to age 30. I'm not sure why he'd look at age 30 as a better way to make more money. My guess is, he'd want a very long deal with an opt out or two. Now, the money. If the $160/6 replaces 2 arb years, its close to being enough, as he might make $30M in his last 2 arbs, combined. That leaves $130M/4 for the rest. If you are talking extension after the arb years, then he'd laugh at $160M/6 in a FA year going into an age 27 season. IMO, if he's feeling "team friendly," he might think this is the minimum he'd take: $250M/8, and even that might include a mildly front- ended contract with an opt out.
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We are now projected 24th in RF team fWAR rankings.
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Which is likely $27M+ a year.
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They don't always end up with 50-50 on each game. They move the lines and odds to try and even it up. They can't lose, if it ends up exactly even, but it rarely ends up exactly even, and my point is they likely win more of the uneven games than not, since too many bettors bet with their hearts not their minds. Also, moving the line allows for a chance they lose both bets. Say the line opens at 3 1/2 and moves to 4 1/2. They could lose, if the game ends up at 4, if more people took the fave at 3.5 and the underdog at 4.5.
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His age and projections. Yes, I'd pay him more than JD, even with inflation. Papi is another story and never was near the highest paid 1B/DH in MLB.
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Part of the reason they win more than the expected 50% of the games, is precisely because fans play the favorites and home teams more than they should. They know that and set the odds accordingly.
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Careful, someone might say you and harmony are the same poster.
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Then pay him like the highest paid 1B/DH of all time.
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Ouch. That's gonna leave a mark.
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This kid is worth the hefty and long investment. DEVERS FOREVERS!
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4/8 at Yanks - Opening Day
moonslav59 replied to mvp 78's topic in Mike Grace Memorial Game Thread Forum
Yes, as injury prone as he is, he's not on opening day. -
He might take $27M x whatever, but he'd get more, if he was a FA, right now.
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The Yanks are always hyped. I like it that way. We do better as the underdog.
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4/8 at Yanks - Opening Day
moonslav59 replied to mvp 78's topic in Mike Grace Memorial Game Thread Forum
Quite a list to be joining! -
How many pitchers are in your "top tier?" 5, 10, ???
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I remember a few years back they signed like 3-4 pretty good RP'ers, and I think they all failed. They probably gave up.
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WOW! #19. They must believe in Cora magic.
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Soxprospects.com's top 10 list vs mine. SP/Mine 1. Casas/ Mayer 2. Mayer/ Casas 3. Yorke/ Yorke 4. Duran/ Bello 5. Bello/ Blies 6. Groome/ Duran 7. Mata/ Walter 8. Blies/ Jordan 9. Walter/ Groome 10. Jordan/ W Gonzalez My 11-25 11. Murphy 12. Mata 13. Winckowski 14. Rafaela 15. Paulino 16. Crawford 17. Binelas 18. McDonough 19. 20. Lugo 21. Seabold 22. Hamilton 23. R Hernandez 24. Koss 25. Hickey (26. Jimenez, 27. Ward)
