moonslav59

You jinxed your pen, today.

Groome ends up with... 6.2 IP 2 H 2 ER 1 BB 7 K His ERA dropped to 4.26.

Personally, I'd go a bit higher, but I think he likes Boston. $300M/11?

And, what did we spend that winter (2020-2021?) We stayed under the tax line and spent only $10M Richards $7M Kike x 2 $5M Perez $3M Renfroe $3M Marwin $2M Andriese $1.5M Sawamura x 2 + adding Ottavino's contract with Frank German That's just over $30M in free agent money and about $40M counting Ottavino and 8 slots, total. If we spend $110M on 7-8 slots, next winter, we should be able to keep pace with Bogey, JD, Eovaldi and a few other key role players. And, that's not counting on much from the farm.

Why "lengthy," unless we go back to trying to reset the tax? Are you assuming Bloom will swing and miss on half or more of his FA signings, this winter? $22M JD $20M Bogey $17M Eovaldi $16M Price $7M Kike $7M Vax $7M Wacha $5M Hill $3M Strahm $2M Plawecki $2M Robles $2M Sawamura (option) That's about $110M for about 6-7 major slots to fill: SP SP RP C 2B DH OF If the farm can fill 1 or 2 of these slots, or roles like back-up catcher, 6th starter, 6th man in the 8 man pen and utility roles, we might get by needing to sign just 4-5 major free agents. $110M can get you very good talent. In the past, Bloom has been given $35-40M to spend on 8-11 slots, and this past winter, he spent: $23M Story $10M Paxton (more about 2023>) $7M Wacha $5M Hill $4M Diekman $3M Strahm $2M Robles That's about $55M for 7-8 slots. (THe JBJ trade added salary, as did taking Vaz's option) I know we can't assume what Henry will agree to pay, this coming winter, but if he keeps the budget near what it is now, there is no reason to think we can't "rebuild" a formidable team by 2023. Here is the remaining framework to work with and back filling 8 slots: SP1 _______ SP2 Whitlock SP3 Sale SP4 Paxton SP5 Pivetta SP6 Bello, Seabold, Winckowski, Groome, Mata, Walter, Murphy CL _______ RP2 Houck RP3 ______ RP4 Taylor RP5 _______ RP6 Diekman RP7 Schreiber RP8 Barnes, Sawamura, Brasier, Davis, Valdez, Danish, German, Crawford, Feltman C ________, Wong/RHernandez/Cottam 1B Casas, Dalbec (TReed, Binelas 2B _____, Downs, Hamilton (Yorke) 3B Devers SS Story (Arauz, Lugo) LF Verdugo (Granberg, JDavis) CF ______, Duran (Rafaela, Jimenez) RF JBJ (McDonough) DH ______ (Granberg, Koss

He might take $280M/10.

I'd start with $25M x 9 and would try $25M x 10, next. I'd top out at close to $28M x 10. He's still young, and he's a pure hitter. I think his bat will age well.

So, 2 people would offer nothing? Why? To not dishonor him with a lowball offer?

Through 4, now. You did not jinx him, yet.

I think it's the second time I ever visited this page. Strange a team like MN can drop 10% in a day.

I'm looking at make playoff odds: https://www.fangraphs.com/standings/playoff-odds

So, the last slot teams on the outside looking in, as of now are... 39% MN 22% CLE 21% BOS The Rays are in the #6 slot at 61% I would not be surprised to see the Sox pass both these teams, by the odds, at some point this season, but then again, I would not be surprised, if we don't.

That's about what I expected. Are we ahead of the O's?

How many times do I have to say I get it? I know it's the same probability, but people win elections with 30%. As long as you beat everyone else, you are the winner (unless they have run-offs.) I'm just saying I'd rather be at 30% with no other team ahead of us than 30% with 2 teams having better odds. I'm not implying it changes the 30% probability.

There are more and more guys who can hit and or get on base, but still K a lot. As long as they can sustain a decent offense, K's never bothered me. I get the move the runner over idea, and that does have value, but maybe less GIDPs balances some of that out. I'd love to see Fitzy get a chance, but I'm not ready to write off Arroyo, just yet, and I also think Cordero needs a long look, before giving up on him, too.

Yes, but what's better? Team A 38% Tean B 34% Team Red Sox 30% or Team Red Sox 30% Team A 25% Team B 25% Team C 20% The second scenarion, we'd be the faves at making the playoffs. Yes, it does not change the 30%, but I'd feel better knowing the odds are we make it more than anyone else.

Injuries Extended injuries Umps Slumps The mojo just ain't workin', just yet.

Top OPS (65+ ABs) .997 Fitzy 8 HRs .983 Granberg .974 Duran .973 Refsnyder .955 Binelas 7 HRs .934 Northcut 13 HRs/ 25 hits! .934 Kavadas .916 Lugo .913 Cordero .895 Sanchez .879 Rafaela 7 HRs .853 Hamilton .819 Casas 6 HRs .813 Downs Notables Under 65 ABs 1.257 Mieses 30 ABs 1.080 Dalton 23 .863 mayer 61 .860 Hickey 52

Some updated farm numbers: ERA Pitcher OPS Against 1.60 Bello .460 2.10 Murphy .530 2.29 Gonzalez .624 2.45 Uberstine .605 2.75 Winckowski .498 2.92 A Bastardo .605 2.93 Seabold .563 2.97 Walter .532 4.82 Groome .725 7.02 DHern .572 Some K:BB ratios 42:2 Walter 30 IP 32:5 Pannone 30 28:5 Van Belle 29 19:5 Winckowski 20 42:12 Bello 34 25:7 Santos 33 26:9 Seabold 31 21:9 Groome 19

I don't recall hearing the fight song played, last night. perhaps, had they done so...

Taylor has been one of our best RP'ers over the last few years. It's looking more and more like a snake bite year.

If you are Babe, as Bell thinks you are, then I'm not so sure about who started it.

No, but if the odds favor us more than any other team, it's not as bad as 30% looks.

I did not say bell might or might not get banned, too. (I hope not.)

Like base avoiders.